公路边坡信息综合管理与安全评判决策
|
摘要
随着国民经济发展水平的不断提高,在大规模的道路交通建设浪潮中,山地丘陵区由于高等级公路建设而致边坡地质灾害问题愈来愈突出,尤以滑坡为主要表现形式,给工程建设、交通运输和人民生命财产带来极大危害和重大损失。因此,为解决高等级公路边(滑)坡灾害问题,并消除其不利影响,则展开综合防灾评判决策研究,形成系统的灾害防治及评判决策技术与方法,具有重要的研究意义与现实意义。
本文通过详细调查分析、安全监控量测、系统开发应用、理论基础研究、决策模型构建、确定力学计算等方法,深入系统地开展边坡信息综合管理与安全评判决策研究,进行边坡信息综合管理与评判决策支持系统开发与应用,展开边坡信息管理分析与WebGIS平台查询索求,研究并开发滑坡综合评判决策系统,确立滑坡稳定评判与治理决策技术方法,进行滑坡治理稳定状态与安全效果评价研究,为综合防灾决策和科学评价提供理论基础和技术支持。通过研究,本文解决的主要内容和取得的创新成果具体如下：
(1)结合边坡信息综合管理与防灾评判决策研究需求,进行边坡信息综合管理与评判决策支持系统开发研究,实现信息管理与处理分析、资源索求与查询、综合防灾评判决策研究,为灾害评价、防治决策、技术支持和资源索求提供可行的技术平台。
(2)结合边坡信息管理分析与查询索求系统,展开边坡信息管理分析与WebGIS平台查询索求,并对浙江省公路沿线边坡进行具体工程实践应用,综合表明系统具有较高的推广应用价值,完全能够满足实践需求。
(3)为实现滑坡动态现状分析、变化趋势预测和稳定性状研究,研究并开发滑坡综合评判决策系统,着重研究其功能实现的分析应用方面,并应用于解决实际滑坡灾害问题,实现其多元信息的综合分析与耦合研究。
(4)针对滑坡工程治理区划问题,构建稳定性区划综合决策模型进行其稳定性综合区划研究,实现稳定性分区和影响因子分析,确定滑坡整体分为深层易滑区与浅层坍塌区；同时,为了研究滑坡深层易滑区的整体稳定性状况,建立多重属性区间数决策分析模型进行整体稳定系数区间计算,确定其整体稳定性差。
(5)针对碎石土滑坡灾害类型,展开其综合治理决策研究,建立综合治理及评价决策的技术方法,进行滑坡治理规划及稳定性分析,并对其工程治理开展决策评价分析,结果表明滑坡防灾处治科学合理,能满足工程安全要求。
(6)针对滑坡历经治理的稳定状态分析问题,实现基于变形时序信息的稳定状态区间分析确定,同时建立多因素多层次体系结构,构建综合评判决策模型进行多因子多层次综合决策研究,确定滑坡历经综合治理处于基本稳定状态。并且建立一种新的基于优先关系排序一二元相对比较法的权重计算确定方法。
(7)针对滑坡历经治理的稳定状态预测和效果评价问题,基于其变形时序信息,构建分形预测模型进行滑坡治理稳定状态预测及其效果评价分析,结果表明滑坡综合治理效果显著,维持其安全稳定状态具有持久性和长期性。
With the continuous improvement of national economic development, in the large-scale tide of traffic construction, there are more and more slope geological disasters because of highway construction in the hilly area. Especially, landslide disaster is the main manifestation. Also, these disasters bring great harm and great losses to the construction, transportation and people's lives and property. Therefore, in order to solve the slope or landslide disasters along highway and remove there adverse effects, it needs to expand research on integrated prevention and evaluation decision and form systemic technologies and methods of disaster prevention and evaluation decision. This has important research significance and practical significance.
By means of detailed investigation analysis, safety monitoring and measurement, system development and application, theoretical basic research, decision model construction and deterministic mechanics calculation, the research on information integrated management and safety evaluation decision of slope was executed. Then, the information integrated management and evaluation decision support system of slope was developed and applied. Information management analysis of slope and inquiry and requirement based on WebGIS platform were expanded. The comprehensive evaluation decision system of landslide was developed and researched. The technologies and methods of stability evaluation and treatment decision for landslide were established. The stability condition and treatment effect of landslide through comprehensive treatment were studied. These could supply theoretical basic and technical support for integrated prevention decision and scientific evaluation. Finally, through research, the main contents and innovative ideas are as fallows:
(1) With the requirement of information integrated management and research on prevention and evaluation decision of slope, the information integrated management and evaluation decision support system of slope is developed and studied to realize information management and processing analysis, resources requirement and research on prevention and evaluation decision. It can provide a technical platform for disaster evaluation, prevention decision, technical support and resources requirement.
(2) Based on information management analysis and inquiry requirement system of slope, the information management analysis of slope and inquiry and requirement based on WebGIS platform are expanded. Moreover, the system is used to carry out practical application of slope engineering along highway in Zhejiang province. The results show that the system has higher value of promotion and application.
(3) In order to realize condition analysis, trend forecasting and stability research of landslide, the comprehensive evaluation decision system of landslide is developed. Then, the analysis and application aspects of system functions are studied and used to solve landslide disasters. Certainly, the comprehensive coupling research is realized.
(4) In order to resolve the problem of landslide engineering treatment zonation, the decision model is constructed to realize stability zonation and impact factors analysis, and the landslide is divided into deep skating area and shallow slumping area. Then, the decision model of multi-attribute and interval number is constructed to carry out global stability calculation and analysis of landslide, the results show that it has poor global stability.
(5) In order to expand treatment decision research of gravel soil landslide, the treatment planning and stability analysis are carried out, then the decision evaluation of engineering treatment is executed. The results show that the prevention and treatment of landslide is scientific and rational, and the landslide meets the requirement of engineering safety.
(6) For the problem of landslide stability condition analysis through treatment, based on deformation information the steady-state interval of landslide is determined. Simultaneously, the comprehensive evaluation decision model is constructed to carry out multi-factor and multi-level decision research. Through treatment the landslide is in stable state. Moreover, a new method of weight calculation and determination is established based on precedence relation sequence and binary relative comparison.
(7) For the problem of steady-state prediction and effect evaluation of landslide through treatment, based on deformation information the fractal prediction model is constructed to carry out steady-state prediction and effect evaluation. The results show that the treatment effect is significant and the steady-state of landslide is long-term.
本文通过详细调查分析、安全监控量测、系统开发应用、理论基础研究、决策模型构建、确定力学计算等方法,深入系统地开展边坡信息综合管理与安全评判决策研究,进行边坡信息综合管理与评判决策支持系统开发与应用,展开边坡信息管理分析与WebGIS平台查询索求,研究并开发滑坡综合评判决策系统,确立滑坡稳定评判与治理决策技术方法,进行滑坡治理稳定状态与安全效果评价研究,为综合防灾决策和科学评价提供理论基础和技术支持。通过研究,本文解决的主要内容和取得的创新成果具体如下：
(1)结合边坡信息综合管理与防灾评判决策研究需求,进行边坡信息综合管理与评判决策支持系统开发研究,实现信息管理与处理分析、资源索求与查询、综合防灾评判决策研究,为灾害评价、防治决策、技术支持和资源索求提供可行的技术平台。
(2)结合边坡信息管理分析与查询索求系统,展开边坡信息管理分析与WebGIS平台查询索求,并对浙江省公路沿线边坡进行具体工程实践应用,综合表明系统具有较高的推广应用价值,完全能够满足实践需求。
(3)为实现滑坡动态现状分析、变化趋势预测和稳定性状研究,研究并开发滑坡综合评判决策系统,着重研究其功能实现的分析应用方面,并应用于解决实际滑坡灾害问题,实现其多元信息的综合分析与耦合研究。
(4)针对滑坡工程治理区划问题,构建稳定性区划综合决策模型进行其稳定性综合区划研究,实现稳定性分区和影响因子分析,确定滑坡整体分为深层易滑区与浅层坍塌区；同时,为了研究滑坡深层易滑区的整体稳定性状况,建立多重属性区间数决策分析模型进行整体稳定系数区间计算,确定其整体稳定性差。
(5)针对碎石土滑坡灾害类型,展开其综合治理决策研究,建立综合治理及评价决策的技术方法,进行滑坡治理规划及稳定性分析,并对其工程治理开展决策评价分析,结果表明滑坡防灾处治科学合理,能满足工程安全要求。
(6)针对滑坡历经治理的稳定状态分析问题,实现基于变形时序信息的稳定状态区间分析确定,同时建立多因素多层次体系结构,构建综合评判决策模型进行多因子多层次综合决策研究,确定滑坡历经综合治理处于基本稳定状态。并且建立一种新的基于优先关系排序一二元相对比较法的权重计算确定方法。
(7)针对滑坡历经治理的稳定状态预测和效果评价问题,基于其变形时序信息,构建分形预测模型进行滑坡治理稳定状态预测及其效果评价分析,结果表明滑坡综合治理效果显著,维持其安全稳定状态具有持久性和长期性。
With the continuous improvement of national economic development, in the large-scale tide of traffic construction, there are more and more slope geological disasters because of highway construction in the hilly area. Especially, landslide disaster is the main manifestation. Also, these disasters bring great harm and great losses to the construction, transportation and people's lives and property. Therefore, in order to solve the slope or landslide disasters along highway and remove there adverse effects, it needs to expand research on integrated prevention and evaluation decision and form systemic technologies and methods of disaster prevention and evaluation decision. This has important research significance and practical significance.
By means of detailed investigation analysis, safety monitoring and measurement, system development and application, theoretical basic research, decision model construction and deterministic mechanics calculation, the research on information integrated management and safety evaluation decision of slope was executed. Then, the information integrated management and evaluation decision support system of slope was developed and applied. Information management analysis of slope and inquiry and requirement based on WebGIS platform were expanded. The comprehensive evaluation decision system of landslide was developed and researched. The technologies and methods of stability evaluation and treatment decision for landslide were established. The stability condition and treatment effect of landslide through comprehensive treatment were studied. These could supply theoretical basic and technical support for integrated prevention decision and scientific evaluation. Finally, through research, the main contents and innovative ideas are as fallows:
(1) With the requirement of information integrated management and research on prevention and evaluation decision of slope, the information integrated management and evaluation decision support system of slope is developed and studied to realize information management and processing analysis, resources requirement and research on prevention and evaluation decision. It can provide a technical platform for disaster evaluation, prevention decision, technical support and resources requirement.
(2) Based on information management analysis and inquiry requirement system of slope, the information management analysis of slope and inquiry and requirement based on WebGIS platform are expanded. Moreover, the system is used to carry out practical application of slope engineering along highway in Zhejiang province. The results show that the system has higher value of promotion and application.
(3) In order to realize condition analysis, trend forecasting and stability research of landslide, the comprehensive evaluation decision system of landslide is developed. Then, the analysis and application aspects of system functions are studied and used to solve landslide disasters. Certainly, the comprehensive coupling research is realized.
(4) In order to resolve the problem of landslide engineering treatment zonation, the decision model is constructed to realize stability zonation and impact factors analysis, and the landslide is divided into deep skating area and shallow slumping area. Then, the decision model of multi-attribute and interval number is constructed to carry out global stability calculation and analysis of landslide, the results show that it has poor global stability.
(5) In order to expand treatment decision research of gravel soil landslide, the treatment planning and stability analysis are carried out, then the decision evaluation of engineering treatment is executed. The results show that the prevention and treatment of landslide is scientific and rational, and the landslide meets the requirement of engineering safety.
(6) For the problem of landslide stability condition analysis through treatment, based on deformation information the steady-state interval of landslide is determined. Simultaneously, the comprehensive evaluation decision model is constructed to carry out multi-factor and multi-level decision research. Through treatment the landslide is in stable state. Moreover, a new method of weight calculation and determination is established based on precedence relation sequence and binary relative comparison.
(7) For the problem of steady-state prediction and effect evaluation of landslide through treatment, based on deformation information the fractal prediction model is constructed to carry out steady-state prediction and effect evaluation. The results show that the treatment effect is significant and the steady-state of landslide is long-term.
引文
[1]潘懋,李铁锋.灾害地质学[M].北京：北京大学出版社,2002.
[2]中华人民共和国国家统计局.中国统计年鉴(2010)[M].北京：中国统计出版社,2010.
[3]殷坤龙,张桂荣,龚日祥,等.浙江省突发性地质灾害预警预报[M].武汉：中国地质大学出版社,2005.
[4]唐增才,袁强.浙江省地质灾害发育类型和分布特征[J].灾害学,2007,22(1)：94-97.
[5]郑颖人,陈祖煜,王恭先,等.边坡与滑坡工程治理[M].北京：人民交通出版社,2007.
[6]吴玮江,王念秦.甘肃滑坡灾害[M].兰州：兰州大学出版社,2006.
[7]王尚庆.长江三峡滑坡监测预报[M].北京：地质出版社,1999.
[8]许建聪.碎石土滑坡变形解体破坏机制及稳定性研究[博士学位论文][D].杭州：浙江大学,2005.
[9]李会中,王团乐,孙立华,等.三峡库区千将坪滑坡地质特征与成因机制分析[J].岩土力学,2006,27(增)：1239-1244.
