中部地区资源环境、经济和城镇化形势与绿色崛起战略研究
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摘要
中部地区具有承东启西、连南通北的区位优势,是国家区域协调发展战略的重点区。近年来中部地区城镇化水平不断提高、经济实力大幅提升,已经步入了加快发展、全面崛起的新阶段。随之出现了一系列严峻的环境问题,亟待迈入绿色崛起之路。本文在对中部地区经济社会发展与城镇化基本态势判断的基础上,对其出现的典型资源环境问题等进行对比分析,发现其污染状况呈现加重趋势。基于环境库兹涅茨曲线及系统动力学模型,分析得到中部地区经济增长和环境污染依旧延续了传统"先污染后治理"的老路,提出了主要污染物减排投入路径。未来中部地区应积极响应绿色崛起战略,建立健全生态补偿及污染联防联控机制,推动产业结构绿色转型和优化升级,探索经济社会与资源环境协调可持续发展新机制。
Central China has the geographical advantages of locating at the transition point of the east and the west of China, and connecting the south and north of China, which is a key development zone for the regional harmonious development of the country. The central region is the Yangtze River Economic Belt and the Yellow River Economic Belt crossing the driving region.It is the regional development strategy of the country's overall development strategy. It is the rising and radiating region of the central urban agglomerations. It is an important industrial transfer bearing area and a regional coordinated development of China. In recent years, the level of urbanization in the central region has been continuously improved and the economic strength has been greatly improved. It has entered a new stage of accelerating development and comprehensive rise. A series of serious environmental problems have emerged. It is urgent to seek a green road to rise. Based on the judgment of the basic situation of economic and social development and urbanization in the central region, this study conducts a comparative analysis of the typical resource and environmental problems. We further identify that its pollution situation is aggravating.Based on the environmental Kuznets curve and the system dynamics model, the analysis shows that the economic growth and environmental pollution in the central region continue the trend of traditional"first pollution after treatment"model. The main pollutant emission reduction input path is refined. In the future, the central region should actively respond to the green rising strategy,establish and improve the ecological compensation and pollution joint prevention and control mechanism, promote the optimization of industrial structure, and explore a new mechanism for coordinated and sustainable development of the economy, society and resources.
Central China has the geographical advantages of locating at the transition point of the east and the west of China, and connecting the south and north of China, which is a key development zone for the regional harmonious development of the country. The central region is the Yangtze River Economic Belt and the Yellow River Economic Belt crossing the driving region.It is the regional development strategy of the country's overall development strategy. It is the rising and radiating region of the central urban agglomerations. It is an important industrial transfer bearing area and a regional coordinated development of China. In recent years, the level of urbanization in the central region has been continuously improved and the economic strength has been greatly improved. It has entered a new stage of accelerating development and comprehensive rise. A series of serious environmental problems have emerged. It is urgent to seek a green road to rise. Based on the judgment of the basic situation of economic and social development and urbanization in the central region, this study conducts a comparative analysis of the typical resource and environmental problems. We further identify that its pollution situation is aggravating.Based on the environmental Kuznets curve and the system dynamics model, the analysis shows that the economic growth and environmental pollution in the central region continue the trend of traditional"first pollution after treatment"model. The main pollutant emission reduction input path is refined. In the future, the central region should actively respond to the green rising strategy,establish and improve the ecological compensation and pollution joint prevention and control mechanism, promote the optimization of industrial structure, and explore a new mechanism for coordinated and sustainable development of the economy, society and resources.
引文
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[2]张本照,叶璐.工业用电与经济增长环境库兹涅茨曲线实证研究[J].合肥工业大学学报,2015,29(6):1-7.[Zhang B Z,Li Q.Research on the relationship between industrial electricity consumption and economic growth by environmental Kuznets Curve[J].Journal of Hefei University of Technology,2015,29(6):1-7.]
[3]汪凌志.中部地区经济增长与环境质量的脱钩关系分析[J].湖北理工学院学报,2014,31(6):48-51.[Wang L Z.Analysis of decoupling relationship between economic growth and environmental quality in the middle region of China[J].Journal of Hubei Polytechnic University,2014,31(6):48-51.]
[4]邓荣荣,詹晶.基于“污染天堂”假说检验的湖南经济增长与环境综合质量关系研究[J].地域研究与开发,2013,32(4):160-164.[Deng R R,Zhan J.The relationship between Hunan economic growth and environment quality based on the“Pollution Heaven”Hypothesis[J].Areal Research and Development,2013,32(4):160-164.]
[5]许统生,梁可,刘艳.江西经济增长与环境质量关系的实证分析[J].江西社会科学,2011,(10):57-62.[Xu T S,Liang K,Liu Y.Research on relationship between economic growth and environmental quality in Jiangxi Province[J].Jiangxi Academy of Social Sciences,2011,(10):57-62.]
[6]洪开荣,浣晓旭,孙倩.中部地区资源-环境-经济-社会协调发展的定量评价与比较分析[J].经济地理,2013,33(12):16-23.[Hong K R,Huan X X,Sun Q,et al.Quantitative evaluation and comparative analysis for coordinated development of resource,environment,economy and society in Central China[J].Economic Geography,2013,33(12):16-23.]
