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我国贫富差距问题探析
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摘要
在有中国特色的社会主义道路的指引下,在邓小平“允许一部分人先富起来”口号的引导下,我国的综合国力不断加强,我国居民生活水平不断提高,但是,在这个背景下,我国居民的贫富差距也越来越大。一方面是先富起来的人群收入继续增加,另一方面是后富起来的人群生活水平继续下降。因此,在很长的一段时间里,我国贫富差距问题、收入差距问题成了人们讨论的焦点。如何在追求效率的基础上,不影响社会的公平问题成了我们研究的重点。
     在经济发展的过程中,人们通常认为随着经济的发展,必然会出现一定的经济差距,但是,当经济发展速度加快,经济水平发展到一定程度后,这种差距将会逐渐降低。这也是我们常常谈起的“库兹涅茨”定律。但是,在我国的经济发展过程中,是否会遵循这种规律呢?目前,我国确实随着经济的发展贫富差距逐渐拉大,但是,我国的贫富差距是否会随着经济的继续发展而缩小呢?我国的经济发展目前已经到了一种什么程度,它对人民生活的影响又到了一种什么程度呢?
     在以往的文献中,大多数学者主要讨论了我国的收入差距,原因是收入差距能够在很大程度上表现我国的贫富差距,尤其是在数据的统计中,收入差距更易于统计。同时,不同的学者对我国的收入差距从不同的视角进行了分析,在这些分析中,对我国收入差距与我国经济增长关系的研究比较多。但是,对于其它的影响分析相对较少。因此,本文基于前人的研究成果,试图区分我国的收入差距和贫富差距,认为贫富差距包括收入差距,更具有社会性。同时,在对我国贫富差距的分析中,本文总结了我国不同类型的差距并分别进行了实际比较。另外,在对我国贫富差距的影响上,我们主要考察了我国贫富差距与我国经济发展的影响。我们认为,在我国现阶段,我们不应该简单的只考虑我国的经济增长问题,更应该注重我国的可持续发展问题,因此,我们按照经济发展的定义,先后通过计量方法检验了我国贫富差距问题与我国经济增长的关系、我国贫富差距与我国技术进步的关系以及我国贫富差距与我国经济增长质量的关系。
     通过研究,本文主要试图解决以下问题:首先,我们要总结我国目前的贫富差距现状,确定我国的贫富差距对我国居民生活的影响水平。如果我国目前的贫富差距对我国居民生活有一定的影响,主要表现在哪些方面,另外,我国目前的贫富差距对我国居民生活水平的影响是正向还是负向影响?如果存在负向影响,那么影响我国贫富差距的因素又主要有哪些,我们该怎样缩小我国目前的贫富差距?
     为了解决以上问题,我们先统计了我国目前我国贫富差距的现状,并根据这些实际情况进行了总结,认为我国的贫富差距问题目前逐渐严重,其主要表现为城乡差距,也就是说,我国目前的城乡差距能够基本解释我国的贫富差距。因此,在此基础上,我们首先用胡祖光的基尼系数简易计算法计算了我国改革开放以来的基尼系数,同时,我们计算了我国1995—2007年各省份衡量城乡差距的泰尔指数,然后,我们分别利用这些数据,结合我们从统计年鉴中统计的数据,分别检验了我国贫富差距对我国经济发展的三个方面:经济增长、技术进步和我国经济增长质量的影响。由于我国贫富差距逐渐扩大,我们又分析了影响我国贫富差距的各种因素。最后,我们主要得出了以下结论:
     1.我国贫富差距问题已经较为严重,而且开始影响我国的经济发展。首先,对我国经济增长的影响上,虽然我国目前贫富差距的扩大对于我国的经济增长一直发挥着促进作用,从而加快了经济的增长,但是,从上世纪始,这种促进作用开始降低。其次,对于经济结构的调整上,我们发现,我国各地区的贫富差距对我国技术进步有一种负效应。因此,我国贫富差距的扩大将不利于技术的进步和创新。最后,从我国的经济增长模式上来看,我国贫富差距越大,我国的经济增长模式越趋于粗放型。因此,我国的贫富差距对于我国经济增长模式由粗放型向集约型方向的转变有阻碍作用。因此,从整体上来看,我国贫富差距的扩大,影响了我国经济发展高效能、高质量的前进,对我国的经济发展是不利的。
     我国贫富差距所导致的问题除了对经济的影响外,更重要的是,如果贫富差距持续扩大,可能会增强低收入阶层和高收入阶层之间的对立,从而在社会中形成一股“仇富”心理,再加上目前我国寻租以及腐败行为成为影响我国贫富差距的一个主要因素之一,这就有可能让人民对党和政府的信任度降低,这种局势一旦发展下去,可能会引发一定的社会矛盾,从而不利于社会的稳定发展。
     2.通过对我国贫富差距的具体影响因素的检验,我们发现经济的增长扩大了我国的贫富差距,政府对经济的干预以及政府对各地基础设施的支出程度也增加了我国的贫富差距,而经济结构的调整和城市化程度的提高对缩小我国的经济差距有一定的作用。另外,经济的不稳定性,如经济危机的出现会在一定程度上对我国的贫富差距形成扩大影响。我国对提高农民收入的政策虽然在农村内部起到了一定的作用,但是,与城镇的高速发展水平和其较高的起点相比,农村经济的发展可能还是要慢于我国城镇经济的发展,因此,旨在提高农民收入的经济政策并没有对缩减我国的贫富差距形成显著的影响。
     本文的创新之处主要表现在以下几个方面:
     1.本文全面细致的总结了我国贫富差距的现状和表现形式,并结合相关数据对此进行了实证分析和解释。已有的文献往往是对我国贫富差距表现的其中一个方面进行总结和分析,本文结合我国历年的数据具体分析了我国贫富差距在地区、城乡和行业差距上的不同表现形式,并且最终得出目前我国贫富差距扩大的主要原因仍然是我国二元经济模式下形成的城乡差距。
     2.本文采用了胡祖光给出的测定基尼系数的方法重新测算了我国改革开放以来历年的基尼系数,并以此为依据用计量方法检验了我国贫富差距与我国经济增长的关系。同时,本文用泰尔指数的计算方法计算了我国1995—2007年各省份的泰尔指数,并利用我国1995—2007年各省份的面板数据,对我国技术进步和经济增长质量与我国贫富差距的关系分别进行了计量检验。这样,我们分别截取我国经济发展的三个方面:经济增长,经济结构和经济质量,通过面板分析用比较新的数据分别进行了计量检验,从而全面总结了我国贫富差距扩大对我国经济发展的影响。
     3.通过实证检验,我们发现,我国贫富差距对我国经济增长的影响并没有出现抑制作用,相反,从改革开放以来,我国的贫富差距对我国经济增长的影响一直是一种促进作用,并且这种促进作用自改革开放以来逐渐增强,直至上世纪始,这种促进作用呈现逐渐减弱的趋势。这说明,我国贫富差距问题对经济增长的影响分为经济和社会两个层面。在经济上贫富差距一直表现出对经济的促进作用,但是,从社会问题上,这种差距对人们的影响表现出一种消极作用,从而减弱了人们生产的积极性,进而影响了贫富差距对经济的促进作用。另外,贫富差距对我国技术进步和经济质量的影响,整体上是一种负向影响,但是,从我国内部来看,却是随着贫富差距的增加,地区间技术进步率和经济增长模式的改进程度却在提高,这既符合了边际效应递减的规律,但也同时说明,我国发达地区的技术进步和经济质量的提高并没有同步于经济数量的提高,在经济增长上,发达地区更多的依赖于要素投入,而非技术研发和创新。
