东北地区女性就业与经济增长研究
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摘要
就业与经济增长的关系一直是经济学探讨的核心问题,就业是最大的民生,经济增长是实现民生的保障,就业增长如何影响经济发展,以及经济增长是否可以有效促进就业,是值得探讨的问题。在新一轮东北振兴战略背景下,基于2000-2016年东北地区女性就业时间序列,运用VAR模型以及协整检验来考察女性就业与经济增长的关系,并利用就业弹性系数对东北地区女性就业与经济增长之间的关系进行分析,探讨东北地区女性就业行业的选择问题。结果表明,总体来看,东北地区女性就业与经济增长之间存在长期、稳定的正相关关系;分产业来看,第三产业是吸纳东北地区女性就业的主要增长点,应大力促进第三产业发展,鼓励东北地区女性向第三产业相关行业就业,以期更好地带动东北地区经济发展,促进新一轮东北振兴战略的实施。
The relationship between employment and economic growth has always been the core issue of economic research. Employment is the greatest livelihood,and economic growth is the guarantee for realizing people's livelihood. It is worth to discuss how employment affects economic development,and whether economic growth can effectively promote employment. Under the background of a new round Northeast Revitalization strategy,this paper takes female employees in Northeast China as an example to analyze the relationship between employment and economic growth by using VAR model and Johansen cointegration test. Furthermore,in order to explore how female employees choose their employment industry,the employment elasticity coefficient method is used to analyze the relationship between female employment and economic growth in primary industry,second industry and tertiary industry. The results show that,from the overall view,there is a long-term and stable positive correlation between female employment growth and economic growth in Northeast China. In terms of three industries,the tertiary industry is the main source of employment,therefore employees should be encouraged to work in industries related to the tertiary industry,which helps to promote economic development,as well as to promote the implementation of the new round of Northeast Revitalization.
The relationship between employment and economic growth has always been the core issue of economic research. Employment is the greatest livelihood,and economic growth is the guarantee for realizing people's livelihood. It is worth to discuss how employment affects economic development,and whether economic growth can effectively promote employment. Under the background of a new round Northeast Revitalization strategy,this paper takes female employees in Northeast China as an example to analyze the relationship between employment and economic growth by using VAR model and Johansen cointegration test. Furthermore,in order to explore how female employees choose their employment industry,the employment elasticity coefficient method is used to analyze the relationship between female employment and economic growth in primary industry,second industry and tertiary industry. The results show that,from the overall view,there is a long-term and stable positive correlation between female employment growth and economic growth in Northeast China. In terms of three industries,the tertiary industry is the main source of employment,therefore employees should be encouraged to work in industries related to the tertiary industry,which helps to promote economic development,as well as to promote the implementation of the new round of Northeast Revitalization.
引文
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[26]张乃丽,刘俊丽.日本女性就业与经济增长的相关性研究[J].日本学刊,2015(3):120-139.
[27]唐衍伟,陈刚,李海英.我国与国际燃料油期货市场长期均衡的实证研究[J].系统工程,2007,25(10):51-57.
[28]刘珍珍,章锦河.中国国际旅游与国际贸易关系的协整及Granger因果分析[J].资源开发与市场,2010,26(7):593-597.
[29]陈强.高级计量经济学及Stata应用[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2016.
[30]刘小兵.技术进步对我国农业人口就业转移的影响分析[J].管理观察,2009(4):75-77.
[31]黄苏萍,王雅林,朱咏.东北经济增长与人口就业相关性的判定及对策研究[J].人口与经济,2007(5):34-37.
[32]陈桢.我国经济增长的就业效应不足问题分析[J].学术交流,2005(10):88-91.
[2]DIAMOND J.Collapse:How societies choose to fail or succeed[M].CA:Penguin Books,2011.
[3]STIGLITZ J,SEN A,FITOUSSI J.Mis-measuring our lives:Why GDP doesn’t add up[M].NY:The New Press,2010.
