中国产业内贸易的经济效应研究
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摘要
产业内贸易已经成为当今国际贸易的主要形式和获取国际贸易利益的重要手段。伴随着经济全球化进程的不断加快,产业内贸易的发展规模和对世界经济的贡献也愈来愈大,更是极大程度地影响了各个参与国家的贸易额和国民经济的增长率。随着产业内贸易的迅速发展,中国进一步融入到世界分工和贸易中,其经济效应渗透到国内经济的各个层面。那么,产业内贸易究竟产生了怎样的经济效应?这些经济效应又怎样对一国经济发展、福利分配等方面产生影响?这就构成了本文研究的逻辑起点。
本文所研究的是,在产业内贸易已经成为国际主要贸易模式的大背景下,如何发挥产业内贸易的经济效应。换句话说,本文研究的前提条件是：产业内贸易已经成为国际主要贸易模式,是世界各国发展对外贸易必须面对的现实存在；本文讨论的核心问题是：产业内贸易的究竟产生了怎样的经济效应,中国如何更好发挥产业内贸易的经济效应来不断促进国民经济发展又好又快的发展。
基于此,本文除了第一章的导论、第二章的文献综述和以及最后一章的结论和有待进一步解决的问题之外,主要研究内容包括以下几个方面：
(1)产业内贸易经济效应的内在机理。本文的第三章主要从直接经济效应和间接经济效应两个大的方面来论述,即它的直接效应主要包括经济增长效应、技术创新效应、产业转移效应和就业效应,它的间接效应主要包括人力资本效应、收入分配效应和消费效应。产业内贸易的诸多效应之间并非完全的割裂,它们之间有着各种千丝万缕的联系,可能相互作用、相互影响。
(2)中国主要产业的产业内贸易实证研究。本文的第四章从国内视角对中国产业内贸易条件下的农产品(主要是以初级农产品为代表)、工业制成品和服务贸易品的2000-2010年数据为代表进行经济效应的实证分析,并通过对跨行业的产业内贸易分析来探讨其发挥经济效益的强弱。
(3)中国主要贸易伙伴的产业内贸易研究分析。本文的第五章从国际的视角选取与中国有密切贸易关系的美国、欧盟和日本三个国家为代表,分别对中美产业内贸易(以2000-2010年数据为代表)、中欧产业内贸易(以2003-2010年数据为代表)和中日产业内贸易(以2000-2010年数据为代表)的经济效应进行研究分析,力图从更为宽广的视角探讨其对一国经济增长贡献的作用途径。
(4)在前文分析的基础上,本文的第六章从国家宏观战略层面、产业中观层面和企业微观层面三个层次对如何有效提升中国产业内贸易水平,更好发挥其经济效应的问题提出针对性强、操作性好、力度大、有特色的对策建议。
Intra-industry trade has become the main form of today's international trade and the important means of access to the international trade interests. Accompanied by the accelerating process of economic globalization, the size of intra-industry has been increased swiftly, so did the contribution to the world's economy, this affects the growth rate and the volume of trade of the participating countries' economy. With the rapid development of intra-industry trade, China's further integration into the world division of labor and trade, its economic effects penetration into all levels of the domestic economy. What economic effect did intra-industry trade ever made exactly? How these economic effects affected the country's economic development and the welfare distribution? This constitutes a logical starting point for this study.
Based on these questions, the paper first review and summarize the advance outstanding achievements and research content related industries trade empirical analysis and theoretical studies, which also lay a good theoretical basis for the interpretation and empirical analysis theory behind. Secondly, followed by intra-industry trade the basic issues of meaning, measurement methods and segmentation methods, make the necessary rationalization of model variables and metrics defined. Thirdly, on the basis of learning the former researchers' achievements of the economic effects of intra-industry trade, reconstructs theory from the two major aspects of the direct economic effects and the indirect economic effects, attempts to make a further detailed system exposition of its internal mechanism,. The direct effects include the effect of economic growth, the technological innovation effect, the effect of the transfer of industries and the employment effects. The indirect effects include the effect of human capital, the income distribution effect and consumption effect. These effects of intra-industry trade is not completely divided, they are all inextricably linked, may interact and influence each other. Fourthly, from the perspective of domestic, empirical analysis of Chinese agricultural products (mainly primary agricultural representative), the economic effects of trade in manufactured goods and services trade goods industry (2000-2010), and analysis by cross-industry, intra-industry trade to explore its role to the economic benefits. Fifthly, from the perspective of the country, analysis the economic effects of the Intra-industry trade data between China and the United States (2000-2010), China and the European Union (2003-2010), as well as China and Japan (2000-2010), trying to explore the internal mechanism of intra-industry trade contribute to the economic development of a country from a broader perspective. Sixthly, discuss from the macro level of the state, the meso level of the industry and the micro level of the enterprise, on how to make the targeted, operability, forceful, characteristics Suggestions, in order to improve the progress of Intra-industry trade of China. Finally, summarizes the main points of this article, and the further direction to the continue study.
