用户名: 密码: 验证码:
巴马长寿研究信息系统的建立及GIS在巴马长寿人群空间分布研究中的应用
详细信息    本馆镜像全文|  推荐本文 |  |   获取CNKI官网全文
摘要
目的:在医学领域中引进地理信息系统(Geographical Information System,GIS)技术,建立巴马长寿研究信息库及地理信息库模块,探讨Access与GIS的联系方法,构建巴马长寿研究综合信息平台,从环境、遗传、生活行为等多方面对巴马长寿研究相关资料进行全面管理与展现。
     方法:综合利用数据库技术和地理信息系统技术对巴马长寿研究结果数据进行管理。利用Access 2003软件开发巴马长寿研究数据库;利用ArcGIS 9.3软件开发地理信息库模块;利用ArcGIS 9.3中自带连接功能实现Access信息库与地理信息系统数据间的联系。
     结果:集Access 2003与ArcGIS 9.3两个软件之所长,建立起适合于实际应用、界面友好、操作简单的巴马长寿研究信息系统,可对巴马长寿多方面的研究资料进行动态录入、存盘、系统管理及信息查询。
     结论:把GIS技术融入到巴马长寿研究信息系统的构建当中,将错综复杂的各类型研究数据进行系统化的管理及可视化的展示,这为巴马长寿进一步系统的、科学的研究提供良好平台,具有深远的意义。
     目的:研究广西巴马县长寿人群空间分布特征,探讨空间数据及GIS空间分析技术在长寿空间异质性研究中的应用价值和意义,为今后巴马长寿深入、系统的研究奠定基础。
     方法:以2000年全国第五次人口普查资料及2007年抽查登记资料为基础,采用Mapinfo 8.0软件绘制能够直观反映巴马县长寿人群(85岁及以上)各村落分布情况的专题地图;采用ArcGIS 9.3、GS 9.0、GeoDa 9.5、Satscan 7.0等GIS软件对巴马长寿进行趋势分析、变异函数、Kriging插值、空间自相关、空间扫描统计等空间分析,从不同角度全面揭示巴马长寿人群空间分布特征。
     结果:1、探索性空间数据分析显示,巴马长寿人群的空间分布不均匀,呈相对聚集性分布。
     2、变异函数拟合结果显示,由空间自相关引起的空间异质性程度为59.4%;拟合优度R2=0.880,模型拟合较好。
     3、Kriging插值分析结果显示,本次Kriging插值是无偏、最优插值。
     4、空间自相关分析:全域Moran’sⅠ分析说明巴马长寿存在聚集性分布。局域Gi及LISA分析说明巴马北部地区是高长寿率地区,巴马西部地区及部分南部地区是低长寿率地区。
     5、空间扫描统计分析:第一个高长寿率聚集区中心位于东经24.24190、北纬107.00650的戈贤村,其半径为17.25km,共覆盖21个村;第二个高长寿率聚集区中心位于东经24.15330、北纬107.22480的弄友村,其半径为8.43km,共覆盖7个村。
     结论:利用GIS空间分析技术,明确了地理上以戈贤村和弄友村为中心的巴马高长寿率聚集区,其半径分别为17.25公里和8.43公里;主要位于局桑、那社乡的巴马西部地区及部分南部地区可能为巴马相对低长寿率聚集区。巴马长寿的空间异质性主要由空间自相关性决定,这为进一步究巴马长寿的形成机制提供了科学依据。
Objective: By introducing the Geographical Information System technology (GIS)to the medical field,and establishing Bama longevity research’s informa- tion database and geographic information database module, to explore the rela- tionship of Access and GIS softwares, and establish the integrated information platform about the research of Bama longevity, which could manage and display the information of environment, heredity, life style and other aspects.
     Methods: The Bama longevity research datas were managed by comprehensive utilization of database technology and GIS technology. The Bama longevity research information database was developed with Access 2003 software; the geographic information database module was developed with ArcGIS 9.3 software ;the both was connected by the involved function of ArcGIS 9.3.
