多基地风险指引型管理指数的研究与应用

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• 英文论文题名：The application of risk-informed management index in NPPs risk management
• 论文作者：陈世军 ; 钟山 ; 高超 ; 杨智
• 英文论文作者：CHEN Shi-jun ; ZHONG Shan ; GAO Chao ; YANG Zhi ; Suzhou Power Research Institute Co. ; Ltd.
• 年：2015
• 作者机构：苏州热工研究院有限公司;
• 论文关键词：风险指引型 ; 管理指数 ; 多基地 ; 风险管理
• 英文论文关键词：risk-informed ; management index ; NPPs ; risk management
• 会议召开时间：2015-09-21
• 会议录名称：中国核科学技术进展报告（第四卷）——中国核学会2015年学术年会论文集第10册（核安全分卷）
• 语种：中文
• 分类号：TM623.8
• 学会代码：EGVD
• 会议名称：中国核学会2015年学术年会
• 会议地点：中国四川绵阳
• 主办单位：中国核学会
• 学会名称：中国核学会
• 页数：6
• 文件大小：485k
• 原文格式：O
• 会议级别：全国

摘要

随着风险指引型应用的深入开展,我国商运机组的增多,各核电集团面临对多基地多机组管控困难问题,需要加强对各核电基地的风险管控,需要采用风险指引型的管理模式。本文对风险指引型管理指数进行研究,结合确定论和概率论的优势,对各核电基地发生的LOE/IOE事件进行重要度评价,并结合确定论的事件定级准则,采用打分的计算原则,得出各基地的运行风险值,判断各基地当月的风险等级,并跟踪各基地12个月份的滚动风险趋势,给出相关的管理建议。
With domestic NPP units increased,it is urgent to establish a more reasonable regulation way with full emphasis on plant significant items.This paper,based on the deterministic methodology and engineering judge,researches the risk-informed management index by applying SDP into events risk evaluation at all bases,which can help forecast the risk trend next month and pre-determine the current NPP risk status of each month with established risk judge criteria.Furthermore,some information and suggestions about risk significant events and risk prediction values are also mentioned in this paper,as well as some examples,in order to offer some references for management level to accomplish the decision-making.

引文

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