基于综合评价法的水资源承载能力研究
|
摘要
为了研究郑州市水资源综合承载力情况,对郑州市水资源综合承载力指标体系进行了构建,依据学者对水资源承载力指标体系的构建内容与原则,建立水资源承载力综合模型,结合郑州市区域发展以及自然特征,将处理后的指标进行模型计算。研究得出:郑州市水资源综合承载力主要是由水资源复合系统压力指数(CCI)、人口压力指数(F_pI)、经济压力指数(F_eI)、水资源系统协调指数(CHI)共同决定的,其中郑州市水资源综合承载力变化曲线呈现"V"字形,变化趋势为先下降后上升。研究为郑州市水资源的可持续发展提供了技术支持。
In order to study the comprehensive bearing capacity of water resources in Zhengzhou City,the comprehensive carrying capacity index system of water resources in Zhengzhou City was constructed,based on the contents and principles of scholars 'construction of the water resources carrying capacity indicator system,a comprehensive model of water resources carrying capacity was established,combining with the regional development of Zhengzhou City and natural characteristics,model calculation of the processed index is carried out.The study shows that the comprehensive water resources bearing capacity of Zhengzhou City is mainly determined by the pressure index of the water resources complex system(CCI),the population pressure index(F_pI),the economic pressure index(F_eI),and the water resources system coordination index(CHI),the change curve of the comprehensive water resources carrying capacity of Zhengzhou City presents a "V" shape,the trend is to decline first and then rise.The research provides technical support for the sustainable development of water resources in Zhengzhou.
In order to study the comprehensive bearing capacity of water resources in Zhengzhou City,the comprehensive carrying capacity index system of water resources in Zhengzhou City was constructed,based on the contents and principles of scholars 'construction of the water resources carrying capacity indicator system,a comprehensive model of water resources carrying capacity was established,combining with the regional development of Zhengzhou City and natural characteristics,model calculation of the processed index is carried out.The study shows that the comprehensive water resources bearing capacity of Zhengzhou City is mainly determined by the pressure index of the water resources complex system(CCI),the population pressure index(F_pI),the economic pressure index(F_eI),and the water resources system coordination index(CHI),the change curve of the comprehensive water resources carrying capacity of Zhengzhou City presents a "V" shape,the trend is to decline first and then rise.The research provides technical support for the sustainable development of water resources in Zhengzhou.
引文
[1] 王顺久,侯玉,张欣莉,等.流域水资源承载能力的综合评价方法[J].水利学报,2003,34(1):88-92.Wang Shunjiu,Hou Yu,Zhang Xinli,et al.Comprehensive evaluation method of water resources carrying capacity in river basins[J].Journal of Hydraulic Engineering,2003,34(1):88-92.
[2] 张晓鹏,张鑫.基于模糊综合评价法的区域水资源承载力研究[J].中国农村水利水电,2009(7):18-21.Zhang Xiaopeng,Zhang Xin.Research on regional water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation[J].China Rural Water and Hydropower,2009(7):18-21.
[3] 秦奋,张喜旺,刘剑锋.基于模糊分析法的水资源承载力综合评价[J].水资源与水工程学报,2006,17(1):1-6.Qin Fen,Zhang Xiwang,Liu Jianfeng.Comprehensive evaluation of water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy analysis[J].Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering,2006,17(1):1-6.
[4] 马秀梅.基于模糊综合评价法对水资源承载能力模型的研究[J].黑龙江水利科技,2015(3):32-34.Ma Xiumei.Research on water resources carrying capacity model based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method[J].Heilongjiang Hydraulic Science and Technology,2015(3):32-34.
[5] 张晓鹏,张鑫.基于模糊综合评价法的区域水资源承载力研究[J].中国农村水利水电,2009(7):18-21.Zhang Xiaopeng,Zhang Xin.Research on regional water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method[J].China Rural Water and Hydropower,2009(7):18-21.
[6] 李跃鹏,杨莉,陈南祥.基于模糊综合评判方法的县域水资源承载力分析[J].华北水利水电大学学报(自然科学版),2010,31(4):14-16.Li Yuepeng,Yang Li,Chen Nanxiang.Analysis of water resources carrying capacity at county level based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method[J].Journal of North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power(Natural Science Edition),2010,31(4):14-16.
