云南—东盟农产品加工业区域合作模式研究
摘要
进入新世纪以来,云南农产品加工业发展强劲、亮点不断。综合判断,目前至2020年甚至更长一段时期,云南农产品加工业将始终处于战略机遇期：由北向南,东中部地区的产业梯度转移势头持续强劲；由南向南,中国与东盟经济贸易大循环逐渐形成、发展快速。历史看,国内产业梯度的有序转移,造就了云南农产品加工业多年连续的两位数增长；现实看,桥头堡战略的提出,给云南农产品加工业发展的外部环境打造了新的平台；长远看,这一平台基础巩固,前景看好。
为了能够更有实效地推动区域经济的发展,有必要按照不同类型把区域合作的模式与策略进一步细化,使其更加具体和具有针对性。当前,在桥头堡建设的大前提下,更需要对云南-东盟农产品加工业在区域合作中的模式、影响要素及途径等方面的问题进行深入研究。
为此,本文首先运用产业经济学理论分析了区域合作中主要农产品加工贸易伙伴进行贸易转移的可能性,分析了中国及云南与东盟国家之间农加工产品的进出口贸易情况；构建了协同发展的生长曲线模型及模糊综合评价模型,对云南与东盟国家农产品加工业区域合作的必要性及合作能力进行分析；对云南与东盟农产品加工在农产品资源、劳动力资源以及农业科技水平等方面的合作基础进行了综合比较；论证了国家桥头堡战略的实施对云南和东盟国家的现实及潜在的积极影响。第二,从产业、企业及国家合作的角度分别界定了云南与东盟农产品加工业区域合作模式,通过对其影响要素及优势进行分析,构建了农产品加工产业集群模式、企业战略同盟模式以及国家合作模式。第三,通过构建云南-东盟农产品加工业区域合作的组织系统模型,建立农产品加工业区域合作的状态方程,分析各子系统在农产品加工组织系统中的作用,对实现模式的途径及方法进行了阐述,以构建政策体系、推动产业发展、打造支撑平台和增强企业实力四个层面为切入点,更加科学合理的提出了实现几种主要模式的保障与途径。最后,对云南-东盟农产品加工业的区域合作的发展做出了积极的展望。
Since the beginning of the new century, agricultural product processing industry in Yunnan has witnessed a strong development with many highlights. With comprehensive analysis, agricultural product processing industry in Yunnan will remain in a period of strategic opportunities from now to year2020even longer. That means:the agricultural industry development transferring from north to south and east as well as central area in a gradient process has remained its powerful momentum; the grand economic trade cycle of China and south Asia, China and Southeast Asia has gradually come into being and has developed in a fast speed. From the history point of view, the industrial transfer from east, central to west area in a gradient order promoted the agricultural product processing industry in Yunnan a double-digit growth rate in recent years. From the current reality point of view, the bridgehead strategy created a new platform and good environment for Yunnan to develop its agricultural product industry. From the long term point of view, the platform has a solid foundation and a good prospect.
For the purpose of promoting the development of regional economy more effective and practical, it's necessary to further refine the mode and strategy of regional cooperation according to the variety of type to make it more concrete and targeting. In the premise of construction of the bridgehead, it's necessary to have further research on the issue of regional cooperation between Yunnan Province and ASEAN such as the mode etc.
Through Economic theory, This dissertation firstly analyses the possibility and feasibility of the trading transfer among the main agricultural processing product trading partners of the regional cooperation in the agricultural product processing industry in Yunnan and ASEAN; analyses the agricultural processed product import&export status of Yunnan Province, China and ASEAN; built fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model and the joint development of the growth curve model,analyses the necessity and Cooperative ability of the agricultural product processing industry in Yunnan-ASEAN regional cooperation. Compares comprehensively the basic aspects of Yunnan and ASEAN such as the natural resources, labor resources and technical support; demonstrates the practical and potential positive influence on Yunnan and ASEAN by implementing the bridge strategy.Secondly, From the point of view of industry, enterprises and the regional cooperation of countries, defines the regional cooperation mode in agricultural product processing industry between Yunnan Province and ASEAN.through the analyses the Influence factors and the advantages in the regional cooperation, Establishes Yunnan-ASEAN agricultural products processing industry regional cooperation cluster, enterprises strategic alliance and the regional cooperation mode. Thirdly, the dissertation illustrates and states how to make the mode into reality by structuring a systematic model of the regional cooperation in the agricultural product processing industry between Yunnan and ASEAN, setting up a state equation, and analyzing the roles of different subsystems under the whole systematic model. As a whole, this chapter scientifically raises the guarantee and route to make the main modes into reality with structuring the policy system, promoting the industry development, creating a supporting platform and enforce the power of enterprises four aspects as the breakthrough points. Finally, it made a positive outlook for the agricultural product processing industry in Yunnan and ASEAN regional cooperation.