[4]CHOMSKY N,MCCHESNEY R.Profit over people:Neoliberalism&global order[M].NY:Seven Stories Press,2011.
[5]LEE J H,LIM E S,HWANG J.Panel SVAR model of women’s employment,fertility,and economic growth:Acomparative study of East Asian and EU countries[J].Social Science Journal,2012,49(3):386-389.
[6]MOGHADAM V.Gender and globalization:Female labor and women’s movements[J].Journal of World System Research,1999,5(2):367-388.
[7]SUH M.Quality of life and happiness:The myth of development in South Korea[J].Korea Observer,2014,45(1):61-86.
[8]SUH M.Determinants of female labor force participation in South Korea:Tracing out the U-shaped curve by economic growth[J].Social Indicators Research,2016,131(1):1-15.
[9]TSANI S,PAROUSSOS L,FRAGIADAKIS C,et al.Female labor force participation and economic development[J].E-conomic and Social Development of the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean Countries,2015:303-318.
[10]付光美.中国女性就业与经济发展的相关性研究[D].长春:吉林大学,2017.
[11]谭琳,齐二石.我国社会经济发展对女性人口教育、就业状态影响的系统分析[J].南开学报(哲学社会科学版),1992(3),38-41.
[12]张世伟,郭凤鸣.区域经济环境对就业性别差异的影响---基于多层模型的分析途径[J].数量经济研究,2011(2):102-113.
[13]林琳.经济开放对我国女性就业影响的实证分析[D].济南:山东财经大学,2016.
[14]何军,曹丽萍,刘亚洲.贸易开放促进中国女性发展了吗?---基于中国省级面板数据的GMM分析[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2014(4),102-110.
[15]饶泽华.乌鲁木齐市女性劳动参与率状况研究[D].乌鲁木齐:新疆大学,2010.
[16]马静.女性劳动参与率影响因素的实证分析[D].上海:复旦大学,2011.
[17]周文慧,马爱玲.内蒙古女性就业与经济增长的相关性研究[J].内蒙古财经大学学报,2018,16(03):34-38.
[18]吴春红.东北老工业基地女性就业问题研究[D].大连:大连理工大学,2006.
[19]陈俐.中国城镇女性就业态势及区域差异[D].上海:华东师范大学,2004.
[20]陈远飞.黑龙江省妇女就业问题研究[D].哈尔滨:哈尔滨工业大学,2006.
[21]王小波.影响我国女性就业参与的因素分析[J].思想战线,2004,30(2):48-51.
[22]金窗爱.中国当代女性就业问题研究[D].长春:东北师范大学,2012.
[23]王亚萍.市场经济时代下女性就业研究[J].中国集体经济,2018(4):159-160.
[24]郭砚莉,汤吉军.东北老工业基地女性就业理论与对策研究[J].东北亚论坛,2010,19(6):98-105
[25]国晓丽.低碳经济转型期女性就业理论与对策分析[J].中华女子学院学报,2012,25(3):105-108.
[26]张乃丽,刘俊丽.日本女性就业与经济增长的相关性研究[J].日本学刊,2015(3):120-139.
[27]唐衍伟,陈刚,李海英.我国与国际燃料油期货市场长期均衡的实证研究[J].系统工程,2007,25(10):51-57.
[28]刘珍珍,章锦河.中国国际旅游与国际贸易关系的协整及Granger因果分析[J].资源开发与市场,2010,26(7):593-597.
[29]陈强.高级计量经济学及Stata应用[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2016.
[30]刘小兵.技术进步对我国农业人口就业转移的影响分析[J].管理观察,2009(4):75-77.
[31]黄苏萍,王雅林,朱咏.东北经济增长与人口就业相关性的判定及对策研究[J].人口与经济,2007(5):34-37.
[32]陈桢.我国经济增长的就业效应不足问题分析[J].学术交流,2005(10):88-91.