[7] 陈凯,李就好,陆金驰,等.基于模糊层次综合评价法的汕头水资源承载力变化趋势研究[J].广东农业科学,2012,39(2):110-113.Chen Kai,Li Jiuhao,Lu Jinchi,et al.Study on change trend of bearing capacity of Shantou water resources based on fuzzy AHP comprehensive evaluation method[J].Guangdong Agricultural Sciences,2012,39(2):110-113.
[8] 邢军,孙立波.基于因子分析与模糊综合评判方法的水资源承载力评价[J].节水灌溉,2014(4):52-55.Xing Jun,Sun Libo.Evaluation of water resources carrying capacity based on factor analysis and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation[J].Water Saving Irrigation,2014(4):52-55.
[9] 魏光辉.基于改进主成分分析的区域水资源承载力评价研究[J].水资源开发与管理,2016(4):51-55.Wei Guanghui.Evaluation of regional water resources carrying capacity based on improved principal component analysis[J].Water Resources Development and Management,2016(4):51-55.
[10] 李涛,白静.基于隶属函数及两阶段法的灌区水资源承载能力研究[J].节水灌溉,2010(9):37-40.Li Tao,Bai Jing.Research on water resources carrying capacity in irrigation district based on subordination function and two-stage method[J].Water Saving Irrigation,2010(9):37-40.
[11] 孟丽红,陈亚宁,徐祥明,等.基于可变模糊评价法的塔里木河流域水资源承载力研究[J].水土保持通报,2012,32(2):162-167.Meng Lihong,Chen Yaning,Xu Xiangming,et al.Research on water resources carrying capacity in Tarim River basin based on variable fuzzy evaluation[J].Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,32(2):162-167.
[12] 董雯,刘志辉.基于FAHP原理的水资源承载力综合评价研究—以新疆博尔塔拉河流域和精河流域为例[J].干旱区资源与环境,2008,22(10):5-10.Dong Wen,Liu Zhihui.Comprehensive evaluation on water resources carrying capacity based on FAHP principle:a case study of Bortala River Basin and Jinghe River Basin in Xinjiang[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2008,22(10):5-10.
[13] 孙弘颜,汤洁,刘亚修.基于模糊评价方法的中国水资源承载力研究[J].东北师大学报(自然科学版),2007,39(1):131-135.Sun Hongyan,Tang Jie,Liu Yaxiu.Research on water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy evaluation in China[J].Journal of Northeast Normal University(Natural Science Edition),2007,39(1):131-135.
[14] 戴明宏,王腊春,魏兴萍.基于熵权的模糊综合评价模型的广西水资源承载力空间分异研究[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(1):193-199.Dai Minghong,Wang Lachun,Wei Xingping.Study on spatial differentiation of bearing capacity of water resources in Guangxi based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model based on entropy weight[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(1):193-199.
[15] 吕建树,刘洋,杨念贵.基于改进TOPSIS法的水资源承载力研究[J].水资源与水工程学报,2009,20(3):83-86.Lü Jianshu,Liu Yang,Yang Niangui.Research on water resources carrying capacity based on improved TOPSIS method[J].Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering,2009,20(3):83-86.
[16] 戴明宏,王腊春,汤淏.基于多层次模糊综合评价模型的喀斯特地区水资源承载力研究[J].水土保持通报,2016,36(1):151-156.Dai Minghong,Wang Lachun,Tang Hao.Research on water resources carrying capacity based on multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model in Karst region[J].Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,36(1):151-156.
[17] 王学全,卢琦,李保国.应用模糊综合评判方法对青海省水资源承载力评价研究[J].中国沙漠,2005,25(6):944-949.Wang Xuequan,Lu Qi,Li Baoguo.Evaluation of water resources carrying capacity in Qinghai Province using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method[J].Journal of Desert Research,2005,25(6):944-949.
