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基于市场结构分析的中国电影产业发展研究
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摘要
中国电影产业体制改革推动了中国电影产业的快速发展。目前,中国电影产量位居世界前三位,影院银幕数量居于世界前列,中国国产电影票房收入也已连续几年超过进口分账大片。但是,与美国等电影大国相比,中国电影产业还存在产业规模小、电影企业竞争力弱、电影创新能力弱等诸多问题。导致中国电影产业出现这些问题的因素有很多,本文主要从中国电影产业体制改革所带来的市场结构变化角度,运用西方产业经济理论中有关市场结构的基本理论,研究电影市场结构对电影企业技术创新、非主旋律电影和主旋律电影生产绩效的影响。从基本的逻辑结构来看,本文研究内容可分为三大部分。第一部分为电影产业市场结构的基本理论,第二部分对中国电影市场结构现状,以及中国电影市场结构对电影技术创新、中国非旋律电影和主旋律电影内容生产绩效的影响进行实证研究,第三部分在实证研究的基础上,提出中国电影产业政策的基本思路和建议。
     电影产品是一种内容产品,也是一种信息产品,因而大多数国家将电影产业归入文化产业或内容产业等新兴产业之中。这是因为电影是一种特殊产品,它同时具有经济属性、艺术属性和意识形态属性。社会主义的中国作为一个发展中国家,目前面临外国强大的文化输入,尤其要注意协调好电影产品三种属性之间的关系。为此,本文在分析电影市场结构对电影技术创新影响的同时,将电影分为主旋律电影和非主旋律电影,并分别探讨电影市场结构对两种类型电影内容生产的影响。
     电影产品是一种文化产品,具有信息资源的生产特征,电影生产并不完全受自然资源稀缺性的制约,同时电影也是一种版权产品,具有边际成本极低,平均成本递减的特征。根据竞争性垄断市场结构的构成条件,电影产业市场结构更适合形成一种竞争性垄断市场结构。但是,本文通过历史研究方法和量化实证研究方法得出结论认为,中国电影市场结构还不是一种真正的竞争性垄断型,而只是准竞争性垄断市场结构。其主要原因是当前中国电影市场还存在一定的行政壁垒和垄断行为,电影创新还不是市场竞争的核心。在中国电影的准竞争性市场结构内,电影制片业的产量集中度与票房收入集中度产生背离,中国发行公司和院线公司市场集中度较高,但影院市场集中度较低;中影等少数几家大型电影制片企业和院线公司略显规模经济效应,但中国发行公司和影院的规模经济效应并不明显;中国电影产品的差异性增强,但也还存在新的类型影片发展缓慢、同种类型影片的内容题材和创作形式同质化现象严重、主旋律电影的类型化发展受到制约等一些问题;中国电影市场壁垒正在逐步降低,电影发行和院线市场的进入壁垒还较高,内容审查和电影评价成本过高导致中国电影市场壁垒还在一定程度上阻碍竞争的发展。
     本文认为中国电影产量的市场集中度指标与电影产业技术创新并不存在正向关系,而呈反向关系,结论并不支持市场集中度越高,企业技术创新效率越高的观点。但是,从电影票房收入集中度来看,本文的结论又支持市场集中度与企业技术创新呈正相关的观点。从表面上来看,这两者似乎存在矛盾,但实际上正好反映当前我国电影市场结构与技术创新的现状。因为当前中国电影市场还存在局部的过度竞争,而大规模电影集团又基本控制了中国数字电影技术,许多小型电影制作公司制作的数字电影很难进入影院。不难看出,过低的市场集中度所表现出来的过度竞争,对中国电影技术创新的长期发展会带来一定的负面影响。从电影企业规模来看,无论是在电影企业技术过程创新还是产品创新,大规模电影企业都占绝对优势,中小规模电影企业总体创新能力较弱。根据市场壁垒降低给电影市场所带来的变化,本文的结论认为无论从电影制片业数量的变化、影院数量的变化,还是从进口影片数量的变化角度来分析,电影市场壁垒的降低都有利于电影产业的技术创新。
     在有关电影市场结构对非主旋律电影内容生产带来影响的研究中,本文用历史研究工作方法分析认为,由于政府过多的行政力量存在,过高和过低的电影制片业市场集中度都不利于非主旋律电影创新。从电影企业规模角度来看,电影企业的规模大小与非主旋律电影内容生产效率存在一定的正相关性,并支持经济学理论关于大规模企业规模经济效应和生产效率相应较大的观点。本文结论也认为,市场壁垒的降低有利于民营资本和境外资本的进入,不仅不会产生“替代效应”和“挤出效应”,而且会对中国非主旋律电影的发展起重要的推动作用,研究结论支持市场壁垒降低、民营资本和境外资本进入有利于中国非主旋律电影内容生产的观点。
     2003年以前的中国电影制片业集中度较高,但不足以说明其对中国主旋律电影产生正面影响,因为这只是中国电影体制改革初期和过渡期的一种特殊现象,主旋律电影的迅速发展主要受益于政府的扶持行为;而2003年以后,随着电影制片业市场集中度快速下降,主旋律电影市场并没有产生良性竞争,反而出现过度竞争,并逐渐成为中国主旋律电影发展的障碍。本文结论认为大规模电影企业与中小型电影企业对中国主旋律电影内容生产起相同的作用,大规模电影企业的资金实力、抗风险能力和品牌效应有利于主旋律电影生产,而主旋律电影的多样化和创新又需要更多的中小型电影企业的参与。中国电影市场壁垒的降低,促进了中国主旋律电影生产主体的多元化,更多的民营资本和境外资本进入中国电影制片市场,对中国主旋律电影生产起重要的推动作用。
