经济发展与生态环境协同度评价——以淮南市为例
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摘要
基于协同学原理,以集对分析中的联系度替代协同度,构建淮南市经济发展与生态环境系统协同评价模型,对淮南市2008—2017年经济发展与生态环境系统发展的协同情况进行分析。结果表明:2016年以前,淮南市经济发展系统有序度呈先升后降的"倒U型"态势,而生态环境系统有序度呈先降后升的"U型"态势,2016年后经济发展与生态环境的有序度均呈上升态势。此外,经济发展与生态环境系统有序度均波动较大,导致经济发展—生态环境系统协同度较低,为-0.2,处于不协同状态。
Based on the principle of synergy,the degree of association in set pair analysis was used to replace the degree of synergy, and the collaborative evaluation model of economic development and eco-environment system in Huainan City was constructed to analyze the synergy between economic development and eco-environment system development in Huainan City from 2008 to 2017. The results showed that before 2016,the orderly degree of economic development system in Huainan City showed an"inverted U-shaped"trend,and the order of the ecological environment system showed a"U-shaped"trend of rising first and then rising. After 2016,The order of economic development and ecological environment was on the rise. In addition,the economic development and the order of the ecological environment system fluctuated greatly,resulting in economic development—the eco-environment system has a low degree of synergy,which is-0.2,and is in a state of non-coordination.
Based on the principle of synergy,the degree of association in set pair analysis was used to replace the degree of synergy, and the collaborative evaluation model of economic development and eco-environment system in Huainan City was constructed to analyze the synergy between economic development and eco-environment system development in Huainan City from 2008 to 2017. The results showed that before 2016,the orderly degree of economic development system in Huainan City showed an"inverted U-shaped"trend,and the order of the ecological environment system showed a"U-shaped"trend of rising first and then rising. After 2016,The order of economic development and ecological environment was on the rise. In addition,the economic development and the order of the ecological environment system fluctuated greatly,resulting in economic development—the eco-environment system has a low degree of synergy,which is-0.2,and is in a state of non-coordination.
引文
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[11]谭旭红，陈梅.石墨资源开发与区域经济、生态环境协调发展机制研究——以黑龙江省为例[J].煤炭经济研究，2016,36(9):40-44.
[2]淮南市统计局.2018年淮南市统计年鉴[EB/OL].(2018-11-02)[2019-07-20]http：//tjj.huai nan.gov.cn/15642315/99193137.html.
[3] Grossman G M,Krueger A B.Economics growth and the environment[J].Springer Netherla-nds,1995,2(2):25-30.
[4] Muhammad S,Naceur K,Gazi Salah U.Environmental Kuznets Curve in an Open Economy:A Bounds Testing and Causality Analysis for Tunisia[J].MPRA Paper,2012,34(3):325-336.
[5] ANDREONI J,LEVINSON A.The simple analytics of the environmental Kuznets curve[J]. Journal of public economics, 2001:269-282.
[6] MAGNANI E.The environmental Kuznets curve:development pathor policy result[J]. Environmental model&software, 2001:157-165.
[7]江红莉，何建敏.区域经济与生态环境系统动态耦合协调发展研究[J].软科学，2010,24(3):63-68.
[8]任志远，徐茜，杨忍.基于耦合模型的陕西省农业生态环境与经济协调发展研究[J].干旱区资源与环境，2011,25(12):14-19.
[9]盖美，连冬，耿雅冬，等.辽宁省经济与生态环境系统耦合发展分析[J].地域研究与开发，2013,32(5):88-94.
[10]张荣天，焦华富.泛长江三角洲地区经济发展与生态环境耦合协调关系分析[J].长江流域资源与环境，2015,24(5):719-727.
[11]谭旭红，陈梅.石墨资源开发与区域经济、生态环境协调发展机制研究——以黑龙江省为例[J].煤炭经济研究，2016,36(9):40-44.