基于云模型和VIKOR扩展方法的电网企业科技发展区间值多属性群决策
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摘要
国家电网公司确立了"一强三优"的战略目标,以公司总体发展战略为基石,集中力量开展科技发展和评估技术的相关研究。因此,对公司科技发展战略进行分析和评估是极其具有现实意义和理论意义的。本文提出了一种基于云模型和VIKOR扩展方法的群决策方法。将语言决策值综合为正态云模型,进而转化为区间值。通过VIKOR扩展方法构建可能度矩阵进行综合群决策。研究表明,针对准则值为语言值或区间值的多属性群决策,该方法可以更加客观有效。
State Grid Corporation establishes a strategic goal of "a strong three excellent",puts the company's overall development strategy as the cornerstone and is concentrated on researching technology development and evaluation technology. Therefore,it is of both practical and theoretical significance to make full analysis of the company's technology development strategy. A new decision making method based on the cloud model and the VIKOR expansion method is proposed. The method integrates the fuzzy language value into normal cloud model and then the risk is fully evaluated through transforming the cloud rules into interval value. The possibility degree matrix is constructed by the VIKOR extension method to make the decision. The research shows that the method can be more objective and effective for the multi attribute group decision making.
State Grid Corporation establishes a strategic goal of "a strong three excellent",puts the company's overall development strategy as the cornerstone and is concentrated on researching technology development and evaluation technology. Therefore,it is of both practical and theoretical significance to make full analysis of the company's technology development strategy. A new decision making method based on the cloud model and the VIKOR expansion method is proposed. The method integrates the fuzzy language value into normal cloud model and then the risk is fully evaluated through transforming the cloud rules into interval value. The possibility degree matrix is constructed by the VIKOR extension method to make the decision. The research shows that the method can be more objective and effective for the multi attribute group decision making.
引文
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[8] Zhang N,Wei G. Extension of VIKOR method for decision making problem based on hesitant fuzzy set[J].Applied Mathematical Modelling, 2013, 37(7):4938-4947.
[9]李存斌,赵坤,苑嘉航.改进灰色证据理论的区间数决策方法研究[J].天津工业大学学报,2014,33(4):70-75.
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[12]阮传扬,杨建辉,韩莉娜,等.考虑可信度和属性优先级的犹豫模糊决策方法[J].运筹与管理,2016,(03):125-131.
[13]杨威,庞永锋.基于区间值直觉模糊不确定语言变量的灰色关联度分析方法[J].运筹与管理,2016,(02):128-132.
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[16]李德毅,刘常昱.论正态云模型的普适性[J].中国工程科学,2004,6(8):28-34.
[17]李德毅,孟海军,史雪梅.隶属云和隶属云发生器[J].计算机研究与发展,1995(6):15-20.
[18] Wang L,Wang Y,Li X. An evaluation method of marine water quality based on cloud-model chart representation theory and its role in tourism of coastal cities[M]//Information Technology and Agricultural Engineering. Springer Berlin Heidelberg,2012. 337-344.
[19]刘自发,庞铖铖,王泽黎,等.基于云理论和元胞自动机理论的城市配电网空间负荷预测[J].中国电机工程学报,2013,33(10):98-105.
[20] Zhou Q,Wang W,Pang Y,et al. Temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of water resources in Guangdong Province based on a cloud model[J].水科学与水工程(Water Science and Engineering),2015,8(4):263-272.
[21]苏志欣,王理,夏国平.区间数动态多属性决策的VIKOR扩展方法[J].控制与决策,2010,25(06):836-840.
[22] Saeedpoor M,Vafadarnikjoo A. Corrigendum to“Multicriteria renewable energy planning using an integrated fuzzy VIKOR&AHP methodology:the case of istanbul”[Energy 35(6)(2010)2517-2527][J]. Energy,2015,79(6):536-537.
[23] Guo S,Zhao H. Optimal site selection of electric vehicle charging station by using fuzzy TOPSIS based on sustainability perspective[J]. Applied Energy, 2015,158:390-402.
[24]郭秀英.区间数指标权重确定的熵值法改进[J].统计与决策,2012(17):32-34.
