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农民职业分化的影响因素研究
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摘要
20世纪80年代以来,我国进入了前所未有的社会转型期,农民职业结构已经发生并正在发生显著的变化,主要表现是农民由原来单一的农业职业向非农职业的转移,在农村或城镇形成多种职业角色。探索农民职业分化的影响因素,不仅是理论研究之需,而且也是实践之需。
     本文首先对农民概念和农民职业分化的概念进行了界定;其次,以青岛地区为例研究宏观因素对当代农民职业分化的影响;再次,根据实地入村入户调查数据,建立计量经济模型,分析受教育程度、婚姻、年龄、居住地等微观因素对当代农民职业分化的影响,对决定因素做系统分析,揭示特定时空条件下农民职业分化的规律和特征;复次,通过建立农户模型分析农民职业分化对农户的消费和农业生产的影响;最后,提出引导和促进农民职业分化的政策建议。主要研究内容和结果如下。
     对农民概念和农民职业分化的概念进行了界定,当代中国农民职业分化的影响因素可以划分为宏观影响因素和微观影响因素。宏观影响因素包括:经济增长速度和水平、经济结构调整、经济增长方式的转变、城乡收入的不平衡、区域经济发展的不平衡等经济发展因素,户籍制度、城乡分割的社会保障制度、劳动力市场制度、农地制度等体制因素。农民职业分化的微观影响因素包括:性别、年龄、婚姻、受教育程度、党员身份等自身特征,家庭耕地面积、家庭人均耕地面积、家庭劳动力人数、家中儿童数量、家中老人数量等家庭特征,到县城距离、到乡镇距离、每天经过该村客车班次、村中企业数量等居住地特征。
     从影响农民职业分化的宏观因素来看:(1)经济增长是促进青岛地区农民职业分化的根本动因。(2)经济结构的调整为青岛地区农民的职业分化提供了可能空间,引导农民职业向不同产业、不同行业分化。(3)经济增长方式的变化对劳动力的排挤在短期内不利于农民的职业分化,但促使农民提升自身素质,实现可持续分化。(4)城乡收入的差距是农民职业分化的直接诱因。各区域经济发展的不平衡也是影响农民职业分化的重要经济因素。(5)户籍制度和城乡分割的劳动力市场制度、社会保障制度是农民职业分化的主要障碍。(6)农地制度对农民职业分化的影响较为复杂。一方面,土地是职业分化初级阶段农民的保障手段;另一方面,它又使得农民不愿彻底脱离农业和农村,导致农民的兼业化,进而阻碍农民进一步的职业分化。
     从影响农民职业分化的微观因素来看:(1)农民自身因素是农民职业分化的决定因素。农民职业分化最终取决于农民自身因素,家庭因素和居住地因素的影响处于次要位置。(2)就农民自身因素而言,性别、年龄、受教育程度、是否党员对农民职业分化有显著影响,是否结婚对农民职业分化没有影响。男性农民比女性农民实现非农职业所受的约束力小,更容易实现职业分化;年轻人较容易发生分化,年龄越大越不利于农民职业分化;受教育程度是农民职业分化的重要影响因素,受教育程度越高越有利于农民职业分化;党员比非党员更容易实现职业分化。(3)就家庭因素而言,家庭人均耕地面积、家中7岁以下儿童数对农民职业分化有显著的负向影响。家庭人均耕地面积、家中7岁以下儿童数量越多越不利于农民职业分化;家庭劳动力负担系数、家中70岁以上老人数越多越不利于农民职业分化,但他们负向作用并不十分显著;家中61-69岁老人数量越多、家中有党员将有利于农民职业分化,但正向作用并不十分显著;是否户主对农民职业分化没有影响。(4)就居住地因素而言,区位条件对农民职业分化有显著影响,距离县城近比距离县城远的农民更容易分化;到乡镇距离对农民职业分化影响总体不显著;村中企业数量对农民职业分化有显著正向影响。
     农民职业分化对农民生产及生活具有多方面的影响。职业分化使得农户改变了传统的纯农业生产模式,逐步向兼业化发展。农户从事农业的劳动力减少对粮食生产等种植业生产有一定影响。农民职业分化使大量劳动力从土地上转移出去,为土地合理流转创造了条件,是促进农村劳动力资源有效配置和提高农业劳动生产率的重要途径。另外,农民职业分化使农民收入来源多样化并且增加了农民收入、改变了消费结构,有利于提高职业分化农民的素质。农民职业分化还使农户贫富差距拉大。
     政府引导和推进我国农民的职业分化,基本的政策思路只能是尊重农民,通过循序渐进的改革来实现。政策的切入点是着眼于当前农民的职业分化尚处于初级阶段所具有的不稳定性和不彻底性的实际和农民职业分化过程的实际需要,一方面稳定和促使已经发生了职业分化的农民彻底完成职业分化,另一方面促进尚未发生职业分化的农民逐步进入职业分化过程。主要的政策措施是:改革户籍制度,创新农民保障制度,完善土地流转制度,健全城乡一体化劳动力市场,加强农民教育培训,努力提高农民素质等。
Since 1980s, China has been in an unprecedented social transformation period. Farmers’professional structure has taken and is taking prominent changes, which mainly shows that former single agricultural profession shifts to non-agricultural one and there form many kinds of professional roles in the countryside or town. To probe into the influencing factors of farmers’professional differentiation is of both theoretical and practical significant.