[10]殷跃平.中国典型滑坡[M].北京：中国大地出版社,2007.
[11]Cruden D M, Lu Z Y, et al.1939 Montagneuse River landslide, Alberta[J]. Canadian Geotechnical Journal,1997,34 (5):799-810.
[12]赵明阶,何光春,王多垠.边坡工程处治技术[M].北京：人民交通出版社,2004.
[13]Mats Jansson,罗芳衍.瑞典塔维滑坡[A].滑坡文集(第五集)[C].北京：中国铁道出版社,1986.102-111.
[14]文海家,张永兴,柳源.滑坡预报国内外研究动态及发展趋势[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2004,15(1)：1-4.
[15]殷坤龙.滑坡灾害预测预报[M].北京：中国地质大学出版社,2004.
[16]王恭先.高边坡设计与加固问题的讨论[J].甘肃科学学报,2003,15(8)：5-10.
[17]刘汝明.元磨高速公路的滑坡防治浅析[J].公路交通科技,2005,22(6)：23-25.
[18]王斌俊,刘杰,沈波.襄十高速公路边坡地质灾害调查分析[J].路基工程,2009,6：206-208.
[19]申永江.边坡工程中抗滑桩的效果评价与优化设计[博士学位论文][D].杭州：浙江大学,2009.
[20]吕庆.边坡工程灾害防治技术研究[博士学位论文][D].杭州：浙江大学,2006.
[21]张倬元,王士天,王兰生.工程地质分析原理[M].北京：地质出版社,1994.
[22]李智毅,杨裕云.工程地质学概论[M].武汉：中国地质大学出版社,2002.
[23]二滩水电开发有限责任公司.岩土工程安全监测手册[M].北京：中国水利水电出版社,1999.
[24]Schaster R L. Landslides along the Colombia River[C]. International Symposium on Landslides,1990.
[25]Wilson R C. Operation of a real time warning system for debris flows in the San Francisco bay area, California 1993[C]. ASCE National Conference on Hydraulic Engineering, Special Session on Debris Flows,1993.
[26]王恭先,徐峻龄,刘光代,等.滑坡学与滑坡防治技术[M].北京：中国铁道出版社,2004.
[27]Gili J A, Corominas J and Rius L. Using Global Positioning System techniques in landslide monitoring[J]. Engineering Geology,2000,55(3):167-192.
[28]Angeli M G, Pasuto A and Silvano S. A critical review of landslide monitoring experiences[J]. Engineering Geology,2000,55(3):133-147.
[29]Bao X, DeMerchant M, Brown A. Tensile and compressive strain measurement in the lab and field with the distributed Brillouin scattering sensor[J]. Lightwave Technol,2001,19(1): 698-704.
[30]Uchiyama H, Sakairi Y, Nozaki T. An optical fiber strain distribution measurement instrument using the new detection method[J]. ANDO Technical Bulletin,2002,52-60.
[31]王治华.遥感技术在地质灾害调查、监测和防治中的应用[J].遥感学报,1992,7(3)：190-195.
[32]王尚庆,徐进军.滑坡灾害短期临滑预报监测新途径研究[J].三峡大学学报(自然科学版),2006,28(5)：385-388.
[33]任雪玲,殷绍丰.预应力锚索加固观音山岩石边坡开裂效果分析[J].路基工程,1991,(3)：2-8.
[34]李振东.利用遥感方法普查宝成线略阳至上西坝段滑坡和崩塌[J].铁路航测,1993,(2)：15-18.
[35]蒋忠信.预应力锚索加固松散体滑坡的机理与实践[J].铁道工程学报,1999,(1)：72-77.
[36]程玉章,李红苗,李海明.宝天铁路滑坡遥感调查与规律探讨[J].铁道工程学报,1990,(1)：23-27.
[37]付宏平.GPS技术在山体滑坡变形监测中的应用[J].山西建筑,2008,34(24)：351-352.
[38]胡贯礽.预应力锚索在路堑边坡病害中的应用[J].路基工程,1996,(1)：64-69.
[39]李坚军.沙坝滑坡的工程特性与稳定监测研究[硕士学位论文][D].四川：西南交通大学,2005.
[40]苏伯苓,刘唐生,韩建设.李家峡水电站坝前崩滑灾害监测与资料分析[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,1991,2(增)：52-58.
[41]杨杰,胡德秀,关文海.李家峡拱坝左岸高边坡岩体变位与安全性态分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2005,24(19)：3551-3560.
[42]李珍.对小浪底工程出水口边坡加固措施的评价[J].大坝与安全,2001,(1)：26-30.
[43]陆峰,陈祖煜.小浪底高边坡施工期监测反馈信息在开挖中的应用[J].西部探矿工程,2003,(8)：171-173.
[44]刘祖强,沈天佑.长江三峡黄腊石滑坡监测系统辨识斜坡蠕变能力及蠕变趋势灰色分析[J].工程勘察,1991,(2)：57-60.
[45]李明福,姜文斌,杨爱明.三峡库区兴山大峡口滑坡变形监测[J].人民长江,1999,30(1)：16-18.
[46]雷志涛,张业明,金维群,等.三峡库区滑坡监测中的新技术和新方法[J].华南地质与矿产,2006,(4)：69-74.
[47]黄祥谈,陈贵华,廖小平,等.三福高速公路K196+425～+640段路堑右侧边坡滑坡治理[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2006,17(1)：1-3.
[48]王浩,廖小平,程建军,等.三福高速公路K201滑坡病害的应急工程效果与根治工程对策[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2007,18(2)：21-26.
[49]王军.京珠高速公路粤境北段古滑坡施工动态监测[J].广东公路交通,2005,(3)：45-47.
[50]朱宝龙,胡厚田,张玉芳,等.钢管压力注浆型抗滑挡墙在京珠高速公路K108滑坡治 理中的应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2006,25(2)：339-406.
[51]刘宝奎,张玉芳,王荣,等.预应力锚索框架用于高边坡加固的实测与分析[J].铁道建筑,2006,(1)：59-61.
[52]朱苦竹,朱合华.滑坡与隧道相互作用机理实例分析[J].地下空间与工程学报,2006,2(5)：809-817.
[53]孙红月,尚岳全,申永江,等.破碎岩质边坡排水隧洞效果监测分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2008,27(11)：2267-2271.
[54]方鹏飞,朱益军,朱向荣.杭金衢高速公路K103滑坡治理[J].工程勘察,2009,(1)：31-35.
[55]仝达伟,张平之,等.滑坡监测研究及其最新进展[J].传感器世界,2005,(6)：10-14.
[56]倪毅,马骁霞.高速公路高边坡监测方法[J].测绘标准化,2005,(2)：33-36.
[57]俞伯汀.浙江省玄武岩台地区滑坡的成因机理及防治对策[博士学位论文][D].杭州：浙江大学,2006.
[58]Moss J L. Using the Global Positioning System to monitor dynamic ground deformation networks on potentially active landslides[J]. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation,2000,2(1):24-32.
[59]Malet J P, Maquaire O, Calais E. The use of Global Positioning System techniques for the continuous monitoring of landslides:application to the Super-Sauze earthflow(Alpesde-Haute-Provence, France)[J]. Geomorphology,2002,43(1-2):33-54.
[60]Coe J A, Ellis W L, Godt J W, et al. Seasonal movement of the Slumgullion landslide determined form Global Positioning System surveys and field instrumentation, July 1998-March 2002[J]. Engineering Geology,2003,68(1-2):67-101.
[61]Mora P, Baldi P, Casula G, et al. Global Positioning Systems and digital photogrammetry for the monitoring of mass movements:application to the Ca'di Malta landslide(northern Apennines, Italy)[J]. Engineering Geology,2003,68(1-2):103-121.
[62]尹紫红.某滑坡体GPS变形监测[J].铁道建筑,2007,11：41-43.
[63]Feng Q, Sjogren P, Stephansson O, Jing L. Measuring fracture orientation at exposed rock faces by using a non-reflector total station[J]. Engineering Geology,2001,59(1-2):133-146.
[64]Lavine A, Gardner J N, Steven L, Reneau. Total station geologic mapping:an innovative approach to analyzing surface-faulting hazards[J]. Engineering Geology,2003,70(1-2):71-91.
[65]周中,傅鹤林,刘宝琛.堆积层滑坡野外模拟试验方案设计[J].公路,2006,(1)：74-79.
[66]潘怡宏,张明,王辉.全站仪滑坡监测数据的远传和处理研究[J].西部探矿工程,2010,(4)：7-8.
[67]Schneider D. Terrestrial laser scanning for area based deformation analysis of towers and water dams[C]. Proceedings of 3th IAG Symposium of Geodesy for Geotechnical and Structure Engineering and 12th FIG Symposium on Deformation Measurement. Oesterreich, 2006:22-24.
[68]Hesse C, Stramm H. Deformation measurement with laser scanners-Possibilities and challenges[C]. Proceedings of International Symposium on Modern Technologies, Education and Professional Practice in Geodesy and Related Fields,2004:4-5.
[69]Ingenesand T, Schulz H. Terrestrische Prazisions-Laserscanner[C].13th Internationale Geodatische Woche Obergurgl,2005:20-26.
[70]罗德安,朱光,陆立,等.基于三维激光影像扫描技术的整体变形监测[J].测绘通报,2005,(7)：40-42.
[71]徐进军,王海城,罗喻真,等.基于三维激光扫描的滑坡变形监测与数据处理[J].岩土力学,2010,31(7)：2187-2191.
[72]舒宁.雷达影像干涉测量原理[M].武汉：武汉大学出版社,2003.
[73]Singhroy V, Mattar K E, Gray A L. Landslide characterization in Canada using interferometric SAR and combined SAR and TM images[J]. Advances in Space Research, 1998,21(3):465-476.
[74]Rizo V, Tesauro M. SAR interferometry and field data of Randazzo landslide (Eastern Sicily, Italy)[J]. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth(B),2000,25(9):771-780.
[75]Tarchi D, Casagli N, Fanti R, et al. Landslide monitoring by using ground-based SAR interferometry:an example of application to the Tessina landslide in Italy[J]. Engineering Geology,2003,68(1-2):15-30.
[76]Canuti P, Casagli N, Ermini L, et al. Landslide activity as a geoindicator in Italy: significance and new perspectives from remote sensing[J]. Environmental Geology,2004 (45):907-919.
[77]邓辉,黄润秋INSAR技术在地形测量和地质灾害研究中的应用[J].山地学报,2003,21(3)：373-377.
[78]史彦新,张青,孟宪玮.分布式光纤传感技术在滑坡监测中的应用[J].吉林大学学报(地球科学版),2008,38(5)：819-824.
[79]Hiroshige O, Hiroshi N, Mitsuru K, et al. Industrial applications of the BOTDR optical fiber strain sensor[J]. Optical Fiber Technology,2001,7:45-64.
[80]Shiba K, Kumagai H, Watanabe K, et al. Fiber optic distributed sensor for monitoring of concrete structures[C]. The 3rd international workshop on structural health monitoring. Stanford:Stanford University,2001:459-468.
[81]Ansari F. Fiber optic health monitoring of civil structures[C]. Structural health monitoring and intelligent infrastructure. Japan:A A Balkema Publishers,2003:11-30.
[82]Naruse H, Uchiyama Y, Kurashima T, et al. River levee change detection using distributed fiber optic strain sensor[J]. IE-ICE Trans. Electron.,2000,83(3):462-467.
[83]Kihara M, Hiramatsu K, Shima M, et al. Distributed optical fiber strain sensor for detecting river embankment collapse[J]. IE-ICE Trans. Electron.,2002,85(4):952-960.
[84]Rachid G, Abdelrafik M. Static stress optic-fiber sensor[J]. Sensor and actuators A,1997, (62):501-505.
[85]Luo Fei, Liu Jingyuan, Ma Nanbing, et al. A fiber optic microbend sensor for distributed sensing application in the strain monitoring[J]. Sensor and actuators A,2002, (96):21-24.
[86]张俊义,晏鄂川BOTDR技术在三峡库区崩滑灾害监测中的应用分析[J].地球与环境,2005,33(增)：355-358.
[87]李振宇.利用地面核磁共振研究滑坡地下水特征及稳定性[博士学位论文][D].武汉：中国地质大学,2004.
[88]郭达志,盛业华,杜培军,等.地理信息系统原理与应用[M].徐州：中国矿业大学出版社,2002.
[89]张永波,张礼中,周小元,等.地质灾害信息系统的设计与开发[M].北京：地质出版社,1999.
[90]张超.GIS基础教育理论与实践及BISPGIS开发研究[博士学位论文][D].吉林：东北师 范大学,2003.
[91]李德仁.浅论21世纪遥感与GIS的发展[J].东北测绘,2004,(4)：3-5.
[92]李双.新平县地质灾害移民选址方法研究[硕士学位论文][D].北京：中国地质大学(北京),2007.
[93]吴忠芳.RS和GIS技术支持下的武隆县大型滑坡遥感解译及其危险性评价[硕士学位论文][D].重庆：西南大学,2009.
[94]Uromeihy A, Mahdavifar M R. Landslide hazard zonation of the Khorshrostam Area, Iran[J]. Bull Engineering Geology Environment,2000, (58):207-213.