     根据以上研究结论,本文最后简要分析了外国主要电影国家的电影产业政策,提出中国电影产业政策调整要立足于维护本国利益和民族利益,根据后发国家的实际情况,以优化电影市场结构为目的,并符合国际惯例。首先,要进一步降低电影市场壁垒,但要制定相应政策来抑制过度竞争;其次,要在支持电影企业规模化发展的同时,制定具体的措施扶持创新型中小型电影企业的发展;再次,要制定相应的电影反垄断政策,规范电影市场竞争秩序;最后,建议将电影审查制度纳入到电影产业政策体系,制定适度的主旋律电影扶持性产业政策。
The reform of system in Chinese film industry has greatly speeded the development of itself. Now, the output of Chinese film is top3in the world and the number of screens is also in the top class, besides, the domestic box office income has exceeded that of import films recent years. However, comparing with some big film-producing countries like America, Chinese film industry is now facing many problems like weak in size, competitive power and creativity which are caused by many factors. Under the basis of western industrial economy theories about market structure, this article will have a research on the influence of film market structure to the innovation of film enterprise technology and the production performance of theme and non-theme film from the perspective of the changes on market structure caused by system reform of Chinese film industry. The research has three parts logically. The first part is about some basic theories of film industry market and film innovation. An empirical study on current Chinese film market situation, influence of Chinese film market structure to the innovation of film technology and the production performance of theme and non-theme film will be taken in the second part. The last part will raise some thoughts and suggestions of Chinese film industrial policy under the basis of the empirical study.
     Film product is a kind of content product, as well as a kind of information product. Therefore, most countries have classified film industry into new emergent industry like cultural industry and content industry. Due to its specialty, film has economy nature, art nature and ideology nature at the same time. China, as a developing socialism country, is facing a large foreign culture input, it is important to have good coordination of the three natures. So apart from the analysis of influence of Chinese film market structure to the innovation of film technology, this article will classify film into theme film and non-theme one and inquire into the influence of film market structure to them individually.