[25]李如琦,唐林权,凌武能,等.基于云理论和前景理论的变压器状态维修风险决策[J].电力自动化设备,2013,33(02):104-108.
[2] Xu Z. Intuitionistic fuzzy aggregation operators[J]. IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems,2007. 1179-1187.
[3] Sayadi M K,Heydari M,Shahanaghi K. Extension of VIKOR method for decision making problem with interval numbers[J]. Applied Mathematical Modelling,2009,33(5):2257-2262.
[4]王中兴,邵翠丽,唐芝兰.基于相对优势度的区间数排序及其在多属性决策中的应用[J].模糊系统与数学,2013,27(2):142-148.
[5]郭凯红,牟有静.基于可能度矩阵的区间型多属性决策方法[J].计算机应用,2012,32(1):218-222.
[6] Park J H,Cho H J,Kwun Y C. Extension of the VIKOR method for group decision making with interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy information[J]. Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making,2011,10(3):233-253.
[7] Wan S P,Wang Q Y,Dong J Y. The extended VIKOR method for multi-attribute group decision making with triangular intuitionistic fuzzy numbers[J]. KnowledgeBased Systems,2013,52(6):65-77.
[8] Zhang N,Wei G. Extension of VIKOR method for decision making problem based on hesitant fuzzy set[J].Applied Mathematical Modelling, 2013, 37(7):4938-4947.
[9]李存斌,赵坤,苑嘉航.改进灰色证据理论的区间数决策方法研究[J].天津工业大学学报,2014,33(4):70-75.
[10]索玮岚.基于扩展VIKOR的不确定语言多属性群决策方法[J].控制与决策,2013,28(09):1431-1435.
[11]张瑞,张晓东,丁日佳.基于VIKOR方法的煤矿生态建设评价研究[J].管理科学研究,2015(9):62-65.
[12]阮传扬,杨建辉,韩莉娜,等.考虑可信度和属性优先级的犹豫模糊决策方法[J].运筹与管理,2016,(03):125-131.
[13]杨威,庞永锋.基于区间值直觉模糊不确定语言变量的灰色关联度分析方法[J].运筹与管理,2016,(02):128-132.
[14]张英俊,马培军,苏小红,等.属性权重不确定条件下的区间直觉模糊多属性决策[J].自动化学报,2012,38(2):220-228.
[15]郭凯红,李文立.权重信息未知情况下的多属性群决策方法及其拓展[J].中国管理科学,2011,19(5):94-103.
[16]李德毅,刘常昱.论正态云模型的普适性[J].中国工程科学,2004,6(8):28-34.
[17]李德毅,孟海军,史雪梅.隶属云和隶属云发生器[J].计算机研究与发展,1995(6):15-20.
[18] Wang L,Wang Y,Li X. An evaluation method of marine water quality based on cloud-model chart representation theory and its role in tourism of coastal cities[M]//Information Technology and Agricultural Engineering. Springer Berlin Heidelberg,2012. 337-344.
[19]刘自发,庞铖铖,王泽黎,等.基于云理论和元胞自动机理论的城市配电网空间负荷预测[J].中国电机工程学报,2013,33(10):98-105.
[20] Zhou Q,Wang W,Pang Y,et al. Temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of water resources in Guangdong Province based on a cloud model[J].水科学与水工程(Water Science and Engineering),2015,8(4):263-272.
[21]苏志欣,王理,夏国平.区间数动态多属性决策的VIKOR扩展方法[J].控制与决策,2010,25(06):836-840.
[22] Saeedpoor M,Vafadarnikjoo A. Corrigendum to“Multicriteria renewable energy planning using an integrated fuzzy VIKOR&AHP methodology:the case of istanbul”[Energy 35(6)(2010)2517-2527][J]. Energy,2015,79(6):536-537.
[23] Guo S,Zhao H. Optimal site selection of electric vehicle charging station by using fuzzy TOPSIS based on sustainability perspective[J]. Applied Energy, 2015,158:390-402.
[24]郭秀英.区间数指标权重确定的熵值法改进[J].统计与决策,2012(17):32-34.
[25]李如琦,唐林权,凌武能,等.基于云理论和前景理论的变压器状态维修风险决策[J].电力自动化设备,2013,33(02):104-108.
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