平原地区资源环境承载力评价与短板要素分析——以山东省平原县为例
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摘要
[目的]在全面推进生态文明建设的关键时期,进行平原地区资源环境承载力评价,是协调平原地区可持续发展、推动资源利用方式转变的重要举措。[方法]构建由水土资源承载力、生态环境承载力和社会经济承载力3个子系统构成的资源环境承载力评价系统,以山东省平原县2016年国民经济统计资料、土地利用相关数据为数据基础,采用层次分析法和德尔菲法相结合的综合赋权形式,利用模糊综合评价法,测算区域资源环境承载力,结合短板要素分析,对2016年平原县资源环境承载力进行评价研究。[结果](1)平原县资源环境承载力综合评价分值为0. 6051,处于较高等级;(2) 3个子系统中,承载力得分从大到小依次为社会经济承载力、水土资源承载力、生态环境承载力;(3)平原县资源环境承载力指标体系中没有处于危机状态的指标,但人均城镇建设用地状态指数小于0,处于预警状态。[结论]平原县资源环境承载力较好,尚未有短板要素,但城乡建设用地结构不平衡;为提高承载力,从促进水土资源高效集约利用、树立"绿色"意识、加强生态环境治理、促进产业结构转型升级等方面提出相应建议措施。
Carrying out the evaluation on resources and environmental carrying capacity in plain area is an important measure to coordinate the sustainable development and promote the transformation of resource utilization pattern in the key period of comprehensively promoting ecological civilization construction. Based on the data of national economic statistics and land use data of Pingyuan county in 2016,this study constructed a resource and environmental carrying capacity evaluation system consisting of three subsystems including water and soil resources carrying capacity,ecological environment carrying capacity and socio-economic carrying capacity. And it evaluated regional resource and environmental carrying capacity by adopting the comprehensive weighting form combining analytical method and Delphi method,and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. Moreover,it evaluated the resource and environmental carrying capacity of Pingyuan county in 2016 with restrictive factors analysis. The major results were showed as follows. First,according to the evaluation grade of resources and environmental carrying capacity,the resources and environmental carrying capacity of Pingyuan county in 2016 scored 0. 6051,at a pretty high level.Second,among the three subsystems in the resources and environmental carrying capacity of Pingyuan county,socio-economic carrying capacity had the largest carrying capacity,went by water and land resources carrying capacity and then ecological environment carrying capacity. Finally,there was no indicator of crisis status in the indicator system of resource and environment carrying capacity of Pingyuan county,but the state index of per capita urban construction land was less than 0 and was in an early warning state. Even though there was no such thing as a weak point,there was no balance in the construction of urban and rural land. Therefore,in order to increase the resources and environmental carrying capacity,it puts forward some countermeasures,including the water and land resources should be utilized efficiently,green awareness should be set up,the protection and improvement of the ecological environment should be strengthened,and the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure should be optimized.
Carrying out the evaluation on resources and environmental carrying capacity in plain area is an important measure to coordinate the sustainable development and promote the transformation of resource utilization pattern in the key period of comprehensively promoting ecological civilization construction. Based on the data of national economic statistics and land use data of Pingyuan county in 2016,this study constructed a resource and environmental carrying capacity evaluation system consisting of three subsystems including water and soil resources carrying capacity,ecological environment carrying capacity and socio-economic carrying capacity. And it evaluated regional resource and environmental carrying capacity by adopting the comprehensive weighting form combining analytical method and Delphi method,and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. Moreover,it evaluated the resource and environmental carrying capacity of Pingyuan county in 2016 with restrictive factors analysis. The major results were showed as follows. First,according to the evaluation grade of resources and environmental carrying capacity,the resources and environmental carrying capacity of Pingyuan county in 2016 scored 0. 6051,at a pretty high level.Second,among the three subsystems in the resources and environmental carrying capacity of Pingyuan county,socio-economic carrying capacity had the largest carrying capacity,went by water and land resources carrying capacity and then ecological environment carrying capacity. Finally,there was no indicator of crisis status in the indicator system of resource and environment carrying capacity of Pingyuan county,but the state index of per capita urban construction land was less than 0 and was in an early warning state. Even though there was no such thing as a weak point,there was no balance in the construction of urban and rural land. Therefore,in order to increase the resources and environmental carrying capacity,it puts forward some countermeasures,including the water and land resources should be utilized efficiently,green awareness should be set up,the protection and improvement of the ecological environment should be strengthened,and the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure should be optimized.
引文
[1]付云鹏,马树才.中国区域资源环境承载力的时空特征研究.经济问题探索,2015(9):96-103.
[2] Park R F,Burgoss E W. An Introduction to the Science of Sociology. Chicago:The University of Chicago Press,1921.
[3]施雅风,曲耀光.乌鲁木齐河流域水资源承载力及其合理利用.北京:科学出版社,1992.