     Film product is a kind of cultural product which has the production character of information resource. Film production is not totally bonded by the limitation of natural resource; meanwhile, film is a kind of copyright product, which has the character of extremely low marginal cost and decreasing average cost. Film industry market should be a competitive monopoly market according to its consisting factors. However, with history method and quantization empirical research method, this article draw a conclusion that Chinese film market structure is not the kind of competitive monopoly market yet, but just a pre-competitive monopoly market. This is mainly because current Chinese film market still has certain administrative barriers and monopoly behavior and the core of market competition do not lie in film innovation. In the pre-competitive monopoly market structure of Chinese film, the concentration degree of production output deviates from that of the box office income. Though a few film production tycoons like China Film Corporation show certain scales, scale economy effect of most issuing companies and theaters is not obvious. Chinese film products show more diversity, but problems still come out:new type film develops slowly; same type film tends to repeat in content and style; theme films development is restricted in mold. Chinese film market barriers gradually turn lower, but the entry of issuing and theater market is still in a certain height. The market barrier that is caused by the high cost of content review and film commenting hinder the development of competition in some way.
     This article suggests that market concentration degree term of Chinese film output does not have positive relationship with film industry technology innovation, but shows negative relationship. The conclusion does not support the opinion that the higher the market concentration degree is, the higher the efficiency of enterprise technology innovation will be. However, from the view of the booking office income concentration degree of film, the conclusion supports the positive relationship between film industry technology innovation and market concentration degree. On the surface, it seems to be a contradiction, but actually, it reflects the current situation of Chinese film market structure and technology innovation. Chinese film market has some partial excessive competition and the large scale film corporations handle the core digital film technology, which makes it difficult for many little companies' product enter into theater. It is obvious that low market concentration degree leads to excessive competition and this will make certain side effect on the long term development of Chinese film technology innovation. From the perspective of enterprise scale, large scale film enterprises have overwhelming superiority no matter in technology innovation or products innovation and small and medium scale companies overall are weak in creativity ability. According to the research of changes in film market that are taken by the decrease of market barrier, the conclusion of the article supports that the decrease of market barrier will benefit to the technology innovation of film industry no matter analyzing from the perspective of changes in the number of film and theater or changes in the number of import film.
     In the research of influence of film market to non-theme film, with history research method, this article holds the opinion that due to much administrative strength, too high or too low film production market concentration degree both are not favorable to innovation of non-theme film. From the perspective of film enterprise scale, the scale has certain positive relationship with non-theme film production. The article also supports the opinion in economic theories that scale economy effect of large enterprise results in large production efficiency. The conclusion shows that the decrease of market barrier will attract more private and oversea capital and this will not produce "replacing effect" or "extrusion effect", on the contrary, it can give an impetus to the development of Chinese non-theme film. The conclusion supports that the decrease of market barrier and the entry of private and oversea capital will be advantageous to Chinese non-theme film production.
     Chinese film production has a high concentration degree before2003, but this cannot prove its positive influence to Chinese theme film because it is a special phenomenon in the initial period of Chinese film system reform and the fast development of Chinese theme film is attributed by the support of government. After2003, concentration degree decreased very in a large extent, benign competition did not come out, while excessive competition is produced and it gradually became the main obstacle of the development of Chinese theme film. The conclusion of this article supports that large scale film enterprise and medium and small film company play the same effect to Chinese theme film. The strong strength in finance, risk assisting and brand effect of large scale enterprise benefits to the production of theme film. The diversity and creation of theme film also need to the participation of medium and small film company. The decrease of Chinese film market barrier can promote the diversity of the main creation body of Chinese theme film, attract more private and oversea capital coming into Chinese film production market and push the development of Chinese theme film production.
     According to the above research, this article has a brief analysis of the industrial policy of main foreign film countries and suggests that the adjustment of Chinese film industry policy should base on protecting the benefit of the country and nation, conduct under the purpose of optimizing film market structure and conform to international rule. Firstly, film market barrier should be lower in advance; besides, related policy to prevent excessive competition should be carried out. Secondly, the support to the scale enlarging of film enterprise is needed, at the same time; measures should be taken out to assist the development of medium and small company of innovation type. Thirdly, anti-monopoly policy of film should be set up to standardize the order of film market competition. Lastly, the article suggests that film review system can be brought into film industry policy system and proper assisting policies to theme film are also necessary.
引文
①参阅国务院办公厅国办发[2010]9号文件。
    ②参阅《关于改革电影发行放映机制的实施细则(试行)》
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