[18] 宋丹丹,郭辉.基于AHP和熵值法的新疆水资源承载力综合评价研究[J].广西师范学院学报(自然科学版),2014(3):57-64.Song Dandan,Guo Hui.Comprehensive evaluation of Xinjiang water resources carrying capacity based on AHP and entropy method[J].Journal of Guangxi Teachers Education University(Natural Science Edition),2014(3):57-64.
[19] 尹杰杰,崔远来,刘方平,等.基于模糊综合评价的赣抚平原灌区水资源承载力研究[J].节水灌溉,2016(8):131-134.Yin Jiejie,Cui Yuanlai,Liu Fangping,et al.Study on water resources carrying capacity of Ganfu plain irrigated area based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation[J].Water Saving Irrigation,2016(8):131-134.
[20] 杜俊平,叶得明,陈年来.基于可拓综合评价法的干旱区水资源承载力评价—以河西走廊地区为例[J].中国农业资源与区划,2017,38(12):56-63.Du Junping,Ye Deming,Chen Nianlai.Evaluation of water resources carrying capacity in arid area based on extension comprehensive evaluation method:taking Hexi corridor as an example[J].Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning,2017,38(12):56-63.
[21] 蔡建丽,雷晓云.基于模糊评价方法的石河子市水资源承载力研究[J].人民珠江,2011,32(3):5-6.Cai Jianli,Lei Xiaoyun.Study on water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy evaluation in Shihezi City[J].Pearl River,2011,32(3):5-6.
[22] 王耀南,王莉芳.基于可变集理论的水资源承载力综合评价—以陕西省为例[J].未来与发展,2014(2):36-41.Wang Yaonan,Wang Lifang.Comprehensive evaluation of water resources carrying capacity based on variable set theory:a case study of Shaanxi Province[J].Future and Development,2014(2):36-41.
[23] 张忠学,马蔷.基于模糊综合评价的区域农业水资源承载力研究—以绥化市北林区为例[J].水力发电学报,2015,34(1):49-54.Zhang Zhongxue,Ma Qiang.Research on regional water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation:a case study of Beilin district in Suihua City[J].Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering,2015,34(1):49-54.
[24] 李怀林.基于模糊综合评价方法的干旱区水资源承载力研究[J].中国水运月刊,2014,14(8):206-208.Li Huailin.Study on water resources carrying capacity in arid area based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method[J].China Water Transport Monthly,2014,14(8):206-208.
[25] 李文宝.基于模糊综合评价的湘西自治州水资源承载力研究[J].湖南水利水电,2016(6):42-44.Li Wenbao.Study on water resources carrying capacity of Xiangxi autonomous prefecture based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation[J].Hunan Hydro & Power,2016(6):42-44.
[26] 许有鹏.干旱区水资源承载能力综合评价研究—以新疆和田河流域为例[J].自然资源学报,1993,8(3):229-237.Xu Youpeng.Comprehensive evaluation of water resources carrying capacity in arid areas:a case study of Hetian river basin,Xinjiang[J].Journal of Natural Resources,1993,8(3):229-237.
[27] 屈小娥.陕西省水资源承载力综合评价研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2017,31(2):91-97.Qu Xiao′e.Study on comprehensive evaluation of water resources carrying capacity in Shaanxi Province[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2017,31(2):91-97.
[28] 沈燕.模糊综合评价方法在区域水资源承载力研究中的应用[J].节水灌溉,2009(9):17-19.Shen Yan.Application of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method in the study of regional water resources carrying capacity[J].Water Saving Irrigation,2009(9):17-19.
[2] 张晓鹏,张鑫.基于模糊综合评价法的区域水资源承载力研究[J].中国农村水利水电,2009(7):18-21.Zhang Xiaopeng,Zhang Xin.Research on regional water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation[J].China Rural Water and Hydropower,2009(7):18-21.
[3] 秦奋,张喜旺,刘剑锋.基于模糊分析法的水资源承载力综合评价[J].水资源与水工程学报,2006,17(1):1-6.Qin Fen,Zhang Xiwang,Liu Jianfeng.Comprehensive evaluation of water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy analysis[J].Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering,2006,17(1):1-6.
[4] 马秀梅.基于模糊综合评价法对水资源承载能力模型的研究[J].黑龙江水利科技,2015(3):32-34.Ma Xiumei.Research on water resources carrying capacity model based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method[J].Heilongjiang Hydraulic Science and Technology,2015(3):32-34.