为了能够更有实效地推动区域经济的发展,有必要按照不同类型把区域合作的模式与策略进一步细化,使其更加具体和具有针对性。当前,在桥头堡建设的大前提下,更需要对云南-东盟农产品加工业在区域合作中的模式、影响要素及途径等方面的问题进行深入研究。
为此,本文首先运用产业经济学理论分析了区域合作中主要农产品加工贸易伙伴进行贸易转移的可能性,分析了中国及云南与东盟国家之间农加工产品的进出口贸易情况；构建了协同发展的生长曲线模型及模糊综合评价模型,对云南与东盟国家农产品加工业区域合作的必要性及合作能力进行分析；对云南与东盟农产品加工在农产品资源、劳动力资源以及农业科技水平等方面的合作基础进行了综合比较；论证了国家桥头堡战略的实施对云南和东盟国家的现实及潜在的积极影响。第二,从产业、企业及国家合作的角度分别界定了云南与东盟农产品加工业区域合作模式,通过对其影响要素及优势进行分析,构建了农产品加工产业集群模式、企业战略同盟模式以及国家合作模式。第三,通过构建云南-东盟农产品加工业区域合作的组织系统模型,建立农产品加工业区域合作的状态方程,分析各子系统在农产品加工组织系统中的作用,对实现模式的途径及方法进行了阐述,以构建政策体系、推动产业发展、打造支撑平台和增强企业实力四个层面为切入点,更加科学合理的提出了实现几种主要模式的保障与途径。最后,对云南-东盟农产品加工业的区域合作的发展做出了积极的展望。
Since the beginning of the new century, agricultural product processing industry in Yunnan has witnessed a strong development with many highlights. With comprehensive analysis, agricultural product processing industry in Yunnan will remain in a period of strategic opportunities from now to year2020even longer. That means:the agricultural industry development transferring from north to south and east as well as central area in a gradient process has remained its powerful momentum; the grand economic trade cycle of China and south Asia, China and Southeast Asia has gradually come into being and has developed in a fast speed. From the history point of view, the industrial transfer from east, central to west area in a gradient order promoted the agricultural product processing industry in Yunnan a double-digit growth rate in recent years. From the current reality point of view, the bridgehead strategy created a new platform and good environment for Yunnan to develop its agricultural product industry. From the long term point of view, the platform has a solid foundation and a good prospect.
For the purpose of promoting the development of regional economy more effective and practical, it's necessary to further refine the mode and strategy of regional cooperation according to the variety of type to make it more concrete and targeting. In the premise of construction of the bridgehead, it's necessary to have further research on the issue of regional cooperation between Yunnan Province and ASEAN such as the mode etc.
Through Economic theory, This dissertation firstly analyses the possibility and feasibility of the trading transfer among the main agricultural processing product trading partners of the regional cooperation in the agricultural product processing industry in Yunnan and ASEAN; analyses the agricultural processed product import&export status of Yunnan Province, China and ASEAN; built fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model and the joint development of the growth curve model,analyses the necessity and Cooperative ability of the agricultural product processing industry in Yunnan-ASEAN regional cooperation. Compares comprehensively the basic aspects of Yunnan and ASEAN such as the natural resources, labor resources and technical support; demonstrates the practical and potential positive influence on Yunnan and ASEAN by implementing the bridge strategy.Secondly, From the point of view of industry, enterprises and the regional cooperation of countries, defines the regional cooperation mode in agricultural product processing industry between Yunnan Province and ASEAN.through the analyses the Influence factors and the advantages in the regional cooperation, Establishes Yunnan-ASEAN agricultural products processing industry regional cooperation cluster, enterprises strategic alliance and the regional cooperation mode. Thirdly, the dissertation illustrates and states how to make the mode into reality by structuring a systematic model of the regional cooperation in the agricultural product processing industry between Yunnan and ASEAN, setting up a state equation, and analyzing the roles of different subsystems under the whole systematic model. As a whole, this chapter scientifically raises the guarantee and route to make the main modes into reality with structuring the policy system, promoting the industry development, creating a supporting platform and enforce the power of enterprises four aspects as the breakthrough points. Finally, it made a positive outlook for the agricultural product processing industry in Yunnan and ASEAN regional cooperation.