[4]刘文政,朱瑾.资源环境承载力研究进展:基于地理学综合研究的视角.中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(6):75-86.
[5]封志明,杨艳昭,闫慧敏,等.百年来的资源环境承载力研究:从理论到实践.资源科学,2017,39(3):379-395.
[6]温亮,游珍,林裕梅,等.基于层次分析法的土地资源承载力评价——以宁国市为例.中国农业资源与区划,2017,38(3):1-6.
[7]付云鹏,马树才.城市资源环境承载力及其评价——以中国15个副省级城市为例.城市问题,2016(2):36-40.
[8]李磊,贾磊,赵晓雪.层次分析—熵值定权法在城市水环境承载力评价中的应用.长江流域资源与环境,2014,23(4):456-460.
[9]汪嘉杨,翟庆伟,郭倩,等.太湖流域水环境承载力评价研究.中国环境科学,2017,37(5):1979-1987.
[10]杨潇.湖北省各市(州)资源环境承载力评价与时空差异研究.中国科技论坛,2017(4):148-156.
[11]刘子刚,郑瑜.基于生态足迹法的区域水生态承载力研究——以浙江省湖州市为例.资源科学,2011,33(6):1083-1088.
[12] Rees W E. Ecological footprints and appropriated carrying capacity:What urban economics leaves out. Environment and Urbanization,1992,4(2):121-130.
[13]潘安娥,陈丽.湖北省水资源利用与经济协调发展脱钩分析——基于水足迹视角.资源科学,2014,36(2):328-333.
[14] Hoekstra A Y,Hung P Q. Virtual Water Trade:A Quantification of Virtual Water Flows between Nations in Relation to International Crop Trade.IHE Delft:Value of Water Research Report Series(No. 11)2002.
[15]韩鹏,李涛.资源环境承载力综合评价方法研究——以中原经济区为例.应用基础与工程科学学报,2015(23):88-101.
[16]刘惠敏.长江三角洲城市群综合承载力的时空分异研究.中国软科学,2011(10):114-122.
[17]陈芳淼,田亦陈,袁超,等.基于供给生态服务价值的云南土地资源承载力评估方法研究.中国生态农业学报,2015,23(12):1605-1613.
[18]黄宇驰,苏敬华,吕峰.基于SEP模型的土地资源承载力评价方法研究——以上海市闵行区为例.中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(5):124-127.
[19]陈修谦,夏飞.中部六省资源环境综合承载力动态评价与比较.湖南社会科学,2011(1):106-109.
[20]刘佳骏,董锁成,李泽红.中国水资源承载力综合评价研究.自然资源学报,2011,26(2):258-269.
[21]刘启君,黄旻,宋艺欣,等.基于灰色关联TOPSIS模型的武汉市环境承载力评价及障碍因子诊断.生态经济,2016,32(5):191-195.
[22]高奇,师学义,张琛,等.县域农业生态环境质量动态评价及预测.农业工程学报,2014,30(5):228-237.
[23]周侃,樊杰.中国欠发达地区资源环境承载力特征与影响因素——以宁夏西海固地区和云南怒江州为例.地理研究,2015,34(1):39-52.
[24]王晓鹏,丁生喜.三江源地区人口资源环境承载力动态评价研究——以青海省果洛州为例.生态经济,2015,31(11):149-152.
[25]叶文,王会肖.资源环境承载力定量分析——以秦巴山水源涵养区为例.中国生态农业学报,2015,23(8):1061-1072.
[26]许明军.西南山区资源环境承载力评价及协调发展分析——以云南省德宏州为例.自然资源学报,2016,31(10):1726-1738.
[27]王艳飞,刘彦随,李裕瑞.环渤海地区城镇化与农村协调发展的时空特征.地理研究,2015,34(1):122-130.
[28]狄乾斌,张洁,吴佳璐.基于生态系统健康的辽宁省海洋生态承载力评价.自然资源学报,2014,29(2):256-264.
[29]郭珂,王立群.京津冀地区资源环境承载力动态变化及其驱动因子.应用生态学报,2015,26(12):3818-3826.
[30]卢亚灵,刘年磊,程曦,等.京津冀区域大气环境承载力监测预警研究.中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(5):36-40.
[31]熊鹰,姜妮,李静芝,等.基于水资源承载的长株潭城市群适度规模研究.经济地理,2016,36(1):75-81.
[32]李凌宜.江汉平原土地综合承载力研究.武汉:华中师范大学,2013.
[33]任守德,付强,王凯.基于宏微观尺度的三江平原区域农业水土资源承载力.农业工程学报,2011,27(2):8-14.
[34]张博.杭嘉湖平原地区土地综合承载力评价研究.杭州:浙江财经大学,2015.
[35]程超,童绍玉,彭海英.滇中城市群经济发展水平与资源环境承载力的脱钩分析.中国农业资源与区划,2017,38(3):121-130.
