工业行业间碳排放权分配的社会成本最小化综合决策模型研究
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- 英文论文题名：Research on Comprehensive Decision Model of Social Cost Minimization for Carbon Emission Permit Allocation in the Industrial Sector
- 论文作者：崔佳 ; 孔英
- 英文论文作者：CUI Jia ; KONG Ying ; School of Economics and Management ; Harbin Institute of Technology(Shenzhen) ; Economic Department ; York University ; Graduate School at Shenzhen ; Tsinghua University
- 年：2016
- 作者机构：哈尔滨工业大学深圳研究生院经济管理学院;约克大学经济系;清华大学深圳研究生院社会科学与管理学部;
- 论文关键词：碳排放 ; 碳强度 ; 非线性规划 ; 社会成本
- 英文论文关键词：carbon emission ; carbon intensity ; nonlinear programming ; social cost
- 会议召开时间：2016-11-12
- 会议录名称：第十八届中国管理科学学术年会论文集
- 英文会议录名称：Proceedings of the 18th Chinese Annual Conference on Management Science
- 语种：中文
- 分类号：F424;X196
- 学会代码：ZHYJ
- 会议名称：第十八届中国管理科学学术年会
- 会议地点：中国陕西西安
- 主办单位：中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会、西安交通大学、中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院、《中国管理科学》编辑部
- 学会名称：中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会
- 页数：6
- 文件大小：601k
- 原文格式：O
- 会议级别：全国
摘要
本文讨论了在给定一个整体的减排目标下产业间的碳排放许可额度分配的问题。我们使用一个简化的一般均衡模型碳边际减排成本曲线模拟了各行业的碳排放治理过程,构建一个广泛的社会成本最小的决策模型。本文还应用实际数据,对中国南方某城市的工业间碳排放权分配进行了实证模拟,运行所得的结果显示了良好的区分度和分散性,基本符合我们的预期。
In this paper,the problem of the allocation of carbon emission permits is discussed under a given global emission reduction target.A simplified general equilibrium model with carbon marginal abatement cost curve is used to simulate the process of carbon emission control in various industries,and a wide range of social cost minimization decision model is constructed.Empirical simulation on industrial carbon emission right allocation is also performed by applying actual data of a southern city in China.The results show a very satisfied operation of discrimination and dispersion,and the results are consistent with our expectations.
In this paper,the problem of the allocation of carbon emission permits is discussed under a given global emission reduction target.A simplified general equilibrium model with carbon marginal abatement cost curve is used to simulate the process of carbon emission control in various industries,and a wide range of social cost minimization decision model is constructed.Empirical simulation on industrial carbon emission right allocation is also performed by applying actual data of a southern city in China.The results show a very satisfied operation of discrimination and dispersion,and the results are consistent with our expectations.
引文
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[3]Weitzman M L.On Modeling and Interpreting the Economics of Catastrophic Climate Change[J].The Review of Economics and Statistics,2009,9(1):1-19.
[4]张晨,丁洋,汪文隽.国际碳市场风险价值度量的新方法—基于EVT-CAViaR模型[J].中国管理科学,2015,23(11):12-20.
[5]何化,马常松,吴忠和.碳限额与交易政策下考虑绿色技术投入的定价策略研究[J].中国管理科学,2016,24(5):74-84.
[6]Engwerda J,Michalak T.Economic Growth and Choice of Energy:A Simplistic Strategic Approach[J].Environmental Modeling&Assessment,2015,20(4):321-342.
[7]Oestreich A M,Tsiakas I.Carbon emissions and stock returns:Evidence from the EU Emissions Trading Scheme[J].Journal of Banking&Finance,2015,58:294-308.
[8]Larsen B.Fairness in a tradable-permit treaty for carbon emissions reductions in europe and the former soviet union[J].Environmental and Resource Economics,1994,4:219-239.
[9]Zhang zhongxiang.Cost-Effective Analysis of Carbon Abatement Options in China's Electricity Sector[J].Energy Sources,1996,20:385-405.
[10]Newbold SC,Marten AL.The value of information for integrated assessment models of climate change[J].Journal of Environmental Economics and Management,2014,68(1):111-123.
[11]Golub A,Narita O,Schmidt M G W.Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change:Alternative Analytical Approaches[J].Environmental Modeling&Assessment,2014,19(2):99-109.
[12]Nordhaus W,Boyer J.Warming the World-Economic Models of Global Warming[M].MIT Press,2000.
[13]Ellerman A D,Decaux A.Analysis of Post-Kyoto C02emmisions trading using marginal abatement curves[R],MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change,Massachusetts Institute of Technology,1998.
[14]Nordhaus W.Estimates of the Social Cost of Carbon:Concepts and Results from the DICE-2013R Model and Alternative Approaches[J].Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists,2014.1:273-312.
[15]张俊荣,王孜丹,汤铃,等.基于系统动力学的京津翼碳排放交易政策影像研究[J].中国管理科学,2016,24(3):1-8.
[16]Zhu Lei,Zhang xiao-Bing,Fan Ying.A Nonlinear Model For Estimating the Cost of Achieving Emission Reduction Targets:The Case of the US,China and India[J].Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering,2012,21(3):297-315.
[17]Bergh J V D,Botzen W.A lower bound to the social cost of CO2 emissions[J].Nature Climate Change,2014,4(4):4253-258.
[18]Bergh JVD,Botzen W J W.Monetary valuation of the social cost of CO2 emissions:A critical survey[J].Ecological Economics,2015,114:33-46.
[19]Nordhaus W.The Cost of Slowing Climate Change:A Survey[J].Energy Journal,1991,12:37-65.
[20]李陶,陈林菊,范英.基于非线性规划的我国省区碳强度减排配额研究[J].管理评论,2010,22(6):54-60.
[21]深圳市统计局,国家统计局深圳市调查队.深圳统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2008-2012.
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