引文
① 《全国农产品加工业发展“十二五”规划》,农业部,2010
① 《全国农产品加工业发展十二五规划》,农业部,2010
① 孙林,中国与东盟区域经济合作：贸易关系、潜力及合作模式选择：农产品贸易视角,中国农业出版社,2008.10
② 孙林,李岳书,中国与东盟主要国家农产品的贸易竞争关系分析[J],世界经济研究,2003(8)
① 李秀梅,欧盟共同农业政策改革与欧盟东扩对中国-欧盟农产品贸易的潜在影响[D],中国农业大学,2005
① John Weiss:People's republic of China and its Neighbors:Partners or Competitors for Trade and Investment, ADB Institute Discussion (2004):13.
② 吕玲丽等,中国与东盟国家农业合作的模式选择[J],改革与战略,2006(11)
③ 卢肖平,中国-东盟农业合作[M],中国农业科技出版社,2006：112-113
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② 欧阳海洪等,中国-东盟自由贸易区建设与广西农产品加工业发展战略研究[C].农业部农产品加工局,2010
① 吕敏,农产品加工业发展问题研究[D],山东农业大学硕士论文,2003年
② 柯福艳等,产业空间集聚与利税率之间的关系—以食品加工业为例[J],新疆农垦经济,2005(1)
数据来源：中国新闻网,2012年12月26日http://finance.chinanews.com/cj/2012/12-26/4440810.shtml
① 数据来源：国家海关总署网站http://www.customs.gov.cn/publish/portal0/
① 杨亮等,中国-东盟农产品贸易及其影响分析[J],资源科学,2009(10)
《云南省优势特色农产品》,云南省农业厅,2011
① 中国东盟自由贸易区与云南农产品材料汇编(第一辑)：64
② 中国东盟自由贸易区与云南农产品材料汇编(第一辑)：82
① 中国东盟自由贸易区与云南农产品材料汇编(第一辑)：53
① 云南省第六次全国人口普查主要数据发布,云南日报,2011.5.11
① 云南省第六次全国人口普查主要数据发布,云南日报,2011.5.11
2013年云南省政府工作报告,李纪恒,2013,1-21
① 我省对外投资增幅居西部地区第一,云南日报,2012.2.8
① 蒋小华等, 围绕“桥头堡”建设培养云南高技能人才[J],中国集体经济,2011(3)
① 陈会英等,中国农产品加工产业组织创新与政策选择[J],经济地理,2004(3)
① 数据来源：云南省农产品进出口情况(2012年1-12月),云南省农业厅
① 周涛等,农产品加工产业集群模式研究[J],工业技术经济,2009(11)
① 吕玲丽,王娟：中国与东盟国家农业合作的模式选择，改革与战略.2006.11
① 陈志伟等,云南省对东南亚国家农业科技合作的模式分析[J],云南科技管理,2009(10)
① 数据来源：《云南贸促通讯》2012年第二期(总第70期)
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① 《全国农产品加工业发展十二五规划》,农业部,2010
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③ 卢肖平,中国-东盟农业合作[M],中国农业科技出版社,2006：112-113
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数据来源：中国新闻网,2012年12月26日http://finance.chinanews.com/cj/2012/12-26/4440810.shtml
① 数据来源：国家海关总署网站http://www.customs.gov.cn/publish/portal0/
① 杨亮等,中国-东盟农产品贸易及其影响分析[J],资源科学,2009(10)
《云南省优势特色农产品》,云南省农业厅,2011
① 中国东盟自由贸易区与云南农产品材料汇编(第一辑)：64
② 中国东盟自由贸易区与云南农产品材料汇编(第一辑)：82
① 中国东盟自由贸易区与云南农产品材料汇编(第一辑)：53
① 云南省第六次全国人口普查主要数据发布,云南日报,2011.5.11
① 云南省第六次全国人口普查主要数据发布,云南日报,2011.5.11
2013年云南省政府工作报告,李纪恒,2013,1-21
① 我省对外投资增幅居西部地区第一,云南日报,2012.2.8
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① 数据来源：云南省农产品进出口情况(2012年1-12月),云南省农业厅
① 周涛等,农产品加工产业集群模式研究[J],工业技术经济,2009(11)
① 吕玲丽,王娟：中国与东盟国家农业合作的模式选择，改革与战略.2006.11
① 陈志伟等,云南省对东南亚国家农业科技合作的模式分析[J],云南科技管理,2009(10)
① 数据来源：《云南贸促通讯》2012年第二期(总第70期)
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