房价影响因素的区域性分析
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摘要
近年来我国房价一直处于上涨的趋势,寻找房价上涨的根源并从根源制定政策控制房价的非理性上涨成为一个非常值得研究的问题。运用2004-2017年31个省市的相关数据建立反映各消费水平区域房价影响因素的Panel Data模型。结果表明,土地的价格只对消费水平较高的第一级和第二级地区房价的影响是显著的;人均可支配收入的增长较大程度的影响着各消费层次的房价;利率的变动对当期房价变动的影响较不显著。
China's house prices have been rising in recent years, to find the root cause of rising prices and make policies to control prices become a very worth studying problem. The establishment of Panel Data model reflecting change of regional house prices were based on the data of 31 provinces during form 2004 to 2017. It is shown that, the price of the first and second level areas with higher consumption level. the growth of per capital disposable income has a greater impact on housing prices at all levels of consumption.changes in interest rates, there is no significant impact on the current price changes.
China's house prices have been rising in recent years, to find the root cause of rising prices and make policies to control prices become a very worth studying problem. The establishment of Panel Data model reflecting change of regional house prices were based on the data of 31 provinces during form 2004 to 2017. It is shown that, the price of the first and second level areas with higher consumption level. the growth of per capital disposable income has a greater impact on housing prices at all levels of consumption.changes in interest rates, there is no significant impact on the current price changes.
引文
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[16]Gan,Jie.Housing Wealth and Consumption Growth:Evidence form a Large Panel Households[R].SSRN Working Paper Series,2007.
[2]李子奈,潘文卿.计量经济学[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2000.
[3]徐忠,张雪春,邹传伟.房价、通货膨胀与货币政策——基于中国数据的研究[J].金融研究,2012,(6):18-25.
[4]王梦丹,付云鹏,宋琪.基于APH的房价影响因素分析[J].城市,2017,(6):56-59.
[5]董志勇,官皓.房地产价格影响因素分析:基于中国各省市的面板数据的实证研究[J].中国地质大学学报,2010,(3):98-101.
[6]成惠茹.货币因素对我国房价影响的非对称性研究[J].浙江金融,2016,(01):40-45.
[7]陈日清.中国货币政策对房地产市场的非对称效应[J].统计研究,2014,(06):33-41.
[8]黄振宇.我国住宅市场供给对住宅价格影响的实证分析[J].宏观经济研究,2011,(3):21-29.
[9]闫金秋.基于多变量协整的房地产价格影响因素分析[J].企业经济,2012,(11):99-103.
[10]陈立文,甄亚,刘广平.基于市场细分视角的城市住房价格影响因素研究——以天津市为例[J].管理现代化,2018,(9):15-19.
[11]宋宏,张璐.商业投资与房地产价格影响因素分析——以西安使为例[J].商业经济研究,2018,(6):27-30.
[12]宋伟轩,刘春卉.长三角一体化区域城市商品住宅价格分异机理研究[J].商业经济研究,2018,(1):55-60.
[13]Abraham B,Hendershott W.Bubblesinmetro Politanmarkets[J].Journal of Housing Research,2004,12:36-52.
[14]Iacoviello P.House Prices,Borrowing Constraints,and Monetary Policy in the Bussiness Cycle[J].American Economic Review,2005,95:739-764.
[15]Giuliodori M.The role of house prices in the monetary transmission mechanism across European countries[J].Scottish Journal of Political Economy,2005,52:519-543.
[16]Gan,Jie.Housing Wealth and Consumption Growth:Evidence form a Large Panel Households[R].SSRN Working Paper Series,2007.