山西省农业水资源与经济发展响应关系评价
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摘要
为评价山西省农业水资源和经济两系统间协调发展状态,论文通过分析山西省的农业水资源和经济的现状,利用国内外现有的农业水资源与经济发展的研究成果,采用主客观赋值法,对农业水资源系统和经济发展系统分别确定了9个和11个评价指标,运用层次分析和均值-方差决策法,揭示了2011-2015年山西省农业水资源的5个主要影响因子和7个主要经济发展因子,建立了适合山西省农业水资源与经济两系统协调发展的模型和判别标准,并计算了2011-2015年间两系统的协调发展度。结果表明,两系统的协调发展度从2011年的0. 499 2增加至2015年的0. 883 4,山西省的农业水资源与经济发展已经由濒临失调逐渐发展过渡到良好协调。
In order to evaluate achieve coordinated development between the two systems of agricultural water resources and economy in Shanxi Province,the status of agricultural water resources and economy in Shanxi Province was first analyzed,and the research results of agricultural water resources and economic development were used.The subjective and objective analysis methods have determined 9 evaluation indicators of agricultural water resources system and 11 evaluation indicators of economic development system. Using the analytic hierarchy process and the mean-variance decision-making method,the agricultural waters of Shanxi Province from 2011 to 2015 were revealed. The five main influencing factors of resources and seven major economic development factors have established a model and discriminant criteria suitable for the coordinated development of agricultural water resources and economic systems in Shanxi Province,and calculated the coordinated development degree of the two systems between 2011 and 2015. It shows that the coordinated development of the two systems increased from 0. 499 2 in 2011 to 0. 883 4 in 2015,and the status of coordinated development between agricultural water resources and economy has transited from near-imbalance to well-coordinated.
In order to evaluate achieve coordinated development between the two systems of agricultural water resources and economy in Shanxi Province,the status of agricultural water resources and economy in Shanxi Province was first analyzed,and the research results of agricultural water resources and economic development were used.The subjective and objective analysis methods have determined 9 evaluation indicators of agricultural water resources system and 11 evaluation indicators of economic development system. Using the analytic hierarchy process and the mean-variance decision-making method,the agricultural waters of Shanxi Province from 2011 to 2015 were revealed. The five main influencing factors of resources and seven major economic development factors have established a model and discriminant criteria suitable for the coordinated development of agricultural water resources and economic systems in Shanxi Province,and calculated the coordinated development degree of the two systems between 2011 and 2015. It shows that the coordinated development of the two systems increased from 0. 499 2 in 2011 to 0. 883 4 in 2015,and the status of coordinated development between agricultural water resources and economy has transited from near-imbalance to well-coordinated.
引文
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[3]石丽忠．辽宁省农业水资源评价与优化配置研究[D]．沈阳:沈阳农业大学，2008.
[4]黄初龙，邓伟，杨建锋．农业水资源可持续利用评价指标体系构建及其应用[J]．农业现代化研究，2005,26(6):66-71.
[5]常玉苗．水资源环境与农业经济的系统耦合及协调发展[J]．水电能源科学，2017(11):115-118.
[6]樊艳丽．山西省水资源利用与经济可持续发展的协调关系研究[D]．北京:北京林业大学，2014.
[7]王莉芳，贾晓猛，周妹和．陕西省农业水资源可持续利用与经济协调发展研究[J]．科技和产业，2016,16(3):39-45.
[8]王莉芳，周妹和．基于均方差决策法的水资源可持续利用评价———以天津市为例[J]．未来与发展，2014,38(11):40-44+14.
[9]杨士弘．城市生态环境学[M]．北京:科学出版社，2003.
[10]李艳．环境-经济系统协调发展分析与评价研究[D]．郑州:河北工业大学，2002.
[11]张晓东，池天河．90年代中国省级区域经济与环境协调度分析[J]．地理研究，2001,20(4):506-515.
[2] FRIESEN J,RODRIGUEZ S L,FOGLIA L,et al. Environmental and socio-economic methodologies and solutions towards integrated water resources management[J]. Science of the Total Environment,2016,581:906-908.
[3]石丽忠．辽宁省农业水资源评价与优化配置研究[D]．沈阳:沈阳农业大学，2008.
[4]黄初龙，邓伟，杨建锋．农业水资源可持续利用评价指标体系构建及其应用[J]．农业现代化研究，2005,26(6):66-71.
[5]常玉苗．水资源环境与农业经济的系统耦合及协调发展[J]．水电能源科学，2017(11):115-118.
[6]樊艳丽．山西省水资源利用与经济可持续发展的协调关系研究[D]．北京:北京林业大学，2014.
[7]王莉芳，贾晓猛，周妹和．陕西省农业水资源可持续利用与经济协调发展研究[J]．科技和产业，2016,16(3):39-45.
[8]王莉芳，周妹和．基于均方差决策法的水资源可持续利用评价———以天津市为例[J]．未来与发展，2014,38(11):40-44+14.
[9]杨士弘．城市生态环境学[M]．北京:科学出版社，2003.
[10]李艳．环境-经济系统协调发展分析与评价研究[D]．郑州:河北工业大学，2002.
[11]张晓东，池天河．90年代中国省级区域经济与环境协调度分析[J]．地理研究，2001,20(4):506-515.