Under the Chinese characteristic socialist road's direction, in Deng Xiaoping's guidance "allows part of people to get rich first", our country's comprehensive national strength strengthens unceasingly and our country residents'living standard enhance unceasingly. However, under this background, the wealth disparity in our country is also getting bigger and bigger. On the one hand, the crowd income which gets rich first continues to increase; on the other hand, the people that have low living standard continue to drop. Therefore, in very long period of time, the wealth disparity in our country and the income disparity have become the focal point which the people discuss. How to pursue efficiency's foundation without affecting society's fair question now becomes the key point which we study.
     In economic development process, we often have the view that along with the economical development, there will definitely have certain economic gap. And then, when the rate of economic development speeds up till the time when the economic level develops to a certain extent, the disparity will reduce gradually. The above is also what we call "Kuznets Law". Will our country's economic development obey this law? At present, the wealth disparity does enlarge gradually along with the economical development. But we don't know if it will reduce in future.What degree has our country's economic development arrived at present and what degree has it influence the lives of our people?
     In the former literatures, the majority scholars mainly discussed our country's income disparity because it can explain most of the wealth disparity of our country and it's easier to collect data for statistics. At the same time, the different scholars have carried on the analysis to our country's income disparity from the different angle of view in which they pay more emphasis on the relationship between income disparity and economic growth. However, there is relatively few analysis regarding other impacts. Therefore, this thesis attempts to differentiate the income disparity and wealth disparity based on predecessor's research results, through which we get the conclusion that the wealth disparity, which takes more on sociality, includes the income disparity. At the same time, this thesis summarizes different types of disparity and carries on the actual comparison separately. Moreover, we mainly inspected the influence that the wealth disparity put on the economic development. We believed that in the present stage, we should not only consider economic growth question, but also pay more attention to our country's sustainable development. Therefore, according to economic development's definition, we examine the wealth disparity and economic growth relations, the wealth disparity and technology advancement relations as well as the wealth disparity and economic growth quality relations successively through the practical analysis.