     Results: The Bama Longevity Research Information System is suitable for practical applications, user-friendly and simple for operation. The research datas could be entered, saved , managed and searched by this system easily.
     Conclusion: The various types of complex datas could be managed systemati- cally and visualized by introducing GIS technology to the establishment about the information database of Bama longevity research, which provides a good and far-reaching significant platform with scientific and systematic research in Bama longevity research.
     Objective: To research the characteristics of spatial distribution of Longevity in Bama County, and discuss the value and significance of GIS spatial analysis to the study of longevity’s distribution.
     Methods: The thematic map based on the fifth national census in 2000 and the sampling data in 2007 which reflected directly villages’geographical distribu- tion of longevous population(aged 90 and over)among Bama’s villages was maked by Mapinfo 8.0 software; several spatial statistic methods including exploratory spatial data analysis,semivariogram function,spatial autocorrela- tion,spatial scan statistic and Kriging interpolation were maked by ArcGIS 9.3,GS 9.0,GeoDa 9.5,Satscan 7.0,so as to find the characteristics of spatial distribution of longevity in Bama.
     Results: 1. The results of exploratory spatial data analysis are as follow: The longevous population in Bama are not well-distributed but various by district.
     2. The fitting results of semivariogram function manifest that goodness of fit is 0.880(R2=0.880),59.4% of total variance is attributed to spatial autocorre- lation.
     3. The results of Kriging interpolation indicated that the spatial distribution map of longevity areas in Bama country is a good fitness.
     4. Analysis of spatial autocorrelation: The global Moran’s I indicator illustrates that there is cluster with higher rates of longevity in Bama;the regional Gi and LISA analysis illustrate that the north in Bama is higher rate region of longevity,the west and the south is lower relatively rate region.
     5. Spatial scan statistic: The central coordinate of the first higher rate cluster is Gexian(24.24190E, 107.00650N),and the radius is about 17.25km which covers 21 villages; The central coordinate of the second higher rate cluster is Nongyou(24.15330E、107.22480N),and the radius is about 8.43 km which covers 7 villages.
     Conclusion: By GIS spatial analysis, Gexian village and Nongyou village are found to be the centers of geographically high rate longevity areas. Their radius are 17.25km and 8.43km. Jushang xiang and Nashe xiang which are located in west and south part of Bama country are relatively low rate longevity areas. The spatial heterogeneity of Bama longevity is mainly decided by spatial autocorrelation. This provides the scientific basis for further research on the Bama longevity formative mechanism.
引文
[1]秦俊法.中国的百岁老人研究Ⅲ.百岁老人聚居区——中国长寿之乡的成因和评定[J].广东微量元素科学, 2007, 14(11): 23-39.
    [2]央吉.论中国广西巴马长寿带及其生存环境[J] .中国人口科学, 1994, (2): 6-12.
    [3]张志勇,李春宏,仇小强,等.广西长寿地区人群白细胞DNA总体甲基化水平研究[J].中国老年学杂志, 2009, 29(12): 1513-1516.
    [4]陈文成,潘尚领,林伟雄,等.广西巴马壮族长寿老人p53基因的多态性研究[J].中国老年学杂志, 2008, 28(03): 265-267.
    [5]谢琪,蔡东联,陈进超,等.广西巴马长寿老人家庭的饮食营养调查[J].中国临床营养杂志, 2005, 13(05): 276-280.
    [6]伍业光,张国兵,张春林,等.巴马地区百岁老人心理健康调查[J].中国组织工程研究与临床康复, 2007, 11(52): 10572-10575.
    [7]李德仁. RS、GIS、GPS的集成与应用[C].北京:测绘出版社, 1995.
    [8]胡淀.基于GIS的重庆市出生缺陷信息系统[D].重庆:重庆医科大学公共卫生学院, 2006.
    [9]刘凡馨,等. Access数据库应用教程[M].北京:清华大学出版社, 2007.
    [10]吴秀芹,张洪岩,李瑞改,等. ArcGIS 9地理信息系统应用与实践[M].北京:清华大学出版社, 2007.
