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基于MODIS气溶胶光学厚度反演的PM_(10)浓度监测
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摘要
随着我国经济的快速发展,工业化和城镇化进程加速,部分地区的环境承载压力不断加大,大气污染问题日趋严重。在我国大多数地区,可吸入颗粒物PM_(10)已成为影响环境空气质量的首要污染物。针对当前大气污染的现实状况,利用卫星遥感监测空气污染的空间分布及变化趋势具有相当重要的现实意义。
     本文基于研究MODIS数据在大气污染和可吸入颗粒物PM_(10)监测的作用出发,提出利用MODIS L1B数据反演气溶胶光学厚度AOD,并对同时段的PM_(10)时均值数据与AOD数据使用多种方法进行回归分析,建立相应的关系模型,以期发现能够较准确反映两者关系的模型,实现利用MODIS数据实时动态地监测大气污染数据的目的。主要结论如下:
     (1)MODIS反演的气溶胶光学厚度和可吸入颗粒物PM_(10)的浓度具有较好的相关性,在一定程度上可以反映城市空气污染状况。但对PM_(10)与AOD之间进行统计回归分析只有当首要污染物为PM_(10)时,两者之间才能进行统计回归分析。如果某些日子的主要污染物不是可吸入颗粒物,而是SO_2或NO_2,则必须排除这些天的数据,才能进行统计回归分析。
     (2)在对MODIS数据进行气溶胶反演,6S模式中的大气模型参数为大陆模式,此模型的使用受气象条件的影响,在某些时段有局限性(如夏季),影响反演的精度;在此情况下进行反演,最好能对气溶胶的成分进行分析,以减少误差。
     (3)利用2008年9月至11月的MODIG L1B数据反演的AOD数据,与PM_(10)的建立五种类型的回归模型,通过分析确定系数R~2和F检验的值,得到较优的两个回归模型:线性模型和一元二次模型;用检验数据对两个模型进行检验,得到的平均相对误差分别为11.7%、30.6%,确定线性模型为反映AOD与PM_(10)最佳拟合模型。
With rapid development of economy and course of industrialization and urbanization in our country, the environment stress of most areas increases, the pollution of the atmosphere also becomes more and more serious. In most areas, a kind of inhalable particle—PM_(10) becomes the critical pollutant which affects the air quality. Focus on the existing reality, utilize the satellite remote sensing to monitor the space distribution and variation trend of the pollution has the most important practical significance.
     The article based on the research of the monitoring function of MODIS data which affects the air pollution and PM_(10), put forward the utilization of MODIS L1B data invert the AOD (Aerosol Optical Depth). Then proceed the regression analysis by multiple methods for mean value of PM_(10) and AOD data which appear at the same period, establish relevant relational model. The purpose of the research is expected to discover the model which can reflect the relationship of the two data exactly, and realize the utilization of MODIS data to monitor the air pollution.
     The main conclusions are as follows:
     (1) The Aerosol Optical Depth and the inhalable particulate matter (PM_(10)) concentration have better relationship which was inverted by MODIS, this can reflect the condition of air pollution in cities to a certain extent. However, only when the critical pollutant is PM10, we can take a statistic regression analysis between PM_(10) and AOD. If in a period, the critical pollutants were not inhalable particulate matter but SO_2 or NO_2, we should eliminate the data in these days.
     (2) When we proceed the aerosol inversion on the MODIS data, the atmosphere model parameter in 6S model is continent pattern, the utilization of this model has been affected by climate condition. This model has limitations in some periods (such as summer), and these limitations would affect the precision of inversion. Under these conditions, we'd better analyze the components of the aerosol in order to decrease errors.
     (3) Constructed five types of regression model by the utilization of and AOD data which inverted by MODIS L1B data that generated between September and November in 2008. According to analyze these data which verified by coefficient of determination R~2 and F, we got two better regression models: linear model and quadratic model. When verified them by testing data, their average relative errors are 11.7% and 30.6%, respectively. So we can ensure that the best fitting model which can reflect the AOD and PM_(10) is linear model.
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