[95]Van Westen C J, Rengers N, Terlien M T J. Prediction of occurrence of slope instability phenomena through GIS-based hazard zonation[J]. Geology Rundsch,1997, (86):404-414.
[96]Aleotti P, Chowdhury R. Landslide hazard assessment:summary review and new perspectives[J]. Bull Engineering Geology Environment,1999,58:21-44.
[97]Carrara A, Cardinali M, Guzzetti F, et al. GIS technology techniques in mapping landslide hazard. In:A. Carrara, F. Guzzetti(eds) Geographical information systems in assessing narutal, Kuwer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands,1995,135-175.
[98]Van Westen C J, Terlien M T J. Deterministic landslide hazard analysis in GIS, a case study form Manizales (Colombia)[J]. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms,1996,21(8):853-868.
[99]Borga M, Dalla Fontana G, Da Ros D, et al. Shallow landslide hazard assessment using a physically based model and digital elevation data[J]. Environment Geology,1998,35:2-3.
[100]Montgomery, David R, Sullivan, et al. Regional test of a model for shallow Iandsliding[J]. Environment Geology,1998,35(23):89-99.
[101]Nagarajan R, Roy A, Vind Kumar R, et al. Landslide hazard susceptibility mapping based on terrain and climatic factors for tropical monsoon regions[J]. Bull Engineering Geology Environment,2000,58:275-287.
[102]Van Westen C J. The modeling of landslide hazards using GIS[J]. Surveys in Geophysics, 2000,21:241-255.
[103]Saro L, Kyungduck M. Statistical analysis of landslide susceptibility at Yongin, K.orea[J]. Environment Geology,2001,40:1095-1113.
[104]Perotto-Baldiviezo H L, Thurow T L, Smith C T, et al. GIS-based spatial analysis and modeling for landslide hazard assessment in steeplands, southern Honduras[J]. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment,2004,103(1):165-176.
[105]Biswajeet P, Saro L. Utilization of optical remote sensing data and GIS tools for regional landslide hazard analysis using an artificial neural network model[J]. Earth Science Frontiers,2007,14(6):143-151.
[106]Conoscenti C, Maggio C D, Rotigliano E. GIS analysis to assess landslide susceptibility in a fluvial basin of NW Sicily (Italy)[J]. Geomorphology,2008,94(3-4):325-339.
[107]Kamp U, Benjamin J, et al. GIS-based landslide susceptibility mapping for the 2005 Kashmir earthquake region[J]. Geomorphology,2008,101(4):631-642.
[108]Yalcin A. GIS-based landslide susceptibility mapping using analytical hierarchy process and bivariate statistics in Ardesen (Turkey):Comparisons of results and confirmations[J]. CATENA,2008,72(1):1-12.
[109]Pradhan B. Remote sensing and GIS-based landslide hazard analysis and cross-validation using multivariate logistic regression model on three test areas in Malaysia[J]. Advances in Space Research,2010,45(10):1244-1256.
[110]唐川,Jorg Grunert滑坡灾害评价原理和方法研究[J].地理学报,1998,53(6)：149-157.
[111]阮沈勇,黄润秋.基于GIS的信息量法模型在地质灾害危险性区划中的应用[J].成都理工学院学报,2001,28(1)：89-92.
[112]Dai F C, Lee C F. Landslide characteristics and slope instability modeling using GIS, Lantau Island, Hong Kong[J]. Geomorphology,2002,42(3-4):213-228.
[113]高富,艾夕辉,段尚彪,等GPS, GIS技术在西庄河流域滑坡灾害研究中的应用[J].山地学报,2003,21(2)：239-245.
[114]Xie M W, Esaki T, Zhou G, et al. GIS-based 3D critical slope stability analysis and landslide hazard assessment[J]. ASCE, Journal of Geotechincal and Geoenvironment Engineering, 2003,129(12):1109-1118.
[115]Lan H X, Zhou C H, Wang L J, et al. Landslide hazard spatial analysis and prediction using GIS in the Xiaojiang watershed, Yunnan, China[J]. Engineering Geology,2004,76(1-2):109-128.
[116]Xie M W, Esaki T, Zhou G. A GIS-based probabilistic mapping of landslide hazard using a three-dimensional deterministic model[J]. Natural Hazards,2004,33:265-282.
[117]Xie M W, Esaki T, Cai M. A GIS-based method for locating the critical 3D slip surface in a slope[J]. Computers and Geotechnics,2004,31:267-277.
[118]邱骋,谢谟文.基于GIS的住宅区周边危险边坡三维稳定性评价[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2007,18(2)：89-93.
[119]李邵军,冯夏庭,王威,等.岩土工程中基于栅格的三维地层建模及空间分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2007,26(3)：532-537.
[120]韩贵锋,赵珂,袁兴中,等.基于空间分析的山地生态敏感性分析[J].山地学报,2008,26(5)：531-537.
[121]Bai Shi-Biao, Wang Jian, Lu Guo-Nian, et al. GIS-based logistic regression for landslide susceptibility mapping of the Zhongxian segment in the Three Gorges area, China[J]. Geomorphology,2010,115(1-2):23-31.
[122]刘光,刘小东.地理信息系统二次开发实例教程[M].北京：清华大学出版社,2004.
[123]齐锐,屈韶琳,阳琳赞.用MapX开发地理信息系统[M].北京：清华大学出版社,2003.
[124]Kilburn C R J, Pasuto A. Major risk from rapid, large-volume landslides in Europe (EU Project RUNOUT)[J]. Geomorphology,2003,54(1-2):3-9.
[125]Wan S. A spatial decision support system for extracting the core factors and thresholds for landslide susceptibility map[J]. Engineering Geology,2009,108(3-4):237-251.
[126]Dai F C, Lee C F, Ngai Y Y. Landslide risk assessment and management:an overview[J]. Engineering Geology,2002,64(1):65-87.
[127]贾明涛,王李管,潘长良.基于监测数据的边坡位移可视化分析系统[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2003,22(8)：1324-1328.
[128]Yin K L, Chen L X, Zhang G R. Regional landslide hazard warning and risk assessment[J]. Earth Science Frontiers,2007,14(6):85-93.
[129]梁桂兰,徐卫亚,何育智,等.边坡工程监测信息可视化分析系统研发及应用[J].岩土力学,2008,29(3)：849-853.
[130]Gorsevski P V, Gessler P E, Boll J, et al. Spatially and temporally distributed modeling of landslide susceptibility[J]. Geomorphology,2006,80(3-4):178-198.
[131]Godt J W, Baum R L, Savage W Z, et al. Transient deterministic shallow landslide modeling: Requirements for susceptibility and hazard assessments in a GIS framework[J]. Engineering Geology,2008,102(3-4):214-226.
[132]陶丽娜,唐胜传,陈谦应.基于组件式GIS技术的边坡支护方案优化设计系统[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2004,23(16)：2824-2829.
[133]朱益军,朱向荣,丁伯阳.台缙高速公路船山滑坡一体化防治设计[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2005,24(2)：5341-5345.
[134]谢谟文,蔡美峰,江崎哲郎.基于GIS边坡稳定三维极限平衡方法的开发与应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2006,27(1)：117-122.
[135]Metternicht G, Hurni L, Gogu R. Remote sensing of landslides:An analysis of the potential contribution to geo-spatial systems for hazard assessment in mountainous environments[J]. Remote Sensing of Environment,2005,98(2-3):284-303.
[136]Sali A S, Einstein H H. A landslide risk rating system for Baguio, Philippines[J]. Engineering Geology,2007,91(2-4):85-99.
[137]石菊松,张永双,董诚,等.基于GIS技术的巴东新城区滑坡灾害危险性区划[J].地球学报,2005,26(3)：275-282.
[138]李邵军,冯夏庭,张希巍,等.边坡安全性评估的三维智能信息系统开发应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2005,24(19)：3419-3426.
[139]谭儒蛟,胡瑞林,刘衡秋,等FCJ-GIS动力区划模型及其在斜坡灾害危险性评价中的应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2006,25(12)：2552-2558.
[140]Chang K T, Wan S, Lei T C. Development of a spatial decision support system for monitoring earthquake-induced landslides based on aerial photographs and the finite element method[J]. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 2010,12(6):448-456.
[141]许冲,戴福初,姚鑫,等.基于GIS与确定性系数分析方法的汶川地震滑坡易发性评价[J].工程地质学报,2010,18(1)：15-26.
[142]宫清华,黄光庆.广东典型小流域滑坡灾害预测模型研究[J].广东农业科学,2010,(10)：172-175.
[143]中华人民共和国建设部.GB50330-2002.建筑边坡工程技术规范[S].北京：中国建筑工业出版社,2002.
[144]李守定,李晓,刘艳辉.清江茅坪滑坡形成演化研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2006,25(2)：377-384.
[145]陈万业,董兰凤.某水电站库区一大型滑坡的形成机制与环境评价影响[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(6)：282-287.
[146]黄波林,陈小婷.香溪河流域白家堡滑坡变形失稳机制分析[J].岩土工程学报,2007,29(6)：938-942.
[147]周海清,刘东升,陈正汉.工程类比法及其在滑坡治理工程中的应用[J].地下空间与工程学报,2008,4(6)：1056-1060.
[148]Fellennius W, Erdstatiche. Berechnumngenmit reibung und kohasion[M]. Berlin:W. Ernst und Sohn revised edition,1927.
[149]Bishop A W. The use of the slip circle in the stability analysis of slopes[J]. Geotechnique, 1955,5(1):7-17.
[150]Janbu N. Earth pressure and bearing capcity calculations by generalized procedure of slices[C]. Proceeding of the fourth international conference on soil mechanics and foundation engineering, London,1957,2:207-212.
[151]Janbu N. Slope stability computions[A]. In:Embankment dam engineering[C]. New York: John Wiley and Sons,1973:47-86.
[152]Morgenstern N R, Price V. The analysis of the stability of general slip surface[J], Geotechnique,1965,15:79-93.
[153]Spencer E. A method of analysis of embankments assuming parallel interslice forces[J]. Geotechnique,1967,17(1):11-26.
[154]Sarma S K. Stability analysis of embankments and slopes[J]. Geotechnique,1973,23(3): 423-433.
[155]Sarma S K. Stability analysis of embankments and slopes[J]. ASCE, Journal of the Geotechnical Engineering Division,1979,105(12):1511-1524.
[156]Hock E, Bray J W. Rock slope engineering[M]卢世宗,礼成村,夏继祥,等译.北京：冶金工业出版社,1983.
[157]Revilla J, Castillo E. Calculus of variations applied to stability of slopes[J]. Geotechnique, 1977,27(1):1-11.
[158]潘家铮.建筑物的抗滑稳定和滑坡分析[M].北京：水利出版社,1980.
[159]陈祖煜.土坡稳定分析通用条分法及其改进[J].岩土工程学报,1983,5(4)：11-17.
[160]陈祖煜.建筑物抗滑稳定分析中“潘家铮最大最小原理”的证明[J].清华大学学报(自然科学版),1998,38(1)：1-4.
[161]廖毅.山区公路边坡失稳灾害的研究与防治[硕士学位论文][D].长沙：中南大学,2008.
[162]Hovand H J. Three-dimentional slope stability analysis of slope[J]. ASCE, Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironment Engineering,1977,103:971-986.
[163]Chen R H, Chameau J L. Three dimensional limit equilibrium analysis of slopes[J]. Geotechnique,1983,33(1):31-40.
[164]Hungr O. An extension of slopes simplified method of slopes stability analysis to three dimensions[J]. Geotechnique,1987,37.
[165]Lam L, Fredlund D G. A general limit equilibrium model for three-dimensional slope stability analysis[J]. Canadian Geotechnical Journal,1993,30:905-919.
[166]陈祖煜,弥宏亮,汪小刚.边坡稳定三维分析的极限平衡方法[J].岩土工程学报,2001,23(5)：525-529.
[167]Zhang J F, Qi T, Li Z G. An extension of 2D Janbu's generalized procedure of slices for 3D slope stability analysis I:Basic theory[J]. Science in China Ser. E Engineering and Materials Science,2005, (48):171-183.
[168]姚环,郑振,简文彬,等.公路岩质高边坡稳定性的综合评价研究[J].岩土工程学报,2006,28(5)：558-563.
[169]弥宏亮,陈祖煜,张发明,等.边坡稳定三维极限分析方法及工程应用[J].岩土力学,2002,23(5)：649-653.
[170]张钧锋,丁桦.边坡稳定性分析的三维极限平衡法及应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2005,24(3)：365-370.
[171]李同录,王艳霞,邓宏科.一种改进的三维边坡稳定性分析方法[J].岩土工程学报,2003,25(5)：611-614.
[172]杜建成,黄大寿,胡定.边坡稳定的三维极限平衡分析法[J].四川大学学报(工程科学版),2001,33(4)：9-12.
[173]张发明,陈祖煜,弥宏亮.滑坡体稳定性评价的三维极限平衡方法及应用[J].地质灾害与环境保护,2002,13(2)：55-58.
[174]郑宏,周创兵.三维边坡稳定性的整体分析法及其工程应用[J].中国科学(E辑),2009,39(1)：23-28.
[175]芮勇勤,吕强.非规则滑坡三维稳定性分析[J].中外公路,2002,22(5)：13-15.
