河南烤烟全要素生产率实证分析——基于DEA-Malmquist指数法
详细信息 查看官网全文
- 英文论文题名：An empirical research on total factor productivity of flue-cured tobacco in Henan province——Based on DEA-Malmquist index
- 论文作者：苏新宏 ; 马聪 ; 侯鹏 ; 赵翠萍
- 英文论文作者：SU Xinhong ; MA Cong ; HOU Peng ; ZHAO Cuiping ; Henan Agricultural University ; Henan Provincial Tobacco Company
- 年：2016
- 作者机构：河南农业大学;河南省烟草公司;
- 论文关键词：烤烟生产 ; Malmquist指数 ; 技术进步 ; 技术效率
- 英文论文关键词：flue-cured tobacco production ; Malmquist index ; technical progress ; technical efficiency
- 会议召开时间：2016-12-01
- 会议录名称：中国烟草学会2016年度优秀论文汇编——烟草农业主题
- 语种：中文
- 分类号：F224;F326.12
- 学会代码：ZGYG
- 学会名称：中国烟草学会
- 页数：9
- 文件大小：722k
- 原文格式：D
摘要
基于1983～2013年生产成本收益数据,运用DEA-Malmquist指数法对河南烤烟生产效率进行了实证分析。结果表明,河南烤烟全要素生产率(TFP)总体水平偏低且呈波动下降趋势,其下降来源主要是技术进步;TFP来源与全国类同,但技术进步趋缓对TFP的影响更为显著;河南烤烟生产综合技术效率的变化态势与全国平均相比略有差异,但其主要来源均是纯技术效率而非规模效率;2013年河南烤烟生产处于规模报酬递减阶段。建议通过强化技术创新、稳定种植面积、适度提高种植规模、创新烤烟生产组织模式等途径提高河南烤烟生产效率。
Based on the data of tobacco production cost-benefit from 1983 to 2013, an empirical analysis on flue-cured tobacco production efficiency has been conducted using DEA-Malmquist index. The results show that the overall level of total factor productivity(TFP) of flue-cured tobacco is quite low and displays a downward trend in volatility, in which technical progress is the main source. The source of the TFP is similar to that of the whole country, but the slow technical progress has more significant effect on the TFP. The trend of comprehensive technical efficiency of flue-cured tobacco production in Henan province is slightly different from that of the whole country on the average, but it is mainly from the pure technical efficiency instead of scale efficiency. The production of flue-cured tobacco in Henan province has been in the stage of decreasing of returns to scale in 2013. This paper suggests to enhance production efficiency of flue-cured tobacco by means of strengthening technological innovation, stabilizing flue-cured tobacco planting areas, properly enlarging planting scale, and innovating organization mode of flue-cured tobacco production, etc.
Based on the data of tobacco production cost-benefit from 1983 to 2013, an empirical analysis on flue-cured tobacco production efficiency has been conducted using DEA-Malmquist index. The results show that the overall level of total factor productivity(TFP) of flue-cured tobacco is quite low and displays a downward trend in volatility, in which technical progress is the main source. The source of the TFP is similar to that of the whole country, but the slow technical progress has more significant effect on the TFP. The trend of comprehensive technical efficiency of flue-cured tobacco production in Henan province is slightly different from that of the whole country on the average, but it is mainly from the pure technical efficiency instead of scale efficiency. The production of flue-cured tobacco in Henan province has been in the stage of decreasing of returns to scale in 2013. This paper suggests to enhance production efficiency of flue-cured tobacco by means of strengthening technological innovation, stabilizing flue-cured tobacco planting areas, properly enlarging planting scale, and innovating organization mode of flue-cured tobacco production, etc.
引文
[1]苏新宏,韦凤杰,胡海波.河南省现代烟草农业发展的现状、问题与对策[J].中国农业资源与区划,2012,33(2):62-67.[1]Su Xinhong,Wei Fengjie,Hu Haibo.Current Situation,Problems and Countermeasures of Development of Modern Tobacco Agriculture in Henan Province[J].Journal of China Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning,2012,33(2):62-67.
[2]袁庆禄,蒋中一.我国烤烟生产的技术效率分析[J].农业技术经济,2010,(3):79-88.[2]Yuan Qinglu,Jiang Zhongyi.The Analysis of Technical Efficiency of Flue-cured Tobacco Production[J].Journal of Agrotechnical Economics,2010,(3):79-88.
[3]邓蒙芝,李富欣.数据包络分析模型在烤烟生产效率评价中的应用[J].烟草科技,2006,(11):53-57.[3]Deng Mengzhi,Li Fuxin.Application of DEA Model in Production Efficiency Evaluation of Flue-cured Tobacco[J].Tobacco Science&Technology,2006,(11):53-57.
