船舶定线制优选方法的研究
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摘要
船舶定线制是先进海事管理理念的一种体现方式,能对较为密集的交通流进行有效的疏导,是水上船舶航行秩序管理的发展方向之一,也是现代交通领域重要的研究课题。为此,本文系统地阐述了开展船舶定线制研究的必要性,并以成山角水域船舶定线制修订为例对船舶定线制方案的优选方法进行了尝试,同时对船舶定线制的优选方法进行了进一步探讨。
为了对多种船舶定线制方案进行优选,本文全面分析了影响船舶定线制设计方案的各种因素,结合了IMO《关于船舶定线制的一般规定》及SOLAS公约第五章的规范对船舶定线制进行探讨,从地理环境、航行环境及人为因素三个角度阐述了各个因素对船舶定线制方案优选的影响,建立了船舶定线制优选的评价指标体系。分别利用层次分析方法、可拓理论评估方法和模糊神经网络评估方法对船舶定线制的方案进行评估及优选,最后利用基于距离分析的灰色关联算法对三种评估结果进行分析,得出层次分析法和可拓理论方法均可用于定线制方案的优选的结论。
本文在全面分析影响船舶定线制各种因素的基础上,提出了船舶定线制优选的新的评估方法,在一定程度上弥补了船舶定线制评估在该方面的不足。本文基于定性与定量相结合的方法可对船舶定线制的多种方案进行多因素综合评估,可为海事主管部门选取船舶定线制最佳方案提供重要的参考依据,为船舶交通安全的管理工作提供一个切实有效的方法,同时对船舶安全航行的生产实践也具有一定的指导作用。
Ships'routeing is not only an advanced concept of maritime management, but also acting as an effective solution for congested traffic of waterway. It represents the development direction of ship navigation order management, and acts as an important research topic in the field of modern traffic. This paper expounds the necessity of ships'routeing, then take the Chengshan Jiao ships'routeing as an example for the attempt of choosing best plan from several alternatives. In the end, the optimized assessment methods of ships'routeing are studied.
In order to evaluate optimal scheme of ships'routeing, this paper analyses various factors affecting the design of ships'routeing system by combining with the regulations of IMO's "General Provisions on Ships'routeing" and the fifth chapter of the SOLAS convention which regulate the ship's routeing system. It exams the effects of various factors acting on the ships'routeing from the angle of geographical environment, navigation environment and human factors, thus put forward evaluation index system of the ships'routeing, it evaluate ships'routeing plans by using analytic hierarchical process, extenics theory and fuzzy neural network to choose best design. At last, it analyzes the results of evaluation methods based on the gray theory. It shows that both the hierarchical analysis method and the theory of extension method can be used as an optimized way of choosing best routeing design from several alternatives.
This paper provides optimized method for ships' routeing based on a comprehensive analysis of the factors which influence ships'routeing; it fills the blank in this aspect to some extent. The assessment methods of this paper evaluate the ships' routeing schemes not only in qualitative way but also in quantitative way, which provides an effective way for maritime traffic management. The result of this dissertation has a guiding role in maritime field.
为了对多种船舶定线制方案进行优选,本文全面分析了影响船舶定线制设计方案的各种因素,结合了IMO《关于船舶定线制的一般规定》及SOLAS公约第五章的规范对船舶定线制进行探讨,从地理环境、航行环境及人为因素三个角度阐述了各个因素对船舶定线制方案优选的影响,建立了船舶定线制优选的评价指标体系。分别利用层次分析方法、可拓理论评估方法和模糊神经网络评估方法对船舶定线制的方案进行评估及优选,最后利用基于距离分析的灰色关联算法对三种评估结果进行分析,得出层次分析法和可拓理论方法均可用于定线制方案的优选的结论。
本文在全面分析影响船舶定线制各种因素的基础上,提出了船舶定线制优选的新的评估方法,在一定程度上弥补了船舶定线制评估在该方面的不足。本文基于定性与定量相结合的方法可对船舶定线制的多种方案进行多因素综合评估,可为海事主管部门选取船舶定线制最佳方案提供重要的参考依据,为船舶交通安全的管理工作提供一个切实有效的方法,同时对船舶安全航行的生产实践也具有一定的指导作用。
Ships'routeing is not only an advanced concept of maritime management, but also acting as an effective solution for congested traffic of waterway. It represents the development direction of ship navigation order management, and acts as an important research topic in the field of modern traffic. This paper expounds the necessity of ships'routeing, then take the Chengshan Jiao ships'routeing as an example for the attempt of choosing best plan from several alternatives. In the end, the optimized assessment methods of ships'routeing are studied.
In order to evaluate optimal scheme of ships'routeing, this paper analyses various factors affecting the design of ships'routeing system by combining with the regulations of IMO's "General Provisions on Ships'routeing" and the fifth chapter of the SOLAS convention which regulate the ship's routeing system. It exams the effects of various factors acting on the ships'routeing from the angle of geographical environment, navigation environment and human factors, thus put forward evaluation index system of the ships'routeing, it evaluate ships'routeing plans by using analytic hierarchical process, extenics theory and fuzzy neural network to choose best design. At last, it analyzes the results of evaluation methods based on the gray theory. It shows that both the hierarchical analysis method and the theory of extension method can be used as an optimized way of choosing best routeing design from several alternatives.
This paper provides optimized method for ships' routeing based on a comprehensive analysis of the factors which influence ships'routeing; it fills the blank in this aspect to some extent. The assessment methods of this paper evaluate the ships' routeing schemes not only in qualitative way but also in quantitative way, which provides an effective way for maritime traffic management. The result of this dissertation has a guiding role in maritime field.
引文
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