[176]朱大勇,丁秀丽,杜俊慧,等.旋转非对称边坡三维安全系数计算[J].岩土工程学报,2007,29(8)：1236-1239.
[177]Anagnosti P. Three dimentional stability of fill dams[C]. Proc.7th Int. Conf. on Soil Mech. and Found. Engrg.., A. A. Balkema, Rotterdam, Netherlands,1969.
[178]Osias J R, Swedlow J L. Finite elast-plastic deformation-I:theory and numerical examples[J]. International Journal of Solids and Structure,1974,123(9):894.
[179]Seed R B, Michell J K, Seed H B. Kettleemen Hills waste landfill slope failure II:stability analysis[J]. Geotechnical Engineering, ASCE,1990,116(4) 669-690.
[180]Calderon, Ruben A. The applications of back-analysis and numerical modeling to design a large pushback in a deep pit mine[M]. Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO, United States,2000.
[181]谭成轩,王瑞江,吴树仁,等.滑坡稳定性三维数值模拟分析[J].长春科技大学学报,1999,29(3)：267-278.
[182]赵尚毅,时卫民,郑颖人.边坡稳定性分析的有限元法[J].地下空间,2001,21(5)：450-455.
[183]孙伟,龚晓南.弹塑性有限元法在土坡稳定性分析中的应用[J].太原理工大学学报,2003,34(2)：199-202.
[184]郑颖人,唐晓松.库水作用下的边(滑)坡稳定性分析[J].岩土工程学报,2007,29(8)：1115-1121.
[185]Zienkiewicz O C, Humpheson C, Lewis R W. Associated and nonassociated visco-plasticity and plasticity in soil mechanics[J]. Geotechnique,1975,25(4):671-689.
[186]Ugai K. Static and dynamic analyses of slopes by the 3D elast-plastic FEM landslides[J]. In: International Symposium on landslides,1996,1413-1416.
[187]Griffiths D V, Lane P A. Slope stability analysis by finite elements[J]. Geotechnique,1999, 49(3):387-403.
[188]连镇营,韩国城,孔宪京.强度折减有限元法研究开挖边坡的稳定性[J].岩土工程学报,2001,23(4)：107-411.
[189]张鲁渝,郑颖人,赵尚毅,等.有限元强度折减法计算土坡稳定安全系数的精度研究[J].水利学报,2003,(1)：21-27.
[190]张建勋,陈福全.用强度折减有限元法分析土坡稳定问题[J].山东科技大学学报(自然科学版),2004,23(1)：115-117.
[191]赵尚毅,郑颖人,邓卫东.用有限元强度折减法进行节理岩质边坡稳定性分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2003,22(2)：254-260.
[192]邓建辉,张嘉翔,等.基于强度折减法概念的滑坡稳定性三维分析方法(Ⅱ)：加固安全系数计算[J].岩土力学,2004,25(6)：871-875.
[193]郑颖人,赵尚毅.有限元强度折减法在土坡与岩坡中的应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2004,23(19)：2281-2288.
[194]Cundall P A. Explicit finite difference methods in geomechanics[A]. In:Numerical methods in engineering, proceeding of the EF conference on numerical methods in geomechanics[C]. Balcksburg, Virginia,1976,132-150.
[195]Zettler A H. Stability ananlysis using finite difference method[J]. Congres International de Mecanique des Roches,1999,1:149-152.
[196]高永涛,张友葩,吴顺川,等.滑移岩石边坡治理的稳定性分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2002,21(增1)：1754-1757.
[197]章健,潘春雷,龙建辉,等.陕甘G312高速公路彬县滑坡群稳定性数值分析[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2007,18(4)：11-14.
[198]Shi G H. Block system modeling by discontinuous deformations analysis[M]. Computational Mechanics Publications, Southampton, UK,1993.
[199]石根华.裴觉民译.数值流形法与非连续变形分析[M].北京：清华大学出版社,1997.
[200]Koo C Y, Chern J C. Modification of the DDA method for rigid block problems[J]. Int J Rock Mech Min Sci,1998,35(6):683-693.
[201]殷坤龙,姜清辉,汪洋.滑坡运动过程仿真分析[J].地球科学,2002,27(5)：632-635.
[202]姜清辉,周创兵,罗先启,等.块状结构岩体在一般水压分布模式下的不连续变形分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2005,24(3)：401-405.
[203]周建军,张宜虎,董志宏,等.木竹坪滑坡变形破环过程数值模拟分析[J].人民黄河,2009,31(8)：69-70.
[204]张跃,邹寿平,宿芬.模糊数学方法及其应用[M].北京：煤炭工业出版社,1992.
[205]谢季坚,刘承平.模糊数学方法及其应用[M].武汉：华中理工大学出版社,2000.
[206]Saunsers R T.突变理论入门[M].凌复华译.上海：上海科学技术出版社,1983.
[207]汪华斌,徐瑞春.BP神经网络在鱼洞河滑坡稳定性评价中的应用[J].长江科学院院报,2002,19(4)：62-64.
[208]刘思峰,党建国,方志耕.灰色系统理论及其应用[M].北京：科学出版社,2004.
[209]Feder J. Fractals[M]. New York:Plenum Press,1988.
[210]辛厚文.分形理论及其应用[M].合肥：中国科学技术大学出版社,1993.
[211]徐国祥.统计预测和决策[M].上海：上海财经大学出版社,2008.
[212]徐成贤,陈志平,李乃成.近代优化方法[M].北京：科学出版社,2002.
[213]吴连英,陈洪凯.滑坡整体稳定性遗传分析法及应用[J].重庆交通大学学报,2009,28(5)：907-910.
[214]郑明新,殷宗泽,吴继敏,等.滑坡防治工程效果的模糊综合后评价研究[J].岩土工程学报,2006,28(10)：1224-1229.
[215]黄建文,李建林,周宜红.基于AHP的模糊评判法在边坡稳定性评价中的应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2007,26(增1)：2627-2632.
[216]赵志峰,徐卫亚.基于突变理论的边坡安全稳定性综合评价[J].石力学与工程学报,2007,26(增1)：2707-2712.
[217]尹小涛,王水林.基于可靠度理论的滑坡稳定性及其影响因素分析[J].岩土力学,2008,29(6)：1551-1556.
[218]王恭先.滑坡支挡建筑物的发展动向[A].滑坡文集(第十三集)[C].北京：中国铁道出版社,1998.
[219]Chen C Y, Martin G R. Soil-structure interaction for landslide stabilizing piles[J]. Computers and Geotechnics,2002,29(5):363-386.
[220]Jeong S, Kim B, Won J, et al. Uncoupled analysis of stabilizing piles in weathered slopes[J]. Computers and Geotechnics,2003,30(8):671-682.
[221]Peart M R, Ng K Y, Zhang D D. Landslides and sediment delivery to a drainage system: some observations from Hong Kong[J]. Journal of Asian Earth Sciences,2005,25(5):821 836.
[222]Trandafir A C, Kamai T, Sidle R C. Earthquake-induced displacements of gravity retaining walls and anchor-reinforced slopes[J]. Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering,2009, 29(3):428-427.
[223]姜德义,朱合华,杜云贵.边坡稳定性分析与滑坡防治[M].重庆：重庆大学出版社,2005.
[224]陈学军,唐辉明.桂柳高速公路石城坪滑坡工程地质特征及治理评价[J].地球科学,2001,26(4)：381-384.
[225]刘凤宣,徐德玺,何雁,等.广邻高速公路K24工程边坡失稳的机理分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2002,21(11)：1691-1695.
[226]任伟中,陈浩.滑坡变形破坏机理和整治工程的模型试验研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2005,24(12)：2137-2141.
[227]卢应发,周盛沛,罗先启,等.渗流对抗滑桩加固滑坡后的影响效果评价[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2007,26(9)：1840-1846.
[228]郑求才,钱宙,胡启芳,等.含碎石粘性土滑坡排水与加固结合治理方法[J].交通科技,2008,(3)：47-49.
[229]谢全敏,夏元友.滑坡灾害治理方案的多属性决策方法研究[J].岩土工程学报,2004,26(5)：623-626.
[230]王恭先,滑坡防治方案的选择与优化[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2006,25(增2)：3867-3873.
[231]黄志全,张长存,姜彤.滑坡预报的协同一分岔模型及其应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2002,21(4)：498-501.
[232]张英,齐欢,王小平.新滩滑坡非线性动力学模型方法研究[J].长江科学院院报,2002,19(4)：33-35.
[233]Kim S K, Hong W P, Kim Y M. Prediction of rainfall triggered landslides in Korea[A]. In: Bell ed. landslides[C]. Rotterdam:Balkema,1991,989-994.
[234]Phillips J D. Nonlinear dynamics and the evolution of relief[J]. Geomorphology,1995, 36(14):57-64.
[235]Scheidegger A E. Tectonic predesign of mass movements, with examples from the Chinese Himalaya[J]. Geomorphology,1998,26(1-3):37-46.
[236]Davis J C, Chung C J, Ohlmacher G C. Two models for evaluating landslide hazards[J]. Computers & Geosciences,2006,32(8):1120-1127.
[237]Germanovich L N, Cherepanov G P. On some general properties of strength criteria[J]. International Journal of Fracture,1995,71(1):37-56.
[238]Pellerier J D, Malamud B D, Blodgett T, et al. Scale-invariance of soil mosisture variability and its implications for the frequency-size distribution of landlides[J]. Engineering Geology, 1997,48(3-4):255-268.
[239]Darve F, Laouafa F. Instabilities in granular materials and application to landslides[J]. Mechanics of Coesive-Frictional Materials,2000,5(8):627-652.
[240]Hudson J A. Rock Engineering Systems:theory and practice[M]. Chichester:Ellis Horwood, 1992.
[241]Mazzoccola D F. A comprehensive method of rock mass characterization for indicating natural slope stability[J]. Quarterly Journal of Engineering Geology,1996,39(1):37-56.
[242]Carrara A. Multivariate models for landslide hazard evaluation[J]. Mathematical Geology, 1983,15(3):403-426.
[243]Ercanoglu M, Gokceoglu C. Use of fuzzy relations to produce landslide susceptibility map of a landslide prone area (West Black Sea Region, Turkey) [J]. Engineering Geology,2004, 75(3-4):229-250.
[244]Song R H, Hiromu D, Kazutoki A, et al. Modeling the potential distribution of shallow-seated landslides using the weights of evidence method and a logistic regression model:a case study of the Sabae Area, Japan[J]. International Journal of Sediment Research, 2008,23(2):106-118.
[245]张奇华,丁秀丽,邬爱清.滑坡变形预测与失稳预报问题的几点讨论[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2006,16(2)：116-120.
[246]易顺民,唐辉明.滑坡分维特征及其预测意义[J].工程地质学报,1994,2(2)：48-53.
[247]龙辉,秦四清,朱世平,等.滑坡演化的非线性动力学与突变分析[J].工程地质学报,2001,9(3)：331-335.
[248]吕金虎,陈益峰,张锁春.基于自适应神经网络的边坡位移预测[J].系统工程理论与实践,2001,(12)：124-129.
[249]谈小龙.GIS支持下的大型高边坡安全监测预警模型研究[J].水利学报,2007,38(增)：700-705.
[250]张飞,王创业,郑德超.相空间重构理论在边坡失稳预测中的应用[J].有色金属,2003,55(5)：22-24.
[251]李毅,黄仕俊,谢正明,等.云南龙马水电站泄洪道边坡失稳预报分析[J].地下空间与工程学报,2006,2(6)：979-981.
[252]徐卫亚,蒋中明,石安池.基于模糊集理论的边坡稳定性分析[J].岩土工程学报,2003,25(4)：409-413.
[253]金永强,苏怀智,李子阳.基于和声搜素的边坡稳定性投影寻踪聚类分析[J].水利学报,2007,(增)：682-686.
[254]李雪平,唐辉明.基于GIS的分组数据Logistic模型在斜坡稳定性评价中的应用[J].吉林大学学报(地球科学版),2005,35(3)：361-365.
[255]兰恒星,伍法权,周成虎,等.基于GIS的云南小江流域滑坡因子敏感性分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2002,21(10)：1500-1506.
[256]汪洋,殷坤龙,安关峰.滑坡敏感因子的灰色关联分析[J].岩土力学,2004,25(1)：9193.
[257]李雪平,唐辉明,周顺平.区域滑坡因子敏感性的Logistic回归分析[J].地球科学与环境学报,2005,27(4)：14-18.
[258]王志旺,李瑞有,王湘桂.证据权法在滑坡危险度区划研究中的应用[J].岩土工程学报,2007,29(8)：1268-1273.
[259]谢全敏,丁保艳,吴定洪,等.基于案例的边坡治理方案选择决策支持系统研究[J].岩土力学,2008,29(5)：1351-1354.
[260]王念秦,姚勇,罗东海.滑坡综合治理方案比选评价模型[J].水土保持通报,2009,29(1)：111-114.
[261]夏元友,郑筱彦,李梅,等.非线性优化理论在抗滑桩设计中的应用[J].武汉理工大学学报,2007,29(1)：105-108.
[262]夏元友,曹杉杉,刘磊.基于Matlab环境的抗滑桩智能优化设计系统[J].长江科学院院报,2007,24(3)：23-26.