     The dissertation first delimits the notion of farmers and the notion of farmers’professional differentiation. Secondly, taking Qingdao area as an example, it studies the macro-factors which influence the current farmers’professional differentiation. Thirdly, based on the research statistics of farmers’residence in villages, it sets up a calculating economic model, analyzes the influences of micro-factors, such as level of education, marital status, age, residence and so on, on the farmer’s professional differentiation and manifests the laws and features of farmers’professional differentiation at a particular time and space by systematically analyzing the decisive factors. Fourthly, it analyzes influences of farmers’professional differentiation on farmer household consumption and the agricultural production by setting up a farmer household model. At last, it proposes policies and suggestions to guide and promote farmer’s professional differentiation. Here are the major contents and results of the research:
     It delimits the notion of farmers and the notion of farmers’professional differentiation. The influencing factors of farmers’professional differentiation in contemporary China can be classified into macro ones and micro ones. Macro influencing factors include economic factors, such as the rate and level of economic growth, restructuring of economic structure, the change of the economic growth mode, the income difference between urban and rural population, the imbalance of regional economic development and so on, and systematic factors, such as household registration system, different social security systems in urban and rural areas, labor market system, farmland system, and so on. Micro influencing factors include personal characteristics, such as gender, age, marital status, level of education, party member identity and so on, family characteristics, such as the total farmland of the family, per-capita farmland of family members, the number of labors, the number of the children and the old and so on, and the residence characteristics, such as the distance from towns, the number of buses passing by a village, the number of village ownership enterprises and so on.
     The macro factors influence farmers’professional differentiation as follows: (1) Economic growth is the fundamental motivation for farmer’s professional differentiation in Qingdao area. (2) The restructuring of economic structure provides more space for farmer’s professional differentiation and guides it towards different professions. (3) The narrowing down of the need for labors owning to the change in the pattern of economic growth is unfavorable to farmer’s professional differentiation, but it urges farmers to improve themselves and helps to realize the sustainable differentiation. (4) The income difference between urban and rural areas directly results in farmers’professional differentiation. The imbalance of economic development in different areas is also an important economic factor for farmers’professional differentiation. (5) Household registration system, different labor market systems in urban and rural areas and social security make the main obstacles for farmer’s professional differentiation. (6) Farmland system has complicated influences on farmer’s professional differentiation. On one hand, farmland is a kind of security for farmers in the primary stage of professional differentiation. On the other hand, it makes farmers reluctant to completely leave their farmland, which universalizes the diversity of farmers’professions and hinders further development of professional differentiation.
     Micro factors influence farmers’professional differentiation as follows: (1) The personal factor of farmers is the decisive factor of professional differentiation. Farmer’s professional differentiation is determined by the personal factor while the family and residence factors are less important. (2) As far as the personal factor of farmers is concerned, gender, age, level of educational, party member identity have prominent influences on farmer’s professional differentiation while marital status has no effect. There is less restraint for male farmers than the female in undertaking non-agricultural professions. The older the farmer is, the harder the professional differentiation is realized. The level of education plays an important role in farmer’s professional differentiation. The better-educated and party-member farmers tend to be easy to join in the professional differentiation. (3) In terms of family factor, the per-capita farmland of family members and the number of children under the age of seven have apparent negative effect on farmer’s professional differentiation. That is to say, the more per-capita farmland and the more children under seven, the more difficult the professional differentiation is. The more the burden coefficient of family labors and the more the number of the old above the age of sixty-nine, the more difficult the professional differentiation is, but their negative influence is not prominent. The numbers of the old of 61-69 years old and party member identity are important factors in promoting farmers’professional differentiation but their positive influence is also not prominent. Whether a farmer is the head of a household is of no influence on farmer’s professional differentiation. (4) As for residence factor, regional condition has significant influence on farmer’s professional differentiation. Farmers near cities are more likely to be differentiated than those who are far away. But whether farmers are near or far away from towns has no apparent influence and the number of village ownership enterprises has positive influence on farmer’s professional differentiation.
     Farmer’s professional differentiation influences agricultural production and daily life in many aspects. Professional differentiation changes the traditional farming production mode and makes it more diversified. The reduction of labors in farming will, to some extent, affect plantation production, such as crops production. Farmer’s professional differentiation makes a large number of labors leave their farmland and then paves the way for rational use of farmland. It becomes an important way to promote the rational and effective distribution of rural labor forces and improve labor productivity. Besides, farmer’s professional differentiation diversifies farmers’income sources, raises their income, changes the consumption patterns and improves their quality. Farmer’s professional differentiation also widens the gap between the rich and the poor in the countryside.
     Our government’s basic policy to guide and promote farmer’s professional differentiation is to respect farmers and do it through constant reform. The policy should give high priority to the real needs in the process of professional differentiation and to the fact that farmer’s professional differentiation is in its primary stage and of high instability and low thoroughness. For one thing, the purpose of the policy is to stabilize and encourage those differentiated farmers. For another, the policy aims to make undifferentiated farmers to join the professional differentiation. The main contents include reforming household registration system, innovating of farmer’s security system, improving farmland circulation system, perfecting information network of urban and rural integration labor market, strengthening farmers’training and education and enhancing farmers’quality.
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