[4]苏新宏,冯继红,徐敏,等.基于DEA的河南省烤烟生产效率分析[J].中国农学通报,2013,29(14):51-55.[4]Su Xinhong,Feng Jihong,Xu Min,et al.A Production Efficiency Analysis on Flue-cured Tobacco in Henan Province Based on Data Envelopment Analysis[J].Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin,2013,29(14):51-55.
[5]M.J.Farrell.The Measurement of Productive Efficiency[J].Journal of the Royal Statistical Society.Series A(General),1957,120(3):253-290.
[6]A.Charnes,W.W.Cooper and E.Rhodes.Measuring the Efficiency of Decision Making Units[J].European Journal of Operational Research,1978,(2):429-444.
[7]颜鹏飞,王兵.技术效率、技术进步与生产率增长:基于DEA的实证分析[J].经济研究,2004,(12):56-65.[7]Yan Pengfei,Wang Bing.Technical Efficiency,Technical Progress and Productivity Growth:An Empirical Analysis Based on DEA[J].Economic Research Journal,2004,(12):56-65.
[8]石枕.怎样理解和计算“全要素生产率”的增长[J].数量经济技术经济研究,1988,(12):68-71.[8]Shi Zhen.How to Understand and Calculate the Growth of the Total Factor Productivity[J].The Journal of Quantitative&Technical Economics,1988,(12):68-71.
[9]张静,张宝文.基于Malmquist指数法的我国农业科技创新效率实证分析[J].科技进步与对策,2011,28(7):84-88.[9]Zhang Jing,Zhang Baowen.Empirical Analysis on China's Agricultural Science and Technology Innovation Efficiency Based on Malmquist Index[J].Science&Technology Progress and Policy,2011,28(7):84-88.
[10]张冬平,冯继红,白菊红.河南小麦生产效率数据包络分析[J].河南农业大学学报,2005,(3):86-92.[10]Zhang Dongping,Feng Jihong,Bai Juhong.Data Envelopment Analysis of the Efficiency of Wheat Production in Henan Province[J].Journal of Henan Agricultural University,2005,(3):86-92.
[11]杨春,刘耀光.基于Malmquist分析的中国玉米生产率增长及收敛性研究[J].技术经济,2007,(7):64-68.[11]Yang Chun,Liu Yaoguang.Research on Production Efficiency and Convergence of Corn in China Based on Malmquist Model and Astringency[J].Technology Economics,2007,(7):64-68.
[12]徐丽君,杨敏丽.基于Malmquist指数法的水稻生产效率实证分析[J].农业机械学报,2012,(S1):169-174.[12]Xu Lijun,Yang Minli.Analysis on Paddy Rice Production Efficiency Based on Malmquist Index[J].Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Machinery,2012,(SI):169-174.
[13]刘洋,罗其友.中国马铃薯生产效率的实证分析——基于非参数的Malmquist指数方法[J].中国农学通报,2010,26(14):138-144.[13]Liu Yang,Luo Qiyou.Empirical Analysis on Total Factor Productivity of Potatoes in China——Based on the Nonparametric Malmquist Productivity Index[J].Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin,2010,26(14):138-144.
[14]顾海,王艾敏.基于Malmquist指数的河南苹果生产效率评价[J].农业技术经济,2007,(2):99-104.[14]Gu Hai,Wang Aimin.A Production Efficiency Analysis on Apple in Henan Province Based on Malmquist Index[J].Journal of Agrotechnical Economics,2007,(2):99-104.
[15]Malmquist Sten.Index Numbers and Indifference Curves[J].Trabajos de Estatistica,1953,4(2):209-242.
[16]Douglas W.Caves,Laurits R.Christensen and W.Erwin Diewert.Multilateral Comparisons of Output,Input,and Productivity Using Superlative Index Numbers[J].1982,92(365):73-86.
[17]Douglas W.Caves,Laurits R.Christensen and W.Erwin Diewert.The Economic Theory of Index Numbers and the Measurement of Input,Output and Productivity,Econometrica[J].1982,50(6):1393-1414.
[18]F?re Rolf,Grosskoff Shawna and Lindgren Bj?rn,et al.Productiviity Changes in Swedish Pharmacies 1980-1989:A Nonparametric Malmquist Approach[J].Journal of Productivity Analysis,1992,3(3):85-101.
[19]张冬平,袁飞.农业结构效率的数据包络分析[J].农业技术经济,2001,(3):5-7.[19]Zhang Dongping,Yuan Fei.Data-embrasing Analysis of Agricultural Structure Efficiency[J].Journal of Agrotechnical Economics,2001,(3):5-7.
[2]袁庆禄,蒋中一.我国烤烟生产的技术效率分析[J].农业技术经济,2010,(3):79-88.[2]Yuan Qinglu,Jiang Zhongyi.The Analysis of Technical Efficiency of Flue-cured Tobacco Production[J].Journal of Agrotechnical Economics,2010,(3):79-88.
