安徽农业经济—生态系统耦合协调研究
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摘要
农业经济—生态系统协调发展是提高农业可持续发展能力的重要路径。根据2000-2016年安徽农业经济与资源环境数据,通过DFSR模型与熵值法构建安徽农业经济系统、农业生态系统发展评价指标体系并计算其发展指数;运用耦合模型对安徽农业经济—生态系统的耦合度与耦合协调度进行测度。研究表明:安徽农业经济—生态系统由"经济滞后型"转变为"生态滞后型",农业经济—生态系统历经了拮抗期、磨合期的耦合阶段,耦合协调水平从轻度失调进化至中级协调状态。为推进安徽农业经济—生态系统协调发展,需要建立生态农业产业化体系以转变农业发展方式,示范推广农业清洁生产技术以转变农业生产方式,推进农业面源污染防治工程以提升安徽农业生态环境承载力。
The coordinated development of agricultural economic-ecological system is an important path to improve the sustainable development ability of agriculture. According to the agricultural economic and resource environment data of Anhui province from 2000 to 2016, the Anhui agricultural economic system and agricultural ecological system development evaluation index system were constructed by DFSR model and entropy evaluation method, and its development index was calculated. The coupling model was used to measure the coupling degree and coupling coordination degree. The research shows that the agricultural economic-ecological system in Anhui has changed from"economic lag type" to "ecological lag type". The agricultural economic-ecological system has experienced the coupling phase of the antagonistic period and the running-in period, and the coupling coordination level has evolved from mild disorder to intermediate coordination status. In order to promote the coordinated development of Anhui agricultural economic-ecological system, it is necessary to establish an eco-agricultural industrialization system to transform the way of agricultural development, demonstrate and promote agricultural clean production technologies to transform agricultural production method, and promote agricultural non-point source pollution prevention and control projects to improve the carrying capacity of agro-ecological environment.
The coordinated development of agricultural economic-ecological system is an important path to improve the sustainable development ability of agriculture. According to the agricultural economic and resource environment data of Anhui province from 2000 to 2016, the Anhui agricultural economic system and agricultural ecological system development evaluation index system were constructed by DFSR model and entropy evaluation method, and its development index was calculated. The coupling model was used to measure the coupling degree and coupling coordination degree. The research shows that the agricultural economic-ecological system in Anhui has changed from"economic lag type" to "ecological lag type". The agricultural economic-ecological system has experienced the coupling phase of the antagonistic period and the running-in period, and the coupling coordination level has evolved from mild disorder to intermediate coordination status. In order to promote the coordinated development of Anhui agricultural economic-ecological system, it is necessary to establish an eco-agricultural industrialization system to transform the way of agricultural development, demonstrate and promote agricultural clean production technologies to transform agricultural production method, and promote agricultural non-point source pollution prevention and control projects to improve the carrying capacity of agro-ecological environment.
引文
[1]田江.农业生态——经济系统协同发展研究进展[J].中国农业资源与区划,2017, 38(4):9-16.
[2]李金叶,安尼瓦尔.阿木提.农业生态经济系统发展要素分析[J].农村经济, 2007(12):102-105.
[3]梁勤星.农业经济系统与灰农经济观[J].系统科学学报,1999(4):48-52.
[4]孙特生,李波,张新时.北方农牧交错带农业生态系统结构的能值分析——以准格尔旗为例[J].干旱区资源与环境,2013,27(12):7-14.
[5]任继周,万长贵.系统耦合与荒漠─绿洲草地农业系统─—以祁连山一临泽剖面为例[J].草业学报,1994(3):1-8.
[6]陈锋正,刘新平,吴大付,等.河南省农业生态经济系统的耦合关系及协同发展的战略选择[J].河南农业大学学报,2016(5):688-695.
[7]宋永永,米文宝,杨丽娜,等.宁夏农业生态环境与经济耦合协调演化研究[J].南方农业学报,2015(5):922-928.
[8]贾凤梅.黑龙江省绥化市农业生态环境与农村经济协调发展研究[J].水土保持通报,2012, 32(5):56-60.
[9]宋雄伟,邓楚雄.新世纪以来湖南省旅游经济—交通发展—生态环境耦合协调度分析[J].中南林业科技大学学报(社会科学版),2018,12(4):36-42.
[10]吕晓,刘新平.塔里木河流域农业生态经济耦合发展模式探析[J].生态经济, 2013(4):98-101.
[11]王正环.一种改进的DSR模型[J].三明学院学报, 2008,25(2):236-240.
[12]宾津佑,李民.长株潭城市群农业现代化与新型城镇化发展的耦合协调分析[J].中南林业科技大学学报(社会科学版),2017, 11(4):34-40.
[13]马明德,卜晓燕,马甜.宁夏盐池县农业经济与农业生态系统耦合关系研究[J].广东农业科学,2014,41(24):156-160.
[14]曹洪华,李艳,闫晓燕.洱海流域生态-农业系统动态耦合过程分析[J].水生态学杂志,2018,39(2):18-26.
(1)数据源于安徽农业委员会—安徽农业概况。
(2)数据源于《安徽统计年鉴(2000-2017)》。
(3)数据源于《安徽农业可持续发展规划(2015-2030)》。
(1)数据源于《安徽统计年鉴2017》。
[2]李金叶,安尼瓦尔.阿木提.农业生态经济系统发展要素分析[J].农村经济, 2007(12):102-105.
[3]梁勤星.农业经济系统与灰农经济观[J].系统科学学报,1999(4):48-52.
[4]孙特生,李波,张新时.北方农牧交错带农业生态系统结构的能值分析——以准格尔旗为例[J].干旱区资源与环境,2013,27(12):7-14.
[5]任继周,万长贵.系统耦合与荒漠─绿洲草地农业系统─—以祁连山一临泽剖面为例[J].草业学报,1994(3):1-8.
[6]陈锋正,刘新平,吴大付,等.河南省农业生态经济系统的耦合关系及协同发展的战略选择[J].河南农业大学学报,2016(5):688-695.
[7]宋永永,米文宝,杨丽娜,等.宁夏农业生态环境与经济耦合协调演化研究[J].南方农业学报,2015(5):922-928.
[8]贾凤梅.黑龙江省绥化市农业生态环境与农村经济协调发展研究[J].水土保持通报,2012, 32(5):56-60.
[9]宋雄伟,邓楚雄.新世纪以来湖南省旅游经济—交通发展—生态环境耦合协调度分析[J].中南林业科技大学学报(社会科学版),2018,12(4):36-42.
[10]吕晓,刘新平.塔里木河流域农业生态经济耦合发展模式探析[J].生态经济, 2013(4):98-101.
[11]王正环.一种改进的DSR模型[J].三明学院学报, 2008,25(2):236-240.
[12]宾津佑,李民.长株潭城市群农业现代化与新型城镇化发展的耦合协调分析[J].中南林业科技大学学报(社会科学版),2017, 11(4):34-40.
[13]马明德,卜晓燕,马甜.宁夏盐池县农业经济与农业生态系统耦合关系研究[J].广东农业科学,2014,41(24):156-160.
[14]曹洪华,李艳,闫晓燕.洱海流域生态-农业系统动态耦合过程分析[J].水生态学杂志,2018,39(2):18-26.
(1)数据源于安徽农业委员会—安徽农业概况。
(2)数据源于《安徽统计年鉴(2000-2017)》。
(3)数据源于《安徽农业可持续发展规划(2015-2030)》。
(1)数据源于《安徽统计年鉴2017》。