[263]徐兴华,尚岳全,孙红月.边坡综合信息管理与防灾决策机制的系统设计与应用[J].山地学报,2010,28(2)：161-170.
[264]李贵荣WebGIS的三层应用结构模型及其实现技术[J].南方冶金学院学报,2003(3)：12-15.
[265]郭琦.数据库系统开发关键技术[M].北京：人民邮电出版社,2003.
[266]高春艳,李艳,谷伟东.数据库开发关键技术与实例应用[M].北京：人民邮电出版社,2004.
[267]浙江大学防灾工程研究所.高速公路边坡稳定评价与安全监控技术及工程示范[R].杭州：浙江大学防灾工程研究所,2008.
[268]浙江大学防灾工程研究所.运营高速公路滑坡灾害处置技术研究[R].杭州：浙江大学防灾工程研究所,2006.
[269]常学将,陈敏,王明生.《时间序列分析》.高等教育出版社,1993.
[270]徐兴华,尚岳全,王迎超.滑坡灾害综合评判决策系统研究[J].岩土力学,2010,31(10)：3157-3164.
[271]Golden Sofrware. Surfer User's Guide. Electronic Document,2002.
[272]肖位枢.模糊数学基础及应用[M].北京：航空工业出版社,1992.
[273]侯鹏,罗玉屏,许宏伟.基于敏感性分析的公路隧道交通环境评价指标体系研究[J].公路交通科技(应用技术版),143-146.
[274]张斌,雍岐东,宵芳淳.模糊物元分析[M].北京：石油工业出版社,1997.
[275]Quinlan J R. Induction of decision trees [J]. Machine Learning,1986,1(1):81-106.
[276]Mandelbrot B B, J. R. Wallis. Some long-run properties of geographysical records[J]. Water Resource Research,1969,5(2):321-340.
[277]Yin X C, Yin C. The precursor of instability for nonlinear systems and its application to the earthquake predication[J]. Science in China (B),1991,38(2):977-986.
[278]Fredlund D G, Rahardjo H. Soil mechanics for unsaturated soils[M]. Newk York:John Wiley & Sons, Inc,1993.
[279]Green R E, Corey J C. Calculation of Hydraulic Conductivity:A Further Evaluation of Some Predictive Methods[J]. Soil Science Society of America Proceedings,1971,35:3-8.
[280]徐兴华,尚岳全.滑坡稳定性综合区划研究[J].岩土工程学报,2009,31(5)：669-674.
[281]叶四桥,唐红梅,王昌贤,等.滑坡灾害过程耦合机制与方法研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2006,25(增1)：2707-2712
[282]黄润秋.20世纪以来中国的大型滑坡及其发生机制[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2007,26(3)：432-454.
[283]徐兴华,尚岳全,王迎超.基于多重属性区间数决策模型的边坡整体稳定性分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2010,29(9)：1840-1849.
[284]范金城,梅长林.数据分析[M].北京：科学出版社,2002.
[285]王静龙.多元统计分析[M].北京：科学出版社,2008.
[286]陈德新,张方伟.区间数运算法则的补充与推广[J].聊城大学学报,2009,22(2)：20-21.
[287]许建聪,尚岳全.降雨作用下碎石土滑坡解体变形破坏机制研究[J].岩土力学,2008,29(1)：106-112.
[288]中华人民共和国国家发展和改革委员会.DL/T5353-2006.水利水电工程边坡设计规范[S].北京：中国电力出版社,2007.
[289]Chen Z Y, Wang J, Wang Y J, et al. A three-dimensional slope stability analysis method using the upper theorem (Ⅱ):numerical approaches, applications and extensions[J]. International Journal of Rock Mechanics & Mining Sciences,2001,38:379-397.
[290]徐兴华,尚岳全,王迎超.碎石土滑坡综合治理及评价决策方法研究[J].吉林大学学报 (地球科学版),2011,41(2)：484-492.
[291]Sun H Y, Shang Y Q, Zheng S N. The influence of pipe seepage system on the stability of a pebbly clay slope[C]. Proceedings of the 9th Congress of IAEGE,2002,1383-1386.
[292]俞伯汀,孙红月,尚岳全.含碎石粘性土边坡渗流系统的物理模型试验[J].岩土工程学报,2006,28(6)：705-708.
[293]尹祥础.地震预报的新途径—加卸载响应比理论[J].力学与实践,2004,26(6)：1-7.
[294]贺可强,周敦云,王思敬.降雨型堆积层滑坡的加卸载响应比特征及其预测作用与意义[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2004,23(16)：2665-2670.
[295]More P, Wang Y, Yin C, et al. Simulation of load-unload response ratio and critical sensitivity in the lattice solid model[J]. Pure Appl Geophys,2002,159:2525-2536.
[296]李秀珍,孔纪名,王震宇.石榴树包滑坡变形监测及演化趋势分析[J].工程地质学报,2006,14(3)：320-326.
[297]向可宗Fuzzy马尔科夫过程及初步应用[J].模糊数学,1982,2：21-26.
[298]张宸,林启太.模糊马尔科夫链状预测模型及其工程应用[J].武汉理工大学学报,2004,26(11)：63-66.
[299]冯耀龙,韩文秀.权马尔科夫链在河流丰枯状况预测中的应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,1999,(10)：89-93.
[300]曹文贵,张永杰.地下结构岩体质量分类的变权重二级模糊综合评判方法研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2006,25(8)：1612-1618.
[301]郭亚军.综合评价理论与方法[M].北京：科学出版社,2002.
[302]马云东,胡明东.改进的AHP法及其在多目标决策中的应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,1997,6：40-44.
[303]杨启帆,方道元.数学建模[M].杭州：浙江大学出版社,1999.
[304]Mandelbrot B B, Wallis J R. Robustness of the rescaled ranged R/S in the measurement of noncyclic long run statistical dependence[J]. Water Resource Research,1969,5(5):967-988.
[305]黄登仕,李后强.分形几何学、R/S分析与分式布朗运动[J].自然杂志,1990,13(8)：477-482.
[306]周厚云,郭国章.华南沿海明代自然灾害的时序分析[J].热带海洋,2000,19(3)：78-82.
[2]中华人民共和国国家统计局.中国统计年鉴(2010)[M].北京：中国统计出版社,2010.
[3]殷坤龙,张桂荣,龚日祥,等.浙江省突发性地质灾害预警预报[M].武汉：中国地质大学出版社,2005.
[4]唐增才,袁强.浙江省地质灾害发育类型和分布特征[J].灾害学,2007,22(1)：94-97.
[5]郑颖人,陈祖煜,王恭先,等.边坡与滑坡工程治理[M].北京：人民交通出版社,2007.
[6]吴玮江,王念秦.甘肃滑坡灾害[M].兰州：兰州大学出版社,2006.
[7]王尚庆.长江三峡滑坡监测预报[M].北京：地质出版社,1999.
[8]许建聪.碎石土滑坡变形解体破坏机制及稳定性研究[博士学位论文][D].杭州：浙江大学,2005.
[9]李会中,王团乐,孙立华,等.三峡库区千将坪滑坡地质特征与成因机制分析[J].岩土力学,2006,27(增)：1239-1244.
[10]殷跃平.中国典型滑坡[M].北京：中国大地出版社,2007.
[11]Cruden D M, Lu Z Y, et al.1939 Montagneuse River landslide, Alberta[J]. Canadian Geotechnical Journal,1997,34 (5):799-810.
[12]赵明阶,何光春,王多垠.边坡工程处治技术[M].北京：人民交通出版社,2004.
[13]Mats Jansson,罗芳衍.瑞典塔维滑坡[A].滑坡文集(第五集)[C].北京：中国铁道出版社,1986.102-111.
[14]文海家,张永兴,柳源.滑坡预报国内外研究动态及发展趋势[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2004,15(1)：1-4.
[15]殷坤龙.滑坡灾害预测预报[M].北京：中国地质大学出版社,2004.
[16]王恭先.高边坡设计与加固问题的讨论[J].甘肃科学学报,2003,15(8)：5-10.
[17]刘汝明.元磨高速公路的滑坡防治浅析[J].公路交通科技,2005,22(6)：23-25.
[18]王斌俊,刘杰,沈波.襄十高速公路边坡地质灾害调查分析[J].路基工程,2009,6：206-208.
[19]申永江.边坡工程中抗滑桩的效果评价与优化设计[博士学位论文][D].杭州：浙江大学,2009.
[20]吕庆.边坡工程灾害防治技术研究[博士学位论文][D].杭州：浙江大学,2006.
[21]张倬元,王士天,王兰生.工程地质分析原理[M].北京：地质出版社,1994.
[22]李智毅,杨裕云.工程地质学概论[M].武汉：中国地质大学出版社,2002.
[23]二滩水电开发有限责任公司.岩土工程安全监测手册[M].北京：中国水利水电出版社,1999.
[24]Schaster R L. Landslides along the Colombia River[C]. International Symposium on Landslides,1990.
[25]Wilson R C. Operation of a real time warning system for debris flows in the San Francisco bay area, California 1993[C]. ASCE National Conference on Hydraulic Engineering, Special Session on Debris Flows,1993.
[26]王恭先,徐峻龄,刘光代,等.滑坡学与滑坡防治技术[M].北京：中国铁道出版社,2004.
[27]Gili J A, Corominas J and Rius L. Using Global Positioning System techniques in landslide monitoring[J]. Engineering Geology,2000,55(3):167-192.
[28]Angeli M G, Pasuto A and Silvano S. A critical review of landslide monitoring experiences[J]. Engineering Geology,2000,55(3):133-147.
[29]Bao X, DeMerchant M, Brown A. Tensile and compressive strain measurement in the lab and field with the distributed Brillouin scattering sensor[J]. Lightwave Technol,2001,19(1): 698-704.
[30]Uchiyama H, Sakairi Y, Nozaki T. An optical fiber strain distribution measurement instrument using the new detection method[J]. ANDO Technical Bulletin,2002,52-60.
[31]王治华.遥感技术在地质灾害调查、监测和防治中的应用[J].遥感学报,1992,7(3)：190-195.
[32]王尚庆,徐进军.滑坡灾害短期临滑预报监测新途径研究[J].三峡大学学报(自然科学版),2006,28(5)：385-388.
[33]任雪玲,殷绍丰.预应力锚索加固观音山岩石边坡开裂效果分析[J].路基工程,1991,(3)：2-8.
[34]李振东.利用遥感方法普查宝成线略阳至上西坝段滑坡和崩塌[J].铁路航测,1993,(2)：15-18.
[35]蒋忠信.预应力锚索加固松散体滑坡的机理与实践[J].铁道工程学报,1999,(1)：72-77.
[36]程玉章,李红苗,李海明.宝天铁路滑坡遥感调查与规律探讨[J].铁道工程学报,1990,(1)：23-27.
[37]付宏平.GPS技术在山体滑坡变形监测中的应用[J].山西建筑,2008,34(24)：351-352.
[38]胡贯礽.预应力锚索在路堑边坡病害中的应用[J].路基工程,1996,(1)：64-69.
[39]李坚军.沙坝滑坡的工程特性与稳定监测研究[硕士学位论文][D].四川：西南交通大学,2005.
[40]苏伯苓,刘唐生,韩建设.李家峡水电站坝前崩滑灾害监测与资料分析[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,1991,2(增)：52-58.
[41]杨杰,胡德秀,关文海.李家峡拱坝左岸高边坡岩体变位与安全性态分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2005,24(19)：3551-3560.
[42]李珍.对小浪底工程出水口边坡加固措施的评价[J].大坝与安全,2001,(1)：26-30.
[43]陆峰,陈祖煜.小浪底高边坡施工期监测反馈信息在开挖中的应用[J].西部探矿工程,2003,(8)：171-173.
[44]刘祖强,沈天佑.长江三峡黄腊石滑坡监测系统辨识斜坡蠕变能力及蠕变趋势灰色分析[J].工程勘察,1991,(2)：57-60.
[45]李明福,姜文斌,杨爱明.三峡库区兴山大峡口滑坡变形监测[J].人民长江,1999,30(1)：16-18.
[46]雷志涛,张业明,金维群,等.三峡库区滑坡监测中的新技术和新方法[J].华南地质与矿产,2006,(4)：69-74.
[47]黄祥谈,陈贵华,廖小平,等.三福高速公路K196+425～+640段路堑右侧边坡滑坡治理[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2006,17(1)：1-3.
[48]王浩,廖小平,程建军,等.三福高速公路K201滑坡病害的应急工程效果与根治工程对策[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2007,18(2)：21-26.
[49]王军.京珠高速公路粤境北段古滑坡施工动态监测[J].广东公路交通,2005,(3)：45-47.
[50]朱宝龙,胡厚田,张玉芳,等.钢管压力注浆型抗滑挡墙在京珠高速公路K108滑坡治 理中的应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2006,25(2)：339-406.
[51]刘宝奎,张玉芳,王荣,等.预应力锚索框架用于高边坡加固的实测与分析[J].铁道建筑,2006,(1)：59-61.
[52]朱苦竹,朱合华.滑坡与隧道相互作用机理实例分析[J].地下空间与工程学报,2006,2(5)：809-817.
[53]孙红月,尚岳全,申永江,等.破碎岩质边坡排水隧洞效果监测分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2008,27(11)：2267-2271.
