大渡河水电开发对县域经济影响研究
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摘要
基于汉源县和四川省2000～2017年国民经济统计公报及统计年鉴,分析了大渡河瀑布沟、深溪沟水电站基建及运营期对所在县域经济发展的影响;根据大渡河干流梯级8站的多年运营情况,从发电、防洪减灾、梯级调度、节能减排等方面综合定性分析了大渡河水电开发对四川省经济的综合影响。分析结果表明:①基建期内,汉源县第一产业萎缩较为明显,第二产业得到了长足发展,产业结构得到了优化;②运营期内,汉源县GDP平均增速得到了显著提高,超过了四川省同期的平均水平,推动了第二、三产业快速发展,优化了地方产业结构和能源结构,保障了防洪安全,促进了脱贫攻坚,经济效益和社会综合效益显著。
Based on the national economic statistics bulletin and statistical yearbook of Hanyuan county and Sichuan Province from 2000 to 2017, we analyzed the impact of two hydropower stations on the Dadu River, Pubugou and Shenxigou, on the development of the local economy during construction and operation period. We analyzed the comprehensive impacts of all eight hydroelectricity stations on the Dadu River of Sichuan Province's economy as a whole and from perspectives of power generation, flood control, disaster mitigation, cascade dispatch, energy conservation and emission reduction based on multi-year operation of these stations. The result showed: ① first industry shrinkage in Hanyuan county was obvious while the secondary industry developed remarkably with the industrial structure being optimized during the construction period; ② in the operation period, the average GDP growth rate of Hanyuan county increased significantly, exceeding average level of the entire Sichuan Province. The Dadu River hydropower development helped promoting the rapid development of the secondary and tertiary industries, optimized the local industrial and energy structure, ensured the flood control, promoted poverty alleviation, and achieved significant economic and social benefits.
Based on the national economic statistics bulletin and statistical yearbook of Hanyuan county and Sichuan Province from 2000 to 2017, we analyzed the impact of two hydropower stations on the Dadu River, Pubugou and Shenxigou, on the development of the local economy during construction and operation period. We analyzed the comprehensive impacts of all eight hydroelectricity stations on the Dadu River of Sichuan Province's economy as a whole and from perspectives of power generation, flood control, disaster mitigation, cascade dispatch, energy conservation and emission reduction based on multi-year operation of these stations. The result showed: ① first industry shrinkage in Hanyuan county was obvious while the secondary industry developed remarkably with the industrial structure being optimized during the construction period; ② in the operation period, the average GDP growth rate of Hanyuan county increased significantly, exceeding average level of the entire Sichuan Province. The Dadu River hydropower development helped promoting the rapid development of the secondary and tertiary industries, optimized the local industrial and energy structure, ensured the flood control, promoted poverty alleviation, and achieved significant economic and social benefits.
引文
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[20] 刘金焕.大渡河大岗山水电站的可持续发展建设[J].人民长江,2011,42(14):1-4.
[2] 高超,徐乃忠,刘贵,等.中国煤炭行业发展面临的挑战与机遇[J].煤矿开采,2019,24(1):1-4,29.
[3] 罗立云.大型水电工程建设期稳定的风险防控工作思考与实践[J].水力发电,2018,44(11):52-55.
[4] 曾建华.中国进出口银行对缅甸投资项目贷款的风险控制研究[D].昆明:云南大学,2015.
[5] 劳承玉,冉杨斯特.能源建设投资对区域经济增长的拉动效应:四川案例[J].西南金融,2018(12):31-36.
[6] 董新亮,马光文,张秋菊.枕头坝、沙坪水电站建设的区域经济影响分析[J].中国农村水利水电,2008(10):122-124.
[7] 谭运嘉,李平,王宏伟.基于区域投入产出模型的大型建设项目区域经济影响评价:以白鹤滩水电站建设项目为例[J].工程研究-跨学科视野中的工程,2013,5(1):23-34.
[8] 陆菊春,邵东国,刘小花.水利投入对国民经济增长贡献的量化方法研究[J].水电能源科学,2002(1):54-56.
[9] 国民经济行业分类:GB/T4754-2017[S].
[10] 邹执寰.四川省重点流域水电开发的区域经济发展综合影响分析[D].成都:四川省社会科学院,2015.
[11] 高鸿业.西方经济学[M].北京:中国经济出版社,1998.
[12] 雷清雄.大渡河汉源—铜街子段崩、滑灾害成因机制及环境效应研究[D].成都:成都理工大学,2017.
[13] 刘继青.山东省饲料企业一体化经营发展问题研究[D].济南:山东农业大学,2018.
[14] 钱钢粮.西藏水电开发与生态环境保护[J].水力发电,2019,45(2):6-10,34.
[15] 沈鹏.论西藏水电开发对优化国家能源结构及促进西藏经济发展的意义[J].水力发电,2019,45(2):18-20.
[16] 马建华.2018年长江流域水旱灾害防御工作回顾与展望[J].人民长江,2019,50(3):1-4.
[17] 侯雨乐,刘瑞,赵景波.四川省汉源县大渡河干热河谷区清代洪涝灾害特征[J].水土保持通报,2019,39(1):271-277.
[18] 马朝阳.气候变化对长江水文水资源影响研究[J].科技风,2019(10):127.
[19] 刘金焕.坚持科学有序推进水电开发是促进区域经济可持续发展的必然选择[J].四川水力发电,2010,29(4):142-146.
[20] 刘金焕.大渡河大岗山水电站的可持续发展建设[J].人民长江,2011,42(14):1-4.
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