大庆油田第八采油厂剩余储量开发策略研究
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摘要
大庆油田第八采油厂于1983年开始投入开发，分布在大庆长垣东南部，主要开采“三低”油藏，即丰度低、渗透率低、产量低。目前管辖宋芳屯、升平、徐家围子、永乐、肇州和卫星六个油田，探明含油面积889.6km~2，地质储量33514×10~4t；动用含油面积317.7km~2、地质储量11747×10~4t。剩余地质储量占总探明储量的65％。作为子公司形式的采油厂，如果大量储量得不到开发，很难申请到下步勘探投资，这种情况下，企业的可持续发展将面临巨大的压力。而在剩余储量中，大部分为低丰度和特低渗透油层，在常规开采方式下，这些储量开发经济效益很差，达不到行业标准。
因此，找出一些针对性较强的、具有经济效益的开发策略，是一个非常迫切的任务。本论文在综合分析目前开采方式的基础上，结合外围东部油层的具体特点，提出几种新的开采模式，并对这几种模式进行分析评价，尝试找出不同地理环境和经济环境下的一些针对性非常强的开采模式，使这些低丰度和特低渗透的剩余储量得到有效的动用，降低油田产量递减速度，提高企业的可持续发展能力。
本文首先对企业的发展现状进行了分析，然后用SWOT方法分折了第八采油厂的运营环境，在企业生存发展的机会、威胁、优势和劣势明晰化之后，重点对第八采油厂的油藏开发特征进行了详细的剖析，推导出产量预测模型，并对成本的增长趋势进行分析；在此基础上，应用FoxPro软件建立开发策略评价模型；最后利用评价模型对剩余储量开发策略进行分析对比，并对第八采油厂中期发展前景进行了展望。
The eighth oil mining factory of the Daqing oil field began to be put into developing in 1983. The factory distributes in the southeast of the placanticline of Daqing,and develops the " three-low" reservoir mainly, namely low abundant degree, low permeability, and low output. Now it administers six oil fields, naming songfangtun,shengping,xujiaweizi,yongle,zhaozhou and weixing.The area is 889.6 square kilometers, and the geological reserve is 335 million tons. And now the developed area is 317.7 square kilometers, but the developed reserve is 117 million tons. So the geological reserve of surplus accounts for 65% of the verified reserve. As the oil mining factory of subsidiary, if a large amount of reserve can not be developed , it is very difficult to get more exploration investment. Under this kind of situation, the sustainable development of the enterprise will face enormous pressure. However the majority of the remaining reserve is some reservoirs of low abundant degree or special low permeability. Under
the Exploiting way in the routine, it is very hard to gain economic benefits in these reservoirs, and can't reach the standard.
So it is a very urgent task to find out some relatively better development tactics with economic benefits. This paper combines the concrete characteristic of the peripheral the east oil reservoir on the basis of analyzing synthetically some exploit ways at present, and proposes several new exploitation modes. At last it appraises these kinds of modes after analyzing them. This paper try to find out some exploitation modes with very strong pertinence under different geographical environment and economic environment. Make surplus reserve of some low abundant degree reservoir and some specially low permeability ones to get effective. Reduce decreasing speed of output in the oil field, and raise the sustainable development ability of the enterprise.
At first this paper analyzes the development current situation of the enterprise.and analyzes the operation environment of the eighth oil recovery factory with SWOT method in this text. After the chance, threat, advantage and inferior strength of development of the enterprise is distinct , In this procedure, this paper analyzes the reservoir development characteristics of this factory importantly, and derives predict models of output, and the growth trend of cost is analyzed. On the basis of this, it sets up an appraisal model of development tactics using FoxPro software. Utilizing the appraisal model ,it analyze and compares these new development tactic of surplus reserve. At last, it looks into the distance to the development prospect of middle period of the eighth oil mining factory.
因此，找出一些针对性较强的、具有经济效益的开发策略，是一个非常迫切的任务。本论文在综合分析目前开采方式的基础上，结合外围东部油层的具体特点，提出几种新的开采模式，并对这几种模式进行分析评价，尝试找出不同地理环境和经济环境下的一些针对性非常强的开采模式，使这些低丰度和特低渗透的剩余储量得到有效的动用，降低油田产量递减速度，提高企业的可持续发展能力。
本文首先对企业的发展现状进行了分析，然后用SWOT方法分折了第八采油厂的运营环境，在企业生存发展的机会、威胁、优势和劣势明晰化之后，重点对第八采油厂的油藏开发特征进行了详细的剖析，推导出产量预测模型，并对成本的增长趋势进行分析；在此基础上，应用FoxPro软件建立开发策略评价模型；最后利用评价模型对剩余储量开发策略进行分析对比，并对第八采油厂中期发展前景进行了展望。
The eighth oil mining factory of the Daqing oil field began to be put into developing in 1983. The factory distributes in the southeast of the placanticline of Daqing,and develops the " three-low" reservoir mainly, namely low abundant degree, low permeability, and low output. Now it administers six oil fields, naming songfangtun,shengping,xujiaweizi,yongle,zhaozhou and weixing.The area is 889.6 square kilometers, and the geological reserve is 335 million tons. And now the developed area is 317.7 square kilometers, but the developed reserve is 117 million tons. So the geological reserve of surplus accounts for 65% of the verified reserve. As the oil mining factory of subsidiary, if a large amount of reserve can not be developed , it is very difficult to get more exploration investment. Under this kind of situation, the sustainable development of the enterprise will face enormous pressure. However the majority of the remaining reserve is some reservoirs of low abundant degree or special low permeability. Under
the Exploiting way in the routine, it is very hard to gain economic benefits in these reservoirs, and can't reach the standard.