[54]方鹏飞,朱益军,朱向荣.杭金衢高速公路K103滑坡治理[J].工程勘察,2009,(1)：31-35.
[55]仝达伟,张平之,等.滑坡监测研究及其最新进展[J].传感器世界,2005,(6)：10-14.
[56]倪毅,马骁霞.高速公路高边坡监测方法[J].测绘标准化,2005,(2)：33-36.
[57]俞伯汀.浙江省玄武岩台地区滑坡的成因机理及防治对策[博士学位论文][D].杭州：浙江大学,2006.
[58]Moss J L. Using the Global Positioning System to monitor dynamic ground deformation networks on potentially active landslides[J]. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation,2000,2(1):24-32.
[59]Malet J P, Maquaire O, Calais E. The use of Global Positioning System techniques for the continuous monitoring of landslides:application to the Super-Sauze earthflow(Alpesde-Haute-Provence, France)[J]. Geomorphology,2002,43(1-2):33-54.
[60]Coe J A, Ellis W L, Godt J W, et al. Seasonal movement of the Slumgullion landslide determined form Global Positioning System surveys and field instrumentation, July 1998-March 2002[J]. Engineering Geology,2003,68(1-2):67-101.
[61]Mora P, Baldi P, Casula G, et al. Global Positioning Systems and digital photogrammetry for the monitoring of mass movements:application to the Ca'di Malta landslide(northern Apennines, Italy)[J]. Engineering Geology,2003,68(1-2):103-121.
[62]尹紫红.某滑坡体GPS变形监测[J].铁道建筑,2007,11：41-43.
[63]Feng Q, Sjogren P, Stephansson O, Jing L. Measuring fracture orientation at exposed rock faces by using a non-reflector total station[J]. Engineering Geology,2001,59(1-2):133-146.
[64]Lavine A, Gardner J N, Steven L, Reneau. Total station geologic mapping:an innovative approach to analyzing surface-faulting hazards[J]. Engineering Geology,2003,70(1-2):71-91.
[65]周中,傅鹤林,刘宝琛.堆积层滑坡野外模拟试验方案设计[J].公路,2006,(1)：74-79.
[66]潘怡宏,张明,王辉.全站仪滑坡监测数据的远传和处理研究[J].西部探矿工程,2010,(4)：7-8.
[67]Schneider D. Terrestrial laser scanning for area based deformation analysis of towers and water dams[C]. Proceedings of 3th IAG Symposium of Geodesy for Geotechnical and Structure Engineering and 12th FIG Symposium on Deformation Measurement. Oesterreich, 2006:22-24.
[68]Hesse C, Stramm H. Deformation measurement with laser scanners-Possibilities and challenges[C]. Proceedings of International Symposium on Modern Technologies, Education and Professional Practice in Geodesy and Related Fields,2004:4-5.
[69]Ingenesand T, Schulz H. Terrestrische Prazisions-Laserscanner[C].13th Internationale Geodatische Woche Obergurgl,2005:20-26.
[70]罗德安,朱光,陆立,等.基于三维激光影像扫描技术的整体变形监测[J].测绘通报,2005,(7)：40-42.
[71]徐进军,王海城,罗喻真,等.基于三维激光扫描的滑坡变形监测与数据处理[J].岩土力学,2010,31(7)：2187-2191.
[72]舒宁.雷达影像干涉测量原理[M].武汉：武汉大学出版社,2003.
[73]Singhroy V, Mattar K E, Gray A L. Landslide characterization in Canada using interferometric SAR and combined SAR and TM images[J]. Advances in Space Research, 1998,21(3):465-476.
[74]Rizo V, Tesauro M. SAR interferometry and field data of Randazzo landslide (Eastern Sicily, Italy)[J]. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth(B),2000,25(9):771-780.
[75]Tarchi D, Casagli N, Fanti R, et al. Landslide monitoring by using ground-based SAR interferometry:an example of application to the Tessina landslide in Italy[J]. Engineering Geology,2003,68(1-2):15-30.
[76]Canuti P, Casagli N, Ermini L, et al. Landslide activity as a geoindicator in Italy: significance and new perspectives from remote sensing[J]. Environmental Geology,2004 (45):907-919.
[77]邓辉,黄润秋INSAR技术在地形测量和地质灾害研究中的应用[J].山地学报,2003,21(3)：373-377.
[78]史彦新,张青,孟宪玮.分布式光纤传感技术在滑坡监测中的应用[J].吉林大学学报(地球科学版),2008,38(5)：819-824.
[79]Hiroshige O, Hiroshi N, Mitsuru K, et al. Industrial applications of the BOTDR optical fiber strain sensor[J]. Optical Fiber Technology,2001,7:45-64.
[80]Shiba K, Kumagai H, Watanabe K, et al. Fiber optic distributed sensor for monitoring of concrete structures[C]. The 3rd international workshop on structural health monitoring. Stanford:Stanford University,2001:459-468.
[81]Ansari F. Fiber optic health monitoring of civil structures[C]. Structural health monitoring and intelligent infrastructure. Japan:A A Balkema Publishers,2003:11-30.
[82]Naruse H, Uchiyama Y, Kurashima T, et al. River levee change detection using distributed fiber optic strain sensor[J]. IE-ICE Trans. Electron.,2000,83(3):462-467.
[83]Kihara M, Hiramatsu K, Shima M, et al. Distributed optical fiber strain sensor for detecting river embankment collapse[J]. IE-ICE Trans. Electron.,2002,85(4):952-960.
[84]Rachid G, Abdelrafik M. Static stress optic-fiber sensor[J]. Sensor and actuators A,1997, (62):501-505.
[85]Luo Fei, Liu Jingyuan, Ma Nanbing, et al. A fiber optic microbend sensor for distributed sensing application in the strain monitoring[J]. Sensor and actuators A,2002, (96):21-24.
[86]张俊义,晏鄂川BOTDR技术在三峡库区崩滑灾害监测中的应用分析[J].地球与环境,2005,33(增)：355-358.
[87]李振宇.利用地面核磁共振研究滑坡地下水特征及稳定性[博士学位论文][D].武汉：中国地质大学,2004.
[88]郭达志,盛业华,杜培军,等.地理信息系统原理与应用[M].徐州：中国矿业大学出版社,2002.
[89]张永波,张礼中,周小元,等.地质灾害信息系统的设计与开发[M].北京：地质出版社,1999.
[90]张超.GIS基础教育理论与实践及BISPGIS开发研究[博士学位论文][D].吉林：东北师 范大学,2003.
[91]李德仁.浅论21世纪遥感与GIS的发展[J].东北测绘,2004,(4)：3-5.
[92]李双.新平县地质灾害移民选址方法研究[硕士学位论文][D].北京：中国地质大学(北京),2007.
[93]吴忠芳.RS和GIS技术支持下的武隆县大型滑坡遥感解译及其危险性评价[硕士学位论文][D].重庆：西南大学,2009.
[94]Uromeihy A, Mahdavifar M R. Landslide hazard zonation of the Khorshrostam Area, Iran[J]. Bull Engineering Geology Environment,2000, (58):207-213.
[95]Van Westen C J, Rengers N, Terlien M T J. Prediction of occurrence of slope instability phenomena through GIS-based hazard zonation[J]. Geology Rundsch,1997, (86):404-414.
[96]Aleotti P, Chowdhury R. Landslide hazard assessment:summary review and new perspectives[J]. Bull Engineering Geology Environment,1999,58:21-44.
[97]Carrara A, Cardinali M, Guzzetti F, et al. GIS technology techniques in mapping landslide hazard. In:A. Carrara, F. Guzzetti(eds) Geographical information systems in assessing narutal, Kuwer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands,1995,135-175.
[98]Van Westen C J, Terlien M T J. Deterministic landslide hazard analysis in GIS, a case study form Manizales (Colombia)[J]. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms,1996,21(8):853-868.
[99]Borga M, Dalla Fontana G, Da Ros D, et al. Shallow landslide hazard assessment using a physically based model and digital elevation data[J]. Environment Geology,1998,35:2-3.
[100]Montgomery, David R, Sullivan, et al. Regional test of a model for shallow Iandsliding[J]. Environment Geology,1998,35(23):89-99.
[101]Nagarajan R, Roy A, Vind Kumar R, et al. Landslide hazard susceptibility mapping based on terrain and climatic factors for tropical monsoon regions[J]. Bull Engineering Geology Environment,2000,58:275-287.
[102]Van Westen C J. The modeling of landslide hazards using GIS[J]. Surveys in Geophysics, 2000,21:241-255.
[103]Saro L, Kyungduck M. Statistical analysis of landslide susceptibility at Yongin, K.orea[J]. Environment Geology,2001,40:1095-1113.
[104]Perotto-Baldiviezo H L, Thurow T L, Smith C T, et al. GIS-based spatial analysis and modeling for landslide hazard assessment in steeplands, southern Honduras[J]. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment,2004,103(1):165-176.
[105]Biswajeet P, Saro L. Utilization of optical remote sensing data and GIS tools for regional landslide hazard analysis using an artificial neural network model[J]. Earth Science Frontiers,2007,14(6):143-151.
[106]Conoscenti C, Maggio C D, Rotigliano E. GIS analysis to assess landslide susceptibility in a fluvial basin of NW Sicily (Italy)[J]. Geomorphology,2008,94(3-4):325-339.
[107]Kamp U, Benjamin J, et al. GIS-based landslide susceptibility mapping for the 2005 Kashmir earthquake region[J]. Geomorphology,2008,101(4):631-642.
[108]Yalcin A. GIS-based landslide susceptibility mapping using analytical hierarchy process and bivariate statistics in Ardesen (Turkey):Comparisons of results and confirmations[J]. CATENA,2008,72(1):1-12.
[109]Pradhan B. Remote sensing and GIS-based landslide hazard analysis and cross-validation using multivariate logistic regression model on three test areas in Malaysia[J]. Advances in Space Research,2010,45(10):1244-1256.
[110]唐川,Jorg Grunert滑坡灾害评价原理和方法研究[J].地理学报,1998,53(6)：149-157.
[111]阮沈勇,黄润秋.基于GIS的信息量法模型在地质灾害危险性区划中的应用[J].成都理工学院学报,2001,28(1)：89-92.
[112]Dai F C, Lee C F. Landslide characteristics and slope instability modeling using GIS, Lantau Island, Hong Kong[J]. Geomorphology,2002,42(3-4):213-228.
[113]高富,艾夕辉,段尚彪,等GPS, GIS技术在西庄河流域滑坡灾害研究中的应用[J].山地学报,2003,21(2)：239-245.
[114]Xie M W, Esaki T, Zhou G, et al. GIS-based 3D critical slope stability analysis and landslide hazard assessment[J]. ASCE, Journal of Geotechincal and Geoenvironment Engineering, 2003,129(12):1109-1118.
[115]Lan H X, Zhou C H, Wang L J, et al. Landslide hazard spatial analysis and prediction using GIS in the Xiaojiang watershed, Yunnan, China[J]. Engineering Geology,2004,76(1-2):109-128.
[116]Xie M W, Esaki T, Zhou G. A GIS-based probabilistic mapping of landslide hazard using a three-dimensional deterministic model[J]. Natural Hazards,2004,33:265-282.
[117]Xie M W, Esaki T, Cai M. A GIS-based method for locating the critical 3D slip surface in a slope[J]. Computers and Geotechnics,2004,31:267-277.
[118]邱骋,谢谟文.基于GIS的住宅区周边危险边坡三维稳定性评价[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2007,18(2)：89-93.
[119]李邵军,冯夏庭,王威,等.岩土工程中基于栅格的三维地层建模及空间分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2007,26(3)：532-537.
[120]韩贵锋,赵珂,袁兴中,等.基于空间分析的山地生态敏感性分析[J].山地学报,2008,26(5)：531-537.
[121]Bai Shi-Biao, Wang Jian, Lu Guo-Nian, et al. GIS-based logistic regression for landslide susceptibility mapping of the Zhongxian segment in the Three Gorges area, China[J]. Geomorphology,2010,115(1-2):23-31.
[122]刘光,刘小东.地理信息系统二次开发实例教程[M].北京：清华大学出版社,2004.
[123]齐锐,屈韶琳,阳琳赞.用MapX开发地理信息系统[M].北京：清华大学出版社,2003.
[124]Kilburn C R J, Pasuto A. Major risk from rapid, large-volume landslides in Europe (EU Project RUNOUT)[J]. Geomorphology,2003,54(1-2):3-9.
[125]Wan S. A spatial decision support system for extracting the core factors and thresholds for landslide susceptibility map[J]. Engineering Geology,2009,108(3-4):237-251.
[126]Dai F C, Lee C F, Ngai Y Y. Landslide risk assessment and management:an overview[J]. Engineering Geology,2002,64(1):65-87.
[127]贾明涛,王李管,潘长良.基于监测数据的边坡位移可视化分析系统[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2003,22(8)：1324-1328.
[128]Yin K L, Chen L X, Zhang G R. Regional landslide hazard warning and risk assessment[J]. Earth Science Frontiers,2007,14(6):85-93.
[129]梁桂兰,徐卫亚,何育智,等.边坡工程监测信息可视化分析系统研发及应用[J].岩土力学,2008,29(3)：849-853.