    [11]王勇. Access与GIS在地质数字化管理系统中的应用[J].地质与勘探, 2000, 36(3): 56-58.
    [12]谢文勇,黄长江,陈志远,等.基于GIS的中国东南沿岸海域海产腹足类性畸变与有机锡污染查询显示系统[J].台湾海峡, 2002, 21(4): 444-452.
    [13]尹涛.用MapX和Access结合的方法快速开发地理信息应用系统[J].计算机应用与软件, 2006, 23(9): 81-82, 105.
    [1]秦俊法.中国的百岁老人研究Ⅲ.百岁老人聚居区——中国长寿之乡的成因和评定[J].广东微量元素科学, 2007, 14(11): 23-39.
    [2]央吉.论中国广西巴马长寿带及其生存环境[J] .中国人口科学, 1994, (2): 6-12.
    [3]张志勇,李春宏,仇小强,等.广西长寿地区人群白细胞DNA总体甲基化水平研究[J].中国老年学杂志, 2009, 29(12): 1513-1516.
    [4]陈文成,潘尚领,林伟雄,等.广西巴马壮族长寿老人p53基因的多态性研究[J].中国老年学杂志, 2008, 28(03): 265-267.
    [5]谢琪,蔡东联,陈进超,等.广西巴马长寿老人家庭的饮食营养调查[J].中国临床营养杂志, 2005, 13(05): 276-280.
    [6]伍业光,张国兵,张春林,等.巴马地区百岁老人心理健康调查[J].中国组织工程研究与临床康复, 2007, 11(52): 10572-10575.
    [7] Carlos CS. Use of geographic information system in epidemiology(GIS-Epi) [J]. Bull PAHO, 1996, 17(1): 1-6.
    [8]王劲峰.空间分析[M].北京:科学出版社, 2006.
    [9]陈峰,杨树勤. PP分布、PB分布及其应用[J].中国卫生统计, 1996, 4(13): 10.
    [10]陈峰,杨树勤.论负二项分布的应用条件[J].中国卫生统计, 1995, 12(1 2): 21.
    [11] Anselin L, Rey S. Properties of tests for spatial dependence in linear regression models. Geographical analysis. 1991, 23: 112-131.
    [12] Geoffrey M, Jacquez. The map comparison problem: tests for the overlap of geographic boundaries[J]. Sta tMed, 1995, 14: 2343-2361.
    [13] Rosenberg MS, Sokal RR, Oden NL, et al. Spatial autocorrelation of cancer in western Europe[J]. Europ J Epidemiol, 1999, 15(1): 15-22.
    [14] Harvey JM. Tobler’s first law and spatial analysis. Ann Assoc Am Geogra- phers,2004,94:284-289.
    [15] BRACKEN I. An extensive surface model database for population-related information: oncept and application [J]. Environment and Planning B: plan- ning and Design, 1993, 20: 13-27.
    [16] CLIFF A D,ORD J K. Spatial autocorrelation [M]. London: Pion, 1973.
    [17] GETIS A, ORD J K. The analysis of spatial association by use of distance statistics[J]. Geographical Analysis, 1992, 24 (3): 189-206.
    [18] Robinson TP. Spatial statistics and geographical information systems in epidemiology and public health[J]. Ady Parasitol, 2000, 47: 118-128.
    [19] Dejian Lai. Geostatistical analysis of Chinese cancer morbidity: Variogram, Kriging and Beyond. Journal of data science, 2004, 2: 177-193.
    [20] Anselin L. Local indicators of spatial association-LISA[J]. Geographical Analysis, 1995, 27: 93-115.
    [21] Krivoruehko K. Analyzing the Consequences of Chernobyl Using GIS and Spatial Statistics[J]. Extended version of artcele published in ArcNews, 200 3, 25(3): 34-35.
    [22]刘辉.研究中长寿人群和对照组的确定.中国老年学杂志, 2007, (7):67 8-679.
    [23]周国法,徐汝梅.生物地理统计学-生物种群时空分析的方法及其应用[M].北京:科学出版社, 1998.