[7]湖北省统计局,国家统计局湖北调查总队.湖北省统计年鉴(1999-2018)[M].北京:中国统计出版社,1999-2018.[Hubei Province Bureau of Statistics,NBS Survey Office in Hubei Province.Hubei Province Statistical Yearbook(1999-2018)[M].China Statistical Publishing House,1999-2018.]
[8]湖南省统计局,国家统计局湖南调查总队.湖南省统计年鉴(1999-2018)[M].北京:中国统计出版社,1999-2018.[Hunan Province Bureau of Statistics,NBS Survey Office in Hunan Province.Hunan Province Statistical Yearbook(1999-2018)[M].Beijing:China Statistical Publishing House,1999-2018.]
[9]河南省统计局,国家统计局河南调查总队.河南省统计年鉴(1999-2018)[M].北京:中国统计出版社,1999-2018.[Henan Province Bureau of Statistics,NBS Survey Office in Henan Province.Henan Province Statistical Yearbook(1999-2018)[M].Beijing:China Statistical Publishing House,1999-2018.]
[10]安徽省统计局,国家统计局安徽调查总队.安徽省统计年鉴(1999-2018)[M].北京:中国统计出版社,1999-2018.[Anhui Province Bureau of Statistics,NBS Survey Office in Anhui Province.Anhui Province Statistical Yearbook(1999-2018)[M].Beijing:China Statistical Publishing House,1999-2018.]
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[12]山西省统计局,国家统计局山西调查总队.山西省统计年鉴(1999-2018)[M].北京:中国统计出版社,1999-2018.[Shanxi Province Bureau of Statistics,NBS Survey Office in Shanxi Province.Shanxi Province Statistical Yearbook(1999-2018)[M].Beijing:China Statistical Publishing House,1999-2018.]
[13]童中贤,曾群华.我国中部地区新型城镇化布局和形态优化[J].求索,2017,(4):103-109.[Tong Z X,Zeng Q H.New urbanization layout and shape optimization in central China[J].Seeker,2017,(4):103-109.]
[14]Barbera A J,Mcconnell V D.The impact of environmental regulations on industry productivity:direct and indirect effects[J].Journal of Environmental Economics and Management,1990,18(1):50-65.
[15]钟熙维,赵梦雨,雷新.对华FDI与中国环境政策-FDI区位选择理论的拓展与环境KUZNETS曲线的引伸[J].商业经济研究,2015,(14):80-83.[Zhong X W,Zhao M Y,Lei X.FDI and China's environmental policy:expansion of FDI location choice theory and extension of environmental KUZNETS curve[J].Journal of Commercial Economics,2015,(14):80-83.]
[16]黄永春,石秋平.中国区域环境效率与环境全要素的研究-基于包含R&D投入的SBM模型的分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2015,25(12):25-34.[Huang Y C,Shin Q P.Research on environmental efficiency and environmental total factor productivity in China's regional economies[J].China Population Resources&Environment,2015,25(12):25-34.]
[17]环境保护部.中部地区2030年实现空气质量全面改善[J].环境污染与防治,2015,(1):110-110.[Ministry of Environmental Protection.Central region achieved comprehensive improvement in air quality in 2030[J].Environmental pollution and prevention,2015,(1):110-110.]
[18]董锁成,于会录,李宇,等.中国工业节能:循环经济发展的驱动因素分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016,26(6):27-34.[Dong S C,Yu H L,Li Y,et al.China industrial energy saving:analysis on driving factors of development of circular economy[J].China Population Resources&Environment,2016,26(6):27-34.]
[19]于会录,董锁成,李宇,等.工业循环经济评价方法研究-以宁夏石嘴山市为例[J].资源科学,2016,38(12):2348-2360.[Yu HL,Dong S C,Li Y,et al.Assessment of the industrial circular economy in Shizuishan City[J].Resources Science,2016,38(12):2348-2360.]
[20]Fei J P,Wang Y,Yang Y,et al.Towards eco-city:the role of411green innovation[J].Energy Procedia,2016,104:165-170.
[21]董锁成,李泽红.我国资源型城市经济转型路径探索[J].科技创新与生产力,2011,(1):21-26.[Dong S C,Li Z H.Exploration on economic transformation of resource-based city[J].Sci-tech Innovation and Productivity,2011,(1):21-26.]
[22]Wang Z,Deng X Z,Wang P,et al.Ecological intercorrelation in urban-rural development:an eco-city of China[J].Journal of Cleaner Production,2016,163:28-41.
[23]中国知网.中国城市统计年鉴(2003-2017)[EB/OL].(2017-12)[2018-04-30].http://data.cnki.net/Yearbook/Single/%20N2018050234.[Cnki.net.China City Statistical Yearbook(2003-2017)[EB/OL].(2017-12)[2018-04-30].http://data.cnki.net/Yearbook/Single/%20N2018050234.]
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