[130]Gorsevski P V, Gessler P E, Boll J, et al. Spatially and temporally distributed modeling of landslide susceptibility[J]. Geomorphology,2006,80(3-4):178-198.
[131]Godt J W, Baum R L, Savage W Z, et al. Transient deterministic shallow landslide modeling: Requirements for susceptibility and hazard assessments in a GIS framework[J]. Engineering Geology,2008,102(3-4):214-226.
[132]陶丽娜,唐胜传,陈谦应.基于组件式GIS技术的边坡支护方案优化设计系统[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2004,23(16)：2824-2829.
[133]朱益军,朱向荣,丁伯阳.台缙高速公路船山滑坡一体化防治设计[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2005,24(2)：5341-5345.
[134]谢谟文,蔡美峰,江崎哲郎.基于GIS边坡稳定三维极限平衡方法的开发与应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2006,27(1)：117-122.
[135]Metternicht G, Hurni L, Gogu R. Remote sensing of landslides:An analysis of the potential contribution to geo-spatial systems for hazard assessment in mountainous environments[J]. Remote Sensing of Environment,2005,98(2-3):284-303.
[136]Sali A S, Einstein H H. A landslide risk rating system for Baguio, Philippines[J]. Engineering Geology,2007,91(2-4):85-99.
[137]石菊松,张永双,董诚,等.基于GIS技术的巴东新城区滑坡灾害危险性区划[J].地球学报,2005,26(3)：275-282.
[138]李邵军,冯夏庭,张希巍,等.边坡安全性评估的三维智能信息系统开发应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2005,24(19)：3419-3426.
[139]谭儒蛟,胡瑞林,刘衡秋,等FCJ-GIS动力区划模型及其在斜坡灾害危险性评价中的应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2006,25(12)：2552-2558.
[140]Chang K T, Wan S, Lei T C. Development of a spatial decision support system for monitoring earthquake-induced landslides based on aerial photographs and the finite element method[J]. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 2010,12(6):448-456.
[141]许冲,戴福初,姚鑫,等.基于GIS与确定性系数分析方法的汶川地震滑坡易发性评价[J].工程地质学报,2010,18(1)：15-26.
[142]宫清华,黄光庆.广东典型小流域滑坡灾害预测模型研究[J].广东农业科学,2010,(10)：172-175.
[143]中华人民共和国建设部.GB50330-2002.建筑边坡工程技术规范[S].北京：中国建筑工业出版社,2002.
[144]李守定,李晓,刘艳辉.清江茅坪滑坡形成演化研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2006,25(2)：377-384.
[145]陈万业,董兰凤.某水电站库区一大型滑坡的形成机制与环境评价影响[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(6)：282-287.
[146]黄波林,陈小婷.香溪河流域白家堡滑坡变形失稳机制分析[J].岩土工程学报,2007,29(6)：938-942.
[147]周海清,刘东升,陈正汉.工程类比法及其在滑坡治理工程中的应用[J].地下空间与工程学报,2008,4(6)：1056-1060.
[148]Fellennius W, Erdstatiche. Berechnumngenmit reibung und kohasion[M]. Berlin:W. Ernst und Sohn revised edition,1927.
[149]Bishop A W. The use of the slip circle in the stability analysis of slopes[J]. Geotechnique, 1955,5(1):7-17.
[150]Janbu N. Earth pressure and bearing capcity calculations by generalized procedure of slices[C]. Proceeding of the fourth international conference on soil mechanics and foundation engineering, London,1957,2:207-212.
[151]Janbu N. Slope stability computions[A]. In:Embankment dam engineering[C]. New York: John Wiley and Sons,1973:47-86.
[152]Morgenstern N R, Price V. The analysis of the stability of general slip surface[J], Geotechnique,1965,15:79-93.
[153]Spencer E. A method of analysis of embankments assuming parallel interslice forces[J]. Geotechnique,1967,17(1):11-26.
[154]Sarma S K. Stability analysis of embankments and slopes[J]. Geotechnique,1973,23(3): 423-433.
[155]Sarma S K. Stability analysis of embankments and slopes[J]. ASCE, Journal of the Geotechnical Engineering Division,1979,105(12):1511-1524.
[156]Hock E, Bray J W. Rock slope engineering[M]卢世宗,礼成村,夏继祥,等译.北京：冶金工业出版社,1983.
[157]Revilla J, Castillo E. Calculus of variations applied to stability of slopes[J]. Geotechnique, 1977,27(1):1-11.
[158]潘家铮.建筑物的抗滑稳定和滑坡分析[M].北京：水利出版社,1980.
[159]陈祖煜.土坡稳定分析通用条分法及其改进[J].岩土工程学报,1983,5(4)：11-17.
[160]陈祖煜.建筑物抗滑稳定分析中“潘家铮最大最小原理”的证明[J].清华大学学报(自然科学版),1998,38(1)：1-4.
[161]廖毅.山区公路边坡失稳灾害的研究与防治[硕士学位论文][D].长沙：中南大学,2008.
[162]Hovand H J. Three-dimentional slope stability analysis of slope[J]. ASCE, Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironment Engineering,1977,103:971-986.
[163]Chen R H, Chameau J L. Three dimensional limit equilibrium analysis of slopes[J]. Geotechnique,1983,33(1):31-40.
[164]Hungr O. An extension of slopes simplified method of slopes stability analysis to three dimensions[J]. Geotechnique,1987,37.
[165]Lam L, Fredlund D G. A general limit equilibrium model for three-dimensional slope stability analysis[J]. Canadian Geotechnical Journal,1993,30:905-919.
[166]陈祖煜,弥宏亮,汪小刚.边坡稳定三维分析的极限平衡方法[J].岩土工程学报,2001,23(5)：525-529.
[167]Zhang J F, Qi T, Li Z G. An extension of 2D Janbu's generalized procedure of slices for 3D slope stability analysis I:Basic theory[J]. Science in China Ser. E Engineering and Materials Science,2005, (48):171-183.
[168]姚环,郑振,简文彬,等.公路岩质高边坡稳定性的综合评价研究[J].岩土工程学报,2006,28(5)：558-563.
[169]弥宏亮,陈祖煜,张发明,等.边坡稳定三维极限分析方法及工程应用[J].岩土力学,2002,23(5)：649-653.
[170]张钧锋,丁桦.边坡稳定性分析的三维极限平衡法及应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2005,24(3)：365-370.
[171]李同录,王艳霞,邓宏科.一种改进的三维边坡稳定性分析方法[J].岩土工程学报,2003,25(5)：611-614.
[172]杜建成,黄大寿,胡定.边坡稳定的三维极限平衡分析法[J].四川大学学报(工程科学版),2001,33(4)：9-12.
[173]张发明,陈祖煜,弥宏亮.滑坡体稳定性评价的三维极限平衡方法及应用[J].地质灾害与环境保护,2002,13(2)：55-58.
[174]郑宏,周创兵.三维边坡稳定性的整体分析法及其工程应用[J].中国科学(E辑),2009,39(1)：23-28.
[175]芮勇勤,吕强.非规则滑坡三维稳定性分析[J].中外公路,2002,22(5)：13-15.
[176]朱大勇,丁秀丽,杜俊慧,等.旋转非对称边坡三维安全系数计算[J].岩土工程学报,2007,29(8)：1236-1239.
[177]Anagnosti P. Three dimentional stability of fill dams[C]. Proc.7th Int. Conf. on Soil Mech. and Found. Engrg.., A. A. Balkema, Rotterdam, Netherlands,1969.
[178]Osias J R, Swedlow J L. Finite elast-plastic deformation-I:theory and numerical examples[J]. International Journal of Solids and Structure,1974,123(9):894.
[179]Seed R B, Michell J K, Seed H B. Kettleemen Hills waste landfill slope failure II:stability analysis[J]. Geotechnical Engineering, ASCE,1990,116(4) 669-690.
[180]Calderon, Ruben A. The applications of back-analysis and numerical modeling to design a large pushback in a deep pit mine[M]. Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO, United States,2000.
[181]谭成轩,王瑞江,吴树仁,等.滑坡稳定性三维数值模拟分析[J].长春科技大学学报,1999,29(3)：267-278.
[182]赵尚毅,时卫民,郑颖人.边坡稳定性分析的有限元法[J].地下空间,2001,21(5)：450-455.
[183]孙伟,龚晓南.弹塑性有限元法在土坡稳定性分析中的应用[J].太原理工大学学报,2003,34(2)：199-202.
[184]郑颖人,唐晓松.库水作用下的边(滑)坡稳定性分析[J].岩土工程学报,2007,29(8)：1115-1121.
[185]Zienkiewicz O C, Humpheson C, Lewis R W. Associated and nonassociated visco-plasticity and plasticity in soil mechanics[J]. Geotechnique,1975,25(4):671-689.
[186]Ugai K. Static and dynamic analyses of slopes by the 3D elast-plastic FEM landslides[J]. In: International Symposium on landslides,1996,1413-1416.
[187]Griffiths D V, Lane P A. Slope stability analysis by finite elements[J]. Geotechnique,1999, 49(3):387-403.
[188]连镇营,韩国城,孔宪京.强度折减有限元法研究开挖边坡的稳定性[J].岩土工程学报,2001,23(4)：107-411.
[189]张鲁渝,郑颖人,赵尚毅,等.有限元强度折减法计算土坡稳定安全系数的精度研究[J].水利学报,2003,(1)：21-27.
[190]张建勋,陈福全.用强度折减有限元法分析土坡稳定问题[J].山东科技大学学报(自然科学版),2004,23(1)：115-117.
[191]赵尚毅,郑颖人,邓卫东.用有限元强度折减法进行节理岩质边坡稳定性分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2003,22(2)：254-260.
[192]邓建辉,张嘉翔,等.基于强度折减法概念的滑坡稳定性三维分析方法(Ⅱ)：加固安全系数计算[J].岩土力学,2004,25(6)：871-875.
[193]郑颖人,赵尚毅.有限元强度折减法在土坡与岩坡中的应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2004,23(19)：2281-2288.
[194]Cundall P A. Explicit finite difference methods in geomechanics[A]. In:Numerical methods in engineering, proceeding of the EF conference on numerical methods in geomechanics[C]. Balcksburg, Virginia,1976,132-150.
[195]Zettler A H. Stability ananlysis using finite difference method[J]. Congres International de Mecanique des Roches,1999,1:149-152.
[196]高永涛,张友葩,吴顺川,等.滑移岩石边坡治理的稳定性分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2002,21(增1)：1754-1757.
[197]章健,潘春雷,龙建辉,等.陕甘G312高速公路彬县滑坡群稳定性数值分析[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2007,18(4)：11-14.
[198]Shi G H. Block system modeling by discontinuous deformations analysis[M]. Computational Mechanics Publications, Southampton, UK,1993.
[199]石根华.裴觉民译.数值流形法与非连续变形分析[M].北京：清华大学出版社,1997.
[200]Koo C Y, Chern J C. Modification of the DDA method for rigid block problems[J]. Int J Rock Mech Min Sci,1998,35(6):683-693.
[201]殷坤龙,姜清辉,汪洋.滑坡运动过程仿真分析[J].地球科学,2002,27(5)：632-635.
[202]姜清辉,周创兵,罗先启,等.块状结构岩体在一般水压分布模式下的不连续变形分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2005,24(3)：401-405.
[203]周建军,张宜虎,董志宏,等.木竹坪滑坡变形破环过程数值模拟分析[J].人民黄河,2009,31(8)：69-70.
[204]张跃,邹寿平,宿芬.模糊数学方法及其应用[M].北京：煤炭工业出版社,1992.
[205]谢季坚,刘承平.模糊数学方法及其应用[M].武汉：华中理工大学出版社,2000.
[206]Saunsers R T.突变理论入门[M].凌复华译.上海：上海科学技术出版社,1983.
[207]汪华斌,徐瑞春.BP神经网络在鱼洞河滑坡稳定性评价中的应用[J].长江科学院院报,2002,19(4)：62-64.
[208]刘思峰,党建国,方志耕.灰色系统理论及其应用[M].北京：科学出版社,2004.
[209]Feder J. Fractals[M]. New York:Plenum Press,1988.
[210]辛厚文.分形理论及其应用[M].合肥：中国科学技术大学出版社,1993.
[211]徐国祥.统计预测和决策[M].上海：上海财经大学出版社,2008.
[212]徐成贤,陈志平,李乃成.近代优化方法[M].北京：科学出版社,2002.
[213]吴连英,陈洪凯.滑坡整体稳定性遗传分析法及应用[J].重庆交通大学学报,2009,28(5)：907-910.
[214]郑明新,殷宗泽,吴继敏,等.滑坡防治工程效果的模糊综合后评价研究[J].岩土工程学报,2006,28(10)：1224-1229.
[215]黄建文,李建林,周宜红.基于AHP的模糊评判法在边坡稳定性评价中的应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2007,26(增1)：2627-2632.
[216]赵志峰,徐卫亚.基于突变理论的边坡安全稳定性综合评价[J].石力学与工程学报,2007,26(增1)：2707-2712.
[217]尹小涛,王水林.基于可靠度理论的滑坡稳定性及其影响因素分析[J].岩土力学,2008,29(6)：1551-1556.