     Through the research, the thesis mainly attempts to solve the following problems: Firstly, we must summarize the present situation of the wealth disparity in China in order to determine the influence level in is on the residents in our country. If it has certain influences, what aspects does it display? Moreover, is the influence positive or negative? Furthermore, if it is the negative influence, what affect the wealth disparity and how can we reduce the disparity?
     In order to solve the above problems, we summarize the present situation of the wealth disparity. We find that its main performance is the urban-rural disparity, i.e., The urban-rural disparity can explain most of our country's wealth disparity. Based on the above, we first use the Hu Zuguang's simple Gini coefficient computation method to calculate the Gini coefficients since 1978. Simultaneously, we calculate the Theil index of every province of our country between the years 1995-2007. Then we use the data separately test the relationships between the wealth disparity and the economic growth, the technology progress and the economic growth quality. We also analyze the factors that affect the wealth disparity. Finally, we mainly draw the following conclusion:
     1. The wealth disparity in our country is already serious and begins to affect our country's economic development. Firstly, it has been a positive influence on our country's economic growth. But now this influence is becoming less and less. Secondly, we discovered that the wealth disparity has a negative effect on the economic structure. The wealth disparity will not favor technical progress and the innovation. Finally, the bigger wealth disparity becomes, the more extensive our country's economic growth pattern tends. That is, the wealth disparity has the hindrance function to the economic growth pattern transformation from the extension to the intensive direction. Therefore, looked from the whole, the wealth disparity has affected our country economic development to a high efficiency mode. It is disadvantageous to our country's economic development.
     Besides to economy influence, the wealth disparity has caused some social questions. If it expands continually, it possibly strengthens the opposition between the low income social stratum and the high income social stratum. More importantly, it will form one psychology of "enmity to the rich" in the society. In addition that corruption becomes an important factor that influence the wealth disparity, the residents will reduces the confidence level to the party and government. Once this kind of situation develops, it possibly will initiate certain society to be contradictory, which will hinder society's steady progression.
     2. Through the examination of influencing factors of the wealth disparity, we discover that the economy growth expanded the wealth disparity. At the same time, the government intervention as well as the infrastructure disbursement degree the government displays also increased the wealth disparity. However, economic structure's adjustment and the urbanized degree's enhancement have certain function to reduce our country's wealth disparity. Moreover, economical instability, such as economic crisis's appearance expands the influence to the wealth disparity. Our country's policy to enhance the farmers'income played certain role in the countryside. But, compared with the cities'high speed level of development and it higher basis, rural economy's development is possibly more slowly than our cities'economy development, that is, the economic policy with the purpose of enhancing the farmers' income did not put an effective influence to reduce the wealth disparity.
     This innovation of the thesis mainly displays in the following aspects:
     1. The thesis comprehensively concludes the present situation of the wealth disparity in China. And then we carry on the empirical analysis and the explanation regarding that. This article used the data to analyze the wealth disparity from area, urban-rural and profession disparity from different aspects. At last we find the primary cause of the wealth disparity in China is the urban-rural gap.
     2. The thesis calculates the Gini coefficient from 1978 to 2008 through Hu Zuguang's method and examines the relations between the wealth disparity and our country's economic growth with the above result. At the same time, the thesis calculates the Theil index of different provinces in our country from 1995 to 2007. On the base of the board data, the thesis separately tests the relations between the wealth disparity and technical progress as well as the economic growth quality. Thus, we intercept our country economic development separately into three aspects:The economic growth, the economic structure and the economic growth quality. Then we carried on the examination separately through the board analysis with the quite recent data, thus we comprehensively summarize the affect that the wealth disparity put on the economic development.
     3. Through the practical test, we discover that the wealth disparity has not presented the inhibitory action to our country economic growth. On the contrary, since Chinese economic reform, the wealth disparity in our country has played a positive part in economic growth and this kind of promoter action has strengthened gradually since the reform. But from the last century's beginning, the tendency of this beneficial affect weakened gradually. This indicated that the wealth disparity question divides into the economic and the social aspects to the economic growth. The wealth disparity has displayed in the economic way as an economical promoter action. But, from the social question, this disparity displays a negative effect to the people, which has weakened the enthusiasm of social production, and then affected the economic affect. Moreover, the influence of the wealth disparity in our country to the technology advancement and the economic growth quality is negative in the whole, but, looking from our country interior, it is that along with the increase of the wealth disparity, rate of technology advancement and the improvement degree of economic growth pattern are enhanced. The above already has conformed to the rule that the marginal utility diminishes progressively, but it also explains that our country developed area's technology advancement and the economic growth quality's enhancement do not have the synchronization in the economic quantity enhancement. The relatively developed local more depends on factor inputs, not technical research and innovation for economic growth.
引文
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