    [24] Anselin L. Local indicators of spatial association—LISA [J]. Geographical Analysis, 1995, 27(2): 93–115.
    [25]范新生,应龙根.中国SARS疫情的探索性空间数据分析[J].地球科学进展, 2005, 20 (3): 282- 291.
    [26] SaTScan User Guide for version 7.0. http://www.satscan.org,2006.
    [27] John D, Boone, Kenneth C, et al. Remote sensing and Geographic Informa- tion Systems: Charting Sin Nombre Virus Infections in Deer Mice[J].Emer- ging Infect Dis, 2000: 6(3): 248-258.
    [28] Strauss, R. Spatial analysis of percutaneous Translumoinal Coronary Angio plasty(PTCA) in Austria[J]. European Journal of Epidemiology, 1999, 15: 451-459.
    [29] Berke O. Exploratory spatial relative risk mapping[J]. Prev Vet Med, 2005 (71): 173-182.
    [30] Kelsall J, Wakefield J. Modelling spatial variation in disease risk: a geosta- tistical approach[J]. Am Sta Assoc, 2002, 97: 692-701.
    [31]秦涛.Geostatistics analyst中空间内插方法的介绍[J].化工矿产地质, 2005, 4: 235-246.
    [32]邬建国.景观生态学-格局、过程、尺度与等级[M].北京:高等教育出版社, 2000.
    [33]张松林,张昆.全局空间自相关Moran指数和G系数对比研究[J].中山大学学报(自然科学版), 2007, 46(4): 93-97.
    [34]张松林,张昆.局部空间自相关指标对比研究[J].统计研究, 2007, 24(7): 65-67.
    [35]张松林,张昆.空间自相关局部指标Moran指数和G系数研究[J].大地测量与地球动力学, 2007, 27(3): 31-34.
    [36] Odoi A, Martin S, Michel P, et al. Investigation of clusters of giardiasis using GIS and a spatial scan statistic. International Journal of Health Geographics. 2004, 3: 11-21.
    [37] Kulldorff M. A spatial scan statistic.Communications in Statistics Theory and Methods. 1997, 26(6): 1481-1496.
    [38]姚新明,古碧清.中国寿乡行[M].深圳:海天出版社, 2005.
    [39] Savige GS. Can food variety add years to your life [J]. Asia Pacific J Clin Nutr, 2002, 11: 637-641.
    [40]刘旭辉,银建军,黄明秋.巴马区域长寿现象的初步探讨[J].河池学院学报, 2007, 27(2): 46-50.
    [1] Carlos CS. Use of geographic information system in epidemiology (GIS-Epi) [J]. Bull PAHO, 1996, 17(1): 1-6.
    [2] John D, Boone, Kenneth C, et al. Remote sensing and Geographic Informa- tion Systems: Charting Sin Nombre Virus Infections in Deer Mice[J]. Emerging Infect Dis, 2000: 6(3): 248-258.
    [3] Lai PC, Wong CM, Hedley A J, et al. Understanding the Spatial Clustering of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome(SARS) in Hong Kong[J]. Environmental Health Perspectives, 2004, 112(15): 1550-1556.
    [4] Liqun Fang, Lei Yan, Song Liang, et al. Spatial analysis of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrom in China[J]. BMC Infect Dis, 2006; 6:77.
    [5] Malone J B, Bergquit N R, Huh O K, et al. A global network for the control of snail-borne disease using satellite surveillance and geographic information systems[J]. Acta Trop, 2001, 79: 7-12.
    [6] http://www.who.int/crs/mapping/tools/healthmapper.
    [7]周晓农,胡晓抒,杨国静,等.中国卫生地理信息系统基础数据库的构建[J].中华流行病学杂志, 2003, 24: 253-256.
    [8]韩光红,张习坦,方立群,等.我国重要自然疫源地地理信息系统的建立[J].军事医学科学院院刊, 2004, 28: 123-125.