So it is a very urgent task to find out some relatively better development tactics with economic benefits. This paper combines the concrete characteristic of the peripheral the east oil reservoir on the basis of analyzing synthetically some exploit ways at present, and proposes several new exploitation modes. At last it appraises these kinds of modes after analyzing them. This paper try to find out some exploitation modes with very strong pertinence under different geographical environment and economic environment. Make surplus reserve of some low abundant degree reservoir and some specially low permeability ones to get effective. Reduce decreasing speed of output in the oil field, and raise the sustainable development ability of the enterprise.
At first this paper analyzes the development current situation of the enterprise.and analyzes the operation environment of the eighth oil recovery factory with SWOT method in this text. After the chance, threat, advantage and inferior strength of development of the enterprise is distinct , In this procedure, this paper analyzes the reservoir development characteristics of this factory importantly, and derives predict models of output, and the growth trend of cost is analyzed. On the basis of this, it sets up an appraisal model of development tactics using FoxPro software. Utilizing the appraisal model ,it analyze and compares these new development tactic of surplus reserve. At last, it looks into the distance to the development prospect of middle period of the eighth oil mining factory.
引文
[1] 李道品等．低渗透砂岩油藏开发[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，1997：175-203
[2] 王永山，王树立等．大庆外围低渗透油田可采储量评价方法研究[J]．大庆石油地质与开发，2003(4)：18-20
[3] 中国石油天然气总公司计划局．石油工业建设项目经济评价方法与参数[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，1994：15-17
[4] 隋军．大庆外围低渗透油田开采技术[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，2003：44
[5] John M Ivancevich. Human Resource management[M]. 8th ed. McGraw-Hill Companies, 2001: 15-19
[6] 杨金华 徐建山．石油商务大全[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，2002：193-197
[7] [美]菲利普．科特勒著．梅汝和等译．营销管理[M](第10版)．北京：中国人民大学出版社，2001：165-167
[8] 王俊魁等．油气藏工程方法研究与应用[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，1998：79-83
[9] 何淑芷等．数学物理方法[M]．广州：华南理工大学出版社，2003：93-97
[10] 王宏伟等．油气藏动态预测方法[M]：北京：石油工业出版社，2001：101-112，131
[11] 刘岩．努力降低石油生产成本[J]．石油企业管理，1999，36(8)：13-21
[12] 肖立志等．核磁共振测井资料解释与应用导论[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，2001：86-87
[13] Conn, White. D. The revolution in upstream oil and gas[J]．Mckinsey Quarterly, 1994, 3: 2
[14] 陈元千等．现代油藏工程[M]．北京：石油工业出版社．2001：58-64
[15] 韩大匡．多层砂岩油藏开发模式[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，1999：116-119
[16] 李柯．FoxPro 2.6从入门到精通[M]．北京：学苑出版社，1996：215-256
[17] D．D．赖斯：油气评价方法与应用[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，1992：57-59
[18] 白兰君．天然气经济学[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，2001：31
[19] Clyde P Stickney, Roman L Well. Financial Accounting[M]. 8th ed. Harcourt Brace & Company, 1997: 891-892
[20] 武春友，张米尔．技术经济学[M]．大连：大连理工大学出版社，1998：52-54
[21] 詹武．Visual FoxPro 5.0中文版编程实例详解[M]．北京：电子工业出版社，1998：213～245
[22] 查尔斯 T 亨格瑞等．会计学(第3版)(上)[M]．北京：中国人民大学出版社，1997：79-86
[2] 王永山，王树立等．大庆外围低渗透油田可采储量评价方法研究[J]．大庆石油地质与开发，2003(4)：18-20
[3] 中国石油天然气总公司计划局．石油工业建设项目经济评价方法与参数[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，1994：15-17
[4] 隋军．大庆外围低渗透油田开采技术[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，2003：44
[5] John M Ivancevich. Human Resource management[M]. 8th ed. McGraw-Hill Companies, 2001: 15-19
[6] 杨金华 徐建山．石油商务大全[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，2002：193-197
[7] [美]菲利普．科特勒著．梅汝和等译．营销管理[M](第10版)．北京：中国人民大学出版社，2001：165-167
[8] 王俊魁等．油气藏工程方法研究与应用[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，1998：79-83
[9] 何淑芷等．数学物理方法[M]．广州：华南理工大学出版社，2003：93-97
[10] 王宏伟等．油气藏动态预测方法[M]：北京：石油工业出版社，2001：101-112，131
[11] 刘岩．努力降低石油生产成本[J]．石油企业管理，1999，36(8)：13-21
[12] 肖立志等．核磁共振测井资料解释与应用导论[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，2001：86-87
[13] Conn, White. D. The revolution in upstream oil and gas[J]．Mckinsey Quarterly, 1994, 3: 2
[14] 陈元千等．现代油藏工程[M]．北京：石油工业出版社．2001：58-64
[15] 韩大匡．多层砂岩油藏开发模式[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，1999：116-119
[16] 李柯．FoxPro 2.6从入门到精通[M]．北京：学苑出版社，1996：215-256
[17] D．D．赖斯：油气评价方法与应用[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，1992：57-59
[18] 白兰君．天然气经济学[M]．北京：石油工业出版社，2001：31
[19] Clyde P Stickney, Roman L Well. Financial Accounting[M]. 8th ed. Harcourt Brace & Company, 1997: 891-892
[20] 武春友，张米尔．技术经济学[M]．大连：大连理工大学出版社，1998：52-54
[21] 詹武．Visual FoxPro 5.0中文版编程实例详解[M]．北京：电子工业出版社，1998：213～245
[22] 查尔斯 T 亨格瑞等．会计学(第3版)(上)[M]．北京：中国人民大学出版社，1997：79-86