本文所研究的是,在产业内贸易已经成为国际主要贸易模式的大背景下,如何发挥产业内贸易的经济效应。换句话说,本文研究的前提条件是：产业内贸易已经成为国际主要贸易模式,是世界各国发展对外贸易必须面对的现实存在；本文讨论的核心问题是：产业内贸易的究竟产生了怎样的经济效应,中国如何更好发挥产业内贸易的经济效应来不断促进国民经济发展又好又快的发展。
基于此,本文除了第一章的导论、第二章的文献综述和以及最后一章的结论和有待进一步解决的问题之外,主要研究内容包括以下几个方面：
(1)产业内贸易经济效应的内在机理。本文的第三章主要从直接经济效应和间接经济效应两个大的方面来论述,即它的直接效应主要包括经济增长效应、技术创新效应、产业转移效应和就业效应,它的间接效应主要包括人力资本效应、收入分配效应和消费效应。产业内贸易的诸多效应之间并非完全的割裂,它们之间有着各种千丝万缕的联系,可能相互作用、相互影响。
(2)中国主要产业的产业内贸易实证研究。本文的第四章从国内视角对中国产业内贸易条件下的农产品(主要是以初级农产品为代表)、工业制成品和服务贸易品的2000-2010年数据为代表进行经济效应的实证分析,并通过对跨行业的产业内贸易分析来探讨其发挥经济效益的强弱。
(3)中国主要贸易伙伴的产业内贸易研究分析。本文的第五章从国际的视角选取与中国有密切贸易关系的美国、欧盟和日本三个国家为代表,分别对中美产业内贸易(以2000-2010年数据为代表)、中欧产业内贸易(以2003-2010年数据为代表)和中日产业内贸易(以2000-2010年数据为代表)的经济效应进行研究分析,力图从更为宽广的视角探讨其对一国经济增长贡献的作用途径。
(4)在前文分析的基础上,本文的第六章从国家宏观战略层面、产业中观层面和企业微观层面三个层次对如何有效提升中国产业内贸易水平,更好发挥其经济效应的问题提出针对性强、操作性好、力度大、有特色的对策建议。
Intra-industry trade has become the main form of today's international trade and the important means of access to the international trade interests. Accompanied by the accelerating process of economic globalization, the size of intra-industry has been increased swiftly, so did the contribution to the world's economy, this affects the growth rate and the volume of trade of the participating countries' economy. With the rapid development of intra-industry trade, China's further integration into the world division of labor and trade, its economic effects penetration into all levels of the domestic economy. What economic effect did intra-industry trade ever made exactly? How these economic effects affected the country's economic development and the welfare distribution? This constitutes a logical starting point for this study.
Based on these questions, the paper first review and summarize the advance outstanding achievements and research content related industries trade empirical analysis and theoretical studies, which also lay a good theoretical basis for the interpretation and empirical analysis theory behind. Secondly, followed by intra-industry trade the basic issues of meaning, measurement methods and segmentation methods, make the necessary rationalization of model variables and metrics defined. Thirdly, on the basis of learning the former researchers' achievements of the economic effects of intra-industry trade, reconstructs theory from the two major aspects of the direct economic effects and the indirect economic effects, attempts to make a further detailed system exposition of its internal mechanism,. The direct effects include the effect of economic growth, the technological innovation effect, the effect of the transfer of industries and the employment effects. The indirect effects include the effect of human capital, the income distribution effect and consumption effect. These effects of intra-industry trade is not completely divided, they are all inextricably linked, may interact and influence each other. Fourthly, from the perspective of domestic, empirical analysis of Chinese agricultural products (mainly primary agricultural representative), the economic effects of trade in manufactured goods and services trade goods industry (2000-2010), and analysis by cross-industry, intra-industry trade to explore its role to the economic benefits. Fifthly, from the perspective of the country, analysis the economic effects of the Intra-industry trade data between China and the United States (2000-2010), China and the European Union (2003-2010), as well as China and Japan (2000-2010), trying to explore the internal mechanism of intra-industry trade contribute to the economic development of a country from a broader perspective. Sixthly, discuss from the macro level of the state, the meso level of the industry and the micro level of the enterprise, on how to make the targeted, operability, forceful, characteristics Suggestions, in order to improve the progress of Intra-industry trade of China. Finally, summarizes the main points of this article, and the further direction to the continue study.
引文
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① 中华人民共和国国民经济和社会发展第十二个五年规划纲要[N].人民日报,2011-3-17
① 中华人民共和国国民经济和社会发展第十二个五年规划纲要[N].人民日报,2011-3-17
① 中华人民共和国国民经济和社会发展第十二个五年规划纲要[N].人民日报,2011-3-17
① 中华人民共和国国民经济和社会发展第十二个五年规划纲要[N].人民日报,2011-3-17
② 中华人民共和国国民经济和社会发展第十二个五年规划纲要[N].人民日报,2011-3-17
① 中华人民共和国国民经济和社会发展第十二个五年规划纲要[N].人民日报,2011-3-17
① 中华人民共和国国民经济和社会发展第十二个五年规划纲要[N].人民日报,2011-3-17
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