[3]邓蒙芝,李富欣.数据包络分析模型在烤烟生产效率评价中的应用[J].烟草科技,2006,(11):53-57.[3]Deng Mengzhi,Li Fuxin.Application of DEA Model in Production Efficiency Evaluation of Flue-cured Tobacco[J].Tobacco Science&Technology,2006,(11):53-57.
[4]苏新宏,冯继红,徐敏,等.基于DEA的河南省烤烟生产效率分析[J].中国农学通报,2013,29(14):51-55.[4]Su Xinhong,Feng Jihong,Xu Min,et al.A Production Efficiency Analysis on Flue-cured Tobacco in Henan Province Based on Data Envelopment Analysis[J].Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin,2013,29(14):51-55.
[5]M.J.Farrell.The Measurement of Productive Efficiency[J].Journal of the Royal Statistical Society.Series A(General),1957,120(3):253-290.
[6]A.Charnes,W.W.Cooper and E.Rhodes.Measuring the Efficiency of Decision Making Units[J].European Journal of Operational Research,1978,(2):429-444.
[7]颜鹏飞,王兵.技术效率、技术进步与生产率增长:基于DEA的实证分析[J].经济研究,2004,(12):56-65.[7]Yan Pengfei,Wang Bing.Technical Efficiency,Technical Progress and Productivity Growth:An Empirical Analysis Based on DEA[J].Economic Research Journal,2004,(12):56-65.
[8]石枕.怎样理解和计算“全要素生产率”的增长[J].数量经济技术经济研究,1988,(12):68-71.[8]Shi Zhen.How to Understand and Calculate the Growth of the Total Factor Productivity[J].The Journal of Quantitative&Technical Economics,1988,(12):68-71.
[9]张静,张宝文.基于Malmquist指数法的我国农业科技创新效率实证分析[J].科技进步与对策,2011,28(7):84-88.[9]Zhang Jing,Zhang Baowen.Empirical Analysis on China's Agricultural Science and Technology Innovation Efficiency Based on Malmquist Index[J].Science&Technology Progress and Policy,2011,28(7):84-88.
[10]张冬平,冯继红,白菊红.河南小麦生产效率数据包络分析[J].河南农业大学学报,2005,(3):86-92.[10]Zhang Dongping,Feng Jihong,Bai Juhong.Data Envelopment Analysis of the Efficiency of Wheat Production in Henan Province[J].Journal of Henan Agricultural University,2005,(3):86-92.
[11]杨春,刘耀光.基于Malmquist分析的中国玉米生产率增长及收敛性研究[J].技术经济,2007,(7):64-68.[11]Yang Chun,Liu Yaoguang.Research on Production Efficiency and Convergence of Corn in China Based on Malmquist Model and Astringency[J].Technology Economics,2007,(7):64-68.
[12]徐丽君,杨敏丽.基于Malmquist指数法的水稻生产效率实证分析[J].农业机械学报,2012,(S1):169-174.[12]Xu Lijun,Yang Minli.Analysis on Paddy Rice Production Efficiency Based on Malmquist Index[J].Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Machinery,2012,(SI):169-174.
[13]刘洋,罗其友.中国马铃薯生产效率的实证分析——基于非参数的Malmquist指数方法[J].中国农学通报,2010,26(14):138-144.[13]Liu Yang,Luo Qiyou.Empirical Analysis on Total Factor Productivity of Potatoes in China——Based on the Nonparametric Malmquist Productivity Index[J].Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin,2010,26(14):138-144.
[14]顾海,王艾敏.基于Malmquist指数的河南苹果生产效率评价[J].农业技术经济,2007,(2):99-104.[14]Gu Hai,Wang Aimin.A Production Efficiency Analysis on Apple in Henan Province Based on Malmquist Index[J].Journal of Agrotechnical Economics,2007,(2):99-104.
[15]Malmquist Sten.Index Numbers and Indifference Curves[J].Trabajos de Estatistica,1953,4(2):209-242.
[16]Douglas W.Caves,Laurits R.Christensen and W.Erwin Diewert.Multilateral Comparisons of Output,Input,and Productivity Using Superlative Index Numbers[J].1982,92(365):73-86.
[17]Douglas W.Caves,Laurits R.Christensen and W.Erwin Diewert.The Economic Theory of Index Numbers and the Measurement of Input,Output and Productivity,Econometrica[J].1982,50(6):1393-1414.
[18]F?re Rolf,Grosskoff Shawna and Lindgren Bj?rn,et al.Productiviity Changes in Swedish Pharmacies 1980-1989:A Nonparametric Malmquist Approach[J].Journal of Productivity Analysis,1992,3(3):85-101.
[19]张冬平,袁飞.农业结构效率的数据包络分析[J].农业技术经济,2001,(3):5-7.[19]Zhang Dongping,Yuan Fei.Data-embrasing Analysis of Agricultural Structure Efficiency[J].Journal of Agrotechnical Economics,2001,(3):5-7.