[218]王恭先.滑坡支挡建筑物的发展动向[A].滑坡文集(第十三集)[C].北京：中国铁道出版社,1998.
[219]Chen C Y, Martin G R. Soil-structure interaction for landslide stabilizing piles[J]. Computers and Geotechnics,2002,29(5):363-386.
[220]Jeong S, Kim B, Won J, et al. Uncoupled analysis of stabilizing piles in weathered slopes[J]. Computers and Geotechnics,2003,30(8):671-682.
[221]Peart M R, Ng K Y, Zhang D D. Landslides and sediment delivery to a drainage system: some observations from Hong Kong[J]. Journal of Asian Earth Sciences,2005,25(5):821 836.
[222]Trandafir A C, Kamai T, Sidle R C. Earthquake-induced displacements of gravity retaining walls and anchor-reinforced slopes[J]. Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering,2009, 29(3):428-427.
[223]姜德义,朱合华,杜云贵.边坡稳定性分析与滑坡防治[M].重庆：重庆大学出版社,2005.
[224]陈学军,唐辉明.桂柳高速公路石城坪滑坡工程地质特征及治理评价[J].地球科学,2001,26(4)：381-384.
[225]刘凤宣,徐德玺,何雁,等.广邻高速公路K24工程边坡失稳的机理分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2002,21(11)：1691-1695.
[226]任伟中,陈浩.滑坡变形破坏机理和整治工程的模型试验研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2005,24(12)：2137-2141.
[227]卢应发,周盛沛,罗先启,等.渗流对抗滑桩加固滑坡后的影响效果评价[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2007,26(9)：1840-1846.
[228]郑求才,钱宙,胡启芳,等.含碎石粘性土滑坡排水与加固结合治理方法[J].交通科技,2008,(3)：47-49.
[229]谢全敏,夏元友.滑坡灾害治理方案的多属性决策方法研究[J].岩土工程学报,2004,26(5)：623-626.
[230]王恭先,滑坡防治方案的选择与优化[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2006,25(增2)：3867-3873.
[231]黄志全,张长存,姜彤.滑坡预报的协同一分岔模型及其应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2002,21(4)：498-501.
[232]张英,齐欢,王小平.新滩滑坡非线性动力学模型方法研究[J].长江科学院院报,2002,19(4)：33-35.
[233]Kim S K, Hong W P, Kim Y M. Prediction of rainfall triggered landslides in Korea[A]. In: Bell ed. landslides[C]. Rotterdam:Balkema,1991,989-994.
[234]Phillips J D. Nonlinear dynamics and the evolution of relief[J]. Geomorphology,1995, 36(14):57-64.
[235]Scheidegger A E. Tectonic predesign of mass movements, with examples from the Chinese Himalaya[J]. Geomorphology,1998,26(1-3):37-46.
[236]Davis J C, Chung C J, Ohlmacher G C. Two models for evaluating landslide hazards[J]. Computers & Geosciences,2006,32(8):1120-1127.
[237]Germanovich L N, Cherepanov G P. On some general properties of strength criteria[J]. International Journal of Fracture,1995,71(1):37-56.
[238]Pellerier J D, Malamud B D, Blodgett T, et al. Scale-invariance of soil mosisture variability and its implications for the frequency-size distribution of landlides[J]. Engineering Geology, 1997,48(3-4):255-268.
[239]Darve F, Laouafa F. Instabilities in granular materials and application to landslides[J]. Mechanics of Coesive-Frictional Materials,2000,5(8):627-652.
[240]Hudson J A. Rock Engineering Systems:theory and practice[M]. Chichester:Ellis Horwood, 1992.
[241]Mazzoccola D F. A comprehensive method of rock mass characterization for indicating natural slope stability[J]. Quarterly Journal of Engineering Geology,1996,39(1):37-56.
[242]Carrara A. Multivariate models for landslide hazard evaluation[J]. Mathematical Geology, 1983,15(3):403-426.
[243]Ercanoglu M, Gokceoglu C. Use of fuzzy relations to produce landslide susceptibility map of a landslide prone area (West Black Sea Region, Turkey) [J]. Engineering Geology,2004, 75(3-4):229-250.
[244]Song R H, Hiromu D, Kazutoki A, et al. Modeling the potential distribution of shallow-seated landslides using the weights of evidence method and a logistic regression model:a case study of the Sabae Area, Japan[J]. International Journal of Sediment Research, 2008,23(2):106-118.
[245]张奇华,丁秀丽,邬爱清.滑坡变形预测与失稳预报问题的几点讨论[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2006,16(2)：116-120.
[246]易顺民,唐辉明.滑坡分维特征及其预测意义[J].工程地质学报,1994,2(2)：48-53.
[247]龙辉,秦四清,朱世平,等.滑坡演化的非线性动力学与突变分析[J].工程地质学报,2001,9(3)：331-335.
[248]吕金虎,陈益峰,张锁春.基于自适应神经网络的边坡位移预测[J].系统工程理论与实践,2001,(12)：124-129.
[249]谈小龙.GIS支持下的大型高边坡安全监测预警模型研究[J].水利学报,2007,38(增)：700-705.
[250]张飞,王创业,郑德超.相空间重构理论在边坡失稳预测中的应用[J].有色金属,2003,55(5)：22-24.
[251]李毅,黄仕俊,谢正明,等.云南龙马水电站泄洪道边坡失稳预报分析[J].地下空间与工程学报,2006,2(6)：979-981.
[252]徐卫亚,蒋中明,石安池.基于模糊集理论的边坡稳定性分析[J].岩土工程学报,2003,25(4)：409-413.
[253]金永强,苏怀智,李子阳.基于和声搜素的边坡稳定性投影寻踪聚类分析[J].水利学报,2007,(增)：682-686.
[254]李雪平,唐辉明.基于GIS的分组数据Logistic模型在斜坡稳定性评价中的应用[J].吉林大学学报(地球科学版),2005,35(3)：361-365.
[255]兰恒星,伍法权,周成虎,等.基于GIS的云南小江流域滑坡因子敏感性分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2002,21(10)：1500-1506.
[256]汪洋,殷坤龙,安关峰.滑坡敏感因子的灰色关联分析[J].岩土力学,2004,25(1)：9193.
[257]李雪平,唐辉明,周顺平.区域滑坡因子敏感性的Logistic回归分析[J].地球科学与环境学报,2005,27(4)：14-18.
[258]王志旺,李瑞有,王湘桂.证据权法在滑坡危险度区划研究中的应用[J].岩土工程学报,2007,29(8)：1268-1273.
[259]谢全敏,丁保艳,吴定洪,等.基于案例的边坡治理方案选择决策支持系统研究[J].岩土力学,2008,29(5)：1351-1354.
[260]王念秦,姚勇,罗东海.滑坡综合治理方案比选评价模型[J].水土保持通报,2009,29(1)：111-114.
[261]夏元友,郑筱彦,李梅,等.非线性优化理论在抗滑桩设计中的应用[J].武汉理工大学学报,2007,29(1)：105-108.
[262]夏元友,曹杉杉,刘磊.基于Matlab环境的抗滑桩智能优化设计系统[J].长江科学院院报,2007,24(3)：23-26.
[263]徐兴华,尚岳全,孙红月.边坡综合信息管理与防灾决策机制的系统设计与应用[J].山地学报,2010,28(2)：161-170.
[264]李贵荣WebGIS的三层应用结构模型及其实现技术[J].南方冶金学院学报,2003(3)：12-15.
[265]郭琦.数据库系统开发关键技术[M].北京：人民邮电出版社,2003.
[266]高春艳,李艳,谷伟东.数据库开发关键技术与实例应用[M].北京：人民邮电出版社,2004.
[267]浙江大学防灾工程研究所.高速公路边坡稳定评价与安全监控技术及工程示范[R].杭州：浙江大学防灾工程研究所,2008.
[268]浙江大学防灾工程研究所.运营高速公路滑坡灾害处置技术研究[R].杭州：浙江大学防灾工程研究所,2006.
[269]常学将,陈敏,王明生.《时间序列分析》.高等教育出版社,1993.
[270]徐兴华,尚岳全,王迎超.滑坡灾害综合评判决策系统研究[J].岩土力学,2010,31(10)：3157-3164.
[271]Golden Sofrware. Surfer User's Guide. Electronic Document,2002.
[272]肖位枢.模糊数学基础及应用[M].北京：航空工业出版社,1992.
[273]侯鹏,罗玉屏,许宏伟.基于敏感性分析的公路隧道交通环境评价指标体系研究[J].公路交通科技(应用技术版),143-146.
[274]张斌,雍岐东,宵芳淳.模糊物元分析[M].北京：石油工业出版社,1997.
[275]Quinlan J R. Induction of decision trees [J]. Machine Learning,1986,1(1):81-106.
[276]Mandelbrot B B, J. R. Wallis. Some long-run properties of geographysical records[J]. Water Resource Research,1969,5(2):321-340.
[277]Yin X C, Yin C. The precursor of instability for nonlinear systems and its application to the earthquake predication[J]. Science in China (B),1991,38(2):977-986.
[278]Fredlund D G, Rahardjo H. Soil mechanics for unsaturated soils[M]. Newk York:John Wiley & Sons, Inc,1993.
[279]Green R E, Corey J C. Calculation of Hydraulic Conductivity:A Further Evaluation of Some Predictive Methods[J]. Soil Science Society of America Proceedings,1971,35:3-8.
[280]徐兴华,尚岳全.滑坡稳定性综合区划研究[J].岩土工程学报,2009,31(5)：669-674.
[281]叶四桥,唐红梅,王昌贤,等.滑坡灾害过程耦合机制与方法研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2006,25(增1)：2707-2712
[282]黄润秋.20世纪以来中国的大型滑坡及其发生机制[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2007,26(3)：432-454.
[283]徐兴华,尚岳全,王迎超.基于多重属性区间数决策模型的边坡整体稳定性分析[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2010,29(9)：1840-1849.
[284]范金城,梅长林.数据分析[M].北京：科学出版社,2002.
[285]王静龙.多元统计分析[M].北京：科学出版社,2008.
[286]陈德新,张方伟.区间数运算法则的补充与推广[J].聊城大学学报,2009,22(2)：20-21.
[287]许建聪,尚岳全.降雨作用下碎石土滑坡解体变形破坏机制研究[J].岩土力学,2008,29(1)：106-112.
[288]中华人民共和国国家发展和改革委员会.DL/T5353-2006.水利水电工程边坡设计规范[S].北京：中国电力出版社,2007.
[289]Chen Z Y, Wang J, Wang Y J, et al. A three-dimensional slope stability analysis method using the upper theorem (Ⅱ):numerical approaches, applications and extensions[J]. International Journal of Rock Mechanics & Mining Sciences,2001,38:379-397.
[290]徐兴华,尚岳全,王迎超.碎石土滑坡综合治理及评价决策方法研究[J].吉林大学学报 (地球科学版),2011,41(2)：484-492.
[291]Sun H Y, Shang Y Q, Zheng S N. The influence of pipe seepage system on the stability of a pebbly clay slope[C]. Proceedings of the 9th Congress of IAEGE,2002,1383-1386.
[292]俞伯汀,孙红月,尚岳全.含碎石粘性土边坡渗流系统的物理模型试验[J].岩土工程学报,2006,28(6)：705-708.
[293]尹祥础.地震预报的新途径—加卸载响应比理论[J].力学与实践,2004,26(6)：1-7.
[294]贺可强,周敦云,王思敬.降雨型堆积层滑坡的加卸载响应比特征及其预测作用与意义[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2004,23(16)：2665-2670.
[295]More P, Wang Y, Yin C, et al. Simulation of load-unload response ratio and critical sensitivity in the lattice solid model[J]. Pure Appl Geophys,2002,159:2525-2536.
[296]李秀珍,孔纪名,王震宇.石榴树包滑坡变形监测及演化趋势分析[J].工程地质学报,2006,14(3)：320-326.
[297]向可宗Fuzzy马尔科夫过程及初步应用[J].模糊数学,1982,2：21-26.
[298]张宸,林启太.模糊马尔科夫链状预测模型及其工程应用[J].武汉理工大学学报,2004,26(11)：63-66.
[299]冯耀龙,韩文秀.权马尔科夫链在河流丰枯状况预测中的应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,1999,(10)：89-93.
[300]曹文贵,张永杰.地下结构岩体质量分类的变权重二级模糊综合评判方法研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2006,25(8)：1612-1618.
[301]郭亚军.综合评价理论与方法[M].北京：科学出版社,2002.
[302]马云东,胡明东.改进的AHP法及其在多目标决策中的应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,1997,6：40-44.
[303]杨启帆,方道元.数学建模[M].杭州：浙江大学出版社,1999.
[304]Mandelbrot B B, Wallis J R. Robustness of the rescaled ranged R/S in the measurement of noncyclic long run statistical dependence[J]. Water Resource Research,1969,5(5):967-988.
[305]黄登仕,李后强.分形几何学、R/S分析与分式布朗运动[J].自然杂志,1990,13(8)：477-482.
[306]周厚云,郭国章.华南沿海明代自然灾害的时序分析[J].热带海洋,2000,19(3)：78-82.
© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号 地址：北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编：100083 电话：办公室：(+86 10)66554848；文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新：66554700 |