[5] 张晓鹏,张鑫.基于模糊综合评价法的区域水资源承载力研究[J].中国农村水利水电,2009(7):18-21.Zhang Xiaopeng,Zhang Xin.Research on regional water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method[J].China Rural Water and Hydropower,2009(7):18-21.
[6] 李跃鹏,杨莉,陈南祥.基于模糊综合评判方法的县域水资源承载力分析[J].华北水利水电大学学报(自然科学版),2010,31(4):14-16.Li Yuepeng,Yang Li,Chen Nanxiang.Analysis of water resources carrying capacity at county level based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method[J].Journal of North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power(Natural Science Edition),2010,31(4):14-16.
[7] 陈凯,李就好,陆金驰,等.基于模糊层次综合评价法的汕头水资源承载力变化趋势研究[J].广东农业科学,2012,39(2):110-113.Chen Kai,Li Jiuhao,Lu Jinchi,et al.Study on change trend of bearing capacity of Shantou water resources based on fuzzy AHP comprehensive evaluation method[J].Guangdong Agricultural Sciences,2012,39(2):110-113.
[8] 邢军,孙立波.基于因子分析与模糊综合评判方法的水资源承载力评价[J].节水灌溉,2014(4):52-55.Xing Jun,Sun Libo.Evaluation of water resources carrying capacity based on factor analysis and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation[J].Water Saving Irrigation,2014(4):52-55.
[9] 魏光辉.基于改进主成分分析的区域水资源承载力评价研究[J].水资源开发与管理,2016(4):51-55.Wei Guanghui.Evaluation of regional water resources carrying capacity based on improved principal component analysis[J].Water Resources Development and Management,2016(4):51-55.
[10] 李涛,白静.基于隶属函数及两阶段法的灌区水资源承载能力研究[J].节水灌溉,2010(9):37-40.Li Tao,Bai Jing.Research on water resources carrying capacity in irrigation district based on subordination function and two-stage method[J].Water Saving Irrigation,2010(9):37-40.
[11] 孟丽红,陈亚宁,徐祥明,等.基于可变模糊评价法的塔里木河流域水资源承载力研究[J].水土保持通报,2012,32(2):162-167.Meng Lihong,Chen Yaning,Xu Xiangming,et al.Research on water resources carrying capacity in Tarim River basin based on variable fuzzy evaluation[J].Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,32(2):162-167.
[12] 董雯,刘志辉.基于FAHP原理的水资源承载力综合评价研究—以新疆博尔塔拉河流域和精河流域为例[J].干旱区资源与环境,2008,22(10):5-10.Dong Wen,Liu Zhihui.Comprehensive evaluation on water resources carrying capacity based on FAHP principle:a case study of Bortala River Basin and Jinghe River Basin in Xinjiang[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2008,22(10):5-10.
[13] 孙弘颜,汤洁,刘亚修.基于模糊评价方法的中国水资源承载力研究[J].东北师大学报(自然科学版),2007,39(1):131-135.Sun Hongyan,Tang Jie,Liu Yaxiu.Research on water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy evaluation in China[J].Journal of Northeast Normal University(Natural Science Edition),2007,39(1):131-135.
[14] 戴明宏,王腊春,魏兴萍.基于熵权的模糊综合评价模型的广西水资源承载力空间分异研究[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(1):193-199.Dai Minghong,Wang Lachun,Wei Xingping.Study on spatial differentiation of bearing capacity of water resources in Guangxi based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model based on entropy weight[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(1):193-199.
[15] 吕建树,刘洋,杨念贵.基于改进TOPSIS法的水资源承载力研究[J].水资源与水工程学报,2009,20(3):83-86.Lü Jianshu,Liu Yang,Yang Niangui.Research on water resources carrying capacity based on improved TOPSIS method[J].Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering,2009,20(3):83-86.
[16] 戴明宏,王腊春,汤淏.基于多层次模糊综合评价模型的喀斯特地区水资源承载力研究[J].水土保持通报,2016,36(1):151-156.Dai Minghong,Wang Lachun,Tang Hao.Research on water resources carrying capacity based on multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model in Karst region[J].Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,36(1):151-156.