    [9] Brody H, Rip M R, Vinten-Johansen P, et al. Map-making and myth making in Broad Street: the London cholera epidemic, 1854[J]. The Lancet, 2000, 356: 64-68.
    [10] Barrett F A. Finke’s 1792 map of human diseases: the first world disease map [J]. Soc Sci Med, 2000, 50: 915-921.
    [11]谭见安,刘云鹏.中华人民国内共和国鼠疫与环境图集[J].环境科学, 2002, 23: 1-8.
    [12]苏映平.我国《地方病与环境图集》编制研究[J].地方学报, 1990, 45: 295-301.
    [13] Haines A, Kovats R S, Campbell-Lendrum D, et al. Climate changes and human health: impacts, vulnerability and public health[J]. Public Health, 2006, 120: 585-596.
    [14] Xu X J, Yang X X, Dai Y, et al. Impact of environmental change and schistosomiasis transmission in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River following the Three Gorges construction project[J].Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health, 1999, 30: 549-555.
    [15] Yang G J, Vounastsou P, Zhou X N, et al. Effect of climate change and water resource development on the transmission of Schistosoma japonivum in China[J]. Parassitologia, 2005, 47:127-134.
    [16] Nobre A A, Schmidt A M, Lopes H F. Spatio-temporal models for mapping the incidence of malaria in Para[J]. Environmentrics, 2005, 16: 291-304.
    [17] Malone J B, Bergquist N R, Huh O K, et al. A global network for the control of snail-borne disease using satelite survelliance and geographic information systems[J]. Acta Trop, 2001, 79: 7-12.
    [18]李小文,闫珺,金水高,等.地理空间信息与SARS疫情走势[J].遥感学报, 2003, 7: 241-244.
    [19] Fabrice Carrat, Alain Jacques Valleron. Epidemiologic Mapping Using the“Kriging”Method: Application to an Influenza-like Illness Epidemic in France[J]. Am J Epidemiol, 1992, 135(11): 1293-1300.
    [20] Fang L, Yan L, Liang S, et al. Spatial analysis of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in China[J]. BMC Infection Disease, 2006, 6: 77-86.
    [21] Gosoniu L, Vounatsou P, Sogoba N, et al. Bayesian modelling of geostatistical malaria risk data[J]. Geospatial Health, 2006, 1: 127-139.
    [21]刘辉.研究中长寿人群和对照组的确定.中国老年学杂志, 2007, (7):67 8-679.
    [22] Wang F. Spatial clusters of cancer in Illinosis 1986-2000[J]. J Med Syst, 2004, 28: 237-256.
    [23] Kulldorff M, Heffernan R, Hartman J, et al. A space-time permutation scan statistic for the early detection of disease outbreaks[J]. PloS Medicine, 2005, 2(3): 216-224.
    [24] Bullen N, Moon G, Jones K. Defineing localities for health planning: a GIS approach[J]. Soc Sci Med, 1996, 42: 801-816.
    [25] Love D, Lindquist P. The geographical accessibility of hospitals to the aged: a geographic information systems analysis within Illinois[J]. Health Serv Res, 1995, 29: 629-651.
    [26] Rafanelli M, Ferri F, Maceratini R, et al. An object oriented decision support system for the planning of health resource allocation[J]. Comput Methods Programs Biomed, 1995, 48: 163-168.
    [27]彭斌.地理信息系统(GIS)与卫生决策[J].预防医学情报杂志, 2001, 17: 249-251.
    [28]张桦,贾清旺,庄辉坤.紧急医疗救援指挥中心规划与设计[J].中国卫生质量管理, 2005, 12: 61-64.
    [29]陈伟,柏立嘉,曾光.洪涝灾害卫生防疫应急反应信息管理系统的构建[J].中华流行病学杂志, 2004, 25: 1028-1031.
    [30]刘纪远,钟耳顺,庄大方,等. SARS控制与预警地理信息系统的研制与应用[J].遥感学报, 2003, 7: 337-344.

© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号

地址:北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编:100083

电话:办公室:(+86 10)66554848;文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新:66554700