[17] 王学全,卢琦,李保国.应用模糊综合评判方法对青海省水资源承载力评价研究[J].中国沙漠,2005,25(6):944-949.Wang Xuequan,Lu Qi,Li Baoguo.Evaluation of water resources carrying capacity in Qinghai Province using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method[J].Journal of Desert Research,2005,25(6):944-949.
[18] 宋丹丹,郭辉.基于AHP和熵值法的新疆水资源承载力综合评价研究[J].广西师范学院学报(自然科学版),2014(3):57-64.Song Dandan,Guo Hui.Comprehensive evaluation of Xinjiang water resources carrying capacity based on AHP and entropy method[J].Journal of Guangxi Teachers Education University(Natural Science Edition),2014(3):57-64.
[19] 尹杰杰,崔远来,刘方平,等.基于模糊综合评价的赣抚平原灌区水资源承载力研究[J].节水灌溉,2016(8):131-134.Yin Jiejie,Cui Yuanlai,Liu Fangping,et al.Study on water resources carrying capacity of Ganfu plain irrigated area based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation[J].Water Saving Irrigation,2016(8):131-134.
[20] 杜俊平,叶得明,陈年来.基于可拓综合评价法的干旱区水资源承载力评价—以河西走廊地区为例[J].中国农业资源与区划,2017,38(12):56-63.Du Junping,Ye Deming,Chen Nianlai.Evaluation of water resources carrying capacity in arid area based on extension comprehensive evaluation method:taking Hexi corridor as an example[J].Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning,2017,38(12):56-63.
[21] 蔡建丽,雷晓云.基于模糊评价方法的石河子市水资源承载力研究[J].人民珠江,2011,32(3):5-6.Cai Jianli,Lei Xiaoyun.Study on water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy evaluation in Shihezi City[J].Pearl River,2011,32(3):5-6.
[22] 王耀南,王莉芳.基于可变集理论的水资源承载力综合评价—以陕西省为例[J].未来与发展,2014(2):36-41.Wang Yaonan,Wang Lifang.Comprehensive evaluation of water resources carrying capacity based on variable set theory:a case study of Shaanxi Province[J].Future and Development,2014(2):36-41.
[23] 张忠学,马蔷.基于模糊综合评价的区域农业水资源承载力研究—以绥化市北林区为例[J].水力发电学报,2015,34(1):49-54.Zhang Zhongxue,Ma Qiang.Research on regional water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation:a case study of Beilin district in Suihua City[J].Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering,2015,34(1):49-54.
[24] 李怀林.基于模糊综合评价方法的干旱区水资源承载力研究[J].中国水运月刊,2014,14(8):206-208.Li Huailin.Study on water resources carrying capacity in arid area based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method[J].China Water Transport Monthly,2014,14(8):206-208.
[25] 李文宝.基于模糊综合评价的湘西自治州水资源承载力研究[J].湖南水利水电,2016(6):42-44.Li Wenbao.Study on water resources carrying capacity of Xiangxi autonomous prefecture based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation[J].Hunan Hydro & Power,2016(6):42-44.
[26] 许有鹏.干旱区水资源承载能力综合评价研究—以新疆和田河流域为例[J].自然资源学报,1993,8(3):229-237.Xu Youpeng.Comprehensive evaluation of water resources carrying capacity in arid areas:a case study of Hetian river basin,Xinjiang[J].Journal of Natural Resources,1993,8(3):229-237.
[27] 屈小娥.陕西省水资源承载力综合评价研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2017,31(2):91-97.Qu Xiao′e.Study on comprehensive evaluation of water resources carrying capacity in Shaanxi Province[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2017,31(2):91-97.
[28] 沈燕.模糊综合评价方法在区域水资源承载力研究中的应用[J].节水灌溉,2009(9):17-19.Shen Yan.Application of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method in the study of regional water resources carrying capacity[J].Water Saving Irrigation,2009(9):17-19.
© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号 地址：北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编：100083 电话：办公室：(+86 10)66554848；文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新：66554700 |