[36]姜秋香,付强,王子龙.三江平原水资源承载力评价及区域差异.农业工程学报,2011,27(9):184-190.
[37]国土资源部.国土资源环境承载力评价技术要求(试行). 2016.
[38]樊杰.资源环境承载力评价.北京:科学出版社,2009.
[39]赵静.数学建模与数学实验.北京:高等教育出版社,2000.
[2] Park R F,Burgoss E W. An Introduction to the Science of Sociology. Chicago:The University of Chicago Press,1921.
[3]施雅风,曲耀光.乌鲁木齐河流域水资源承载力及其合理利用.北京:科学出版社,1992.
[4]刘文政,朱瑾.资源环境承载力研究进展:基于地理学综合研究的视角.中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(6):75-86.
[5]封志明,杨艳昭,闫慧敏,等.百年来的资源环境承载力研究:从理论到实践.资源科学,2017,39(3):379-395.
[6]温亮,游珍,林裕梅,等.基于层次分析法的土地资源承载力评价——以宁国市为例.中国农业资源与区划,2017,38(3):1-6.
[7]付云鹏,马树才.城市资源环境承载力及其评价——以中国15个副省级城市为例.城市问题,2016(2):36-40.
[8]李磊,贾磊,赵晓雪.层次分析—熵值定权法在城市水环境承载力评价中的应用.长江流域资源与环境,2014,23(4):456-460.
[9]汪嘉杨,翟庆伟,郭倩,等.太湖流域水环境承载力评价研究.中国环境科学,2017,37(5):1979-1987.
[10]杨潇.湖北省各市(州)资源环境承载力评价与时空差异研究.中国科技论坛,2017(4):148-156.
[11]刘子刚,郑瑜.基于生态足迹法的区域水生态承载力研究——以浙江省湖州市为例.资源科学,2011,33(6):1083-1088.
[12] Rees W E. Ecological footprints and appropriated carrying capacity:What urban economics leaves out. Environment and Urbanization,1992,4(2):121-130.
[13]潘安娥,陈丽.湖北省水资源利用与经济协调发展脱钩分析——基于水足迹视角.资源科学,2014,36(2):328-333.
[14] Hoekstra A Y,Hung P Q. Virtual Water Trade:A Quantification of Virtual Water Flows between Nations in Relation to International Crop Trade.IHE Delft:Value of Water Research Report Series(No. 11)2002.
[15]韩鹏,李涛.资源环境承载力综合评价方法研究——以中原经济区为例.应用基础与工程科学学报,2015(23):88-101.
[16]刘惠敏.长江三角洲城市群综合承载力的时空分异研究.中国软科学,2011(10):114-122.
[17]陈芳淼,田亦陈,袁超,等.基于供给生态服务价值的云南土地资源承载力评估方法研究.中国生态农业学报,2015,23(12):1605-1613.
[18]黄宇驰,苏敬华,吕峰.基于SEP模型的土地资源承载力评价方法研究——以上海市闵行区为例.中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(5):124-127.
[19]陈修谦,夏飞.中部六省资源环境综合承载力动态评价与比较.湖南社会科学,2011(1):106-109.
[20]刘佳骏,董锁成,李泽红.中国水资源承载力综合评价研究.自然资源学报,2011,26(2):258-269.
[21]刘启君,黄旻,宋艺欣,等.基于灰色关联TOPSIS模型的武汉市环境承载力评价及障碍因子诊断.生态经济,2016,32(5):191-195.
[22]高奇,师学义,张琛,等.县域农业生态环境质量动态评价及预测.农业工程学报,2014,30(5):228-237.
[23]周侃,樊杰.中国欠发达地区资源环境承载力特征与影响因素——以宁夏西海固地区和云南怒江州为例.地理研究,2015,34(1):39-52.
[24]王晓鹏,丁生喜.三江源地区人口资源环境承载力动态评价研究——以青海省果洛州为例.生态经济,2015,31(11):149-152.
[25]叶文,王会肖.资源环境承载力定量分析——以秦巴山水源涵养区为例.中国生态农业学报,2015,23(8):1061-1072.
[26]许明军.西南山区资源环境承载力评价及协调发展分析——以云南省德宏州为例.自然资源学报,2016,31(10):1726-1738.
[27]王艳飞,刘彦随,李裕瑞.环渤海地区城镇化与农村协调发展的时空特征.地理研究,2015,34(1):122-130.
[28]狄乾斌,张洁,吴佳璐.基于生态系统健康的辽宁省海洋生态承载力评价.自然资源学报,2014,29(2):256-264.
[29]郭珂,王立群.京津冀地区资源环境承载力动态变化及其驱动因子.应用生态学报,2015,26(12):3818-3826.
[30]卢亚灵,刘年磊,程曦,等.京津冀区域大气环境承载力监测预警研究.中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(5):36-40.
[31]熊鹰,姜妮,李静芝,等.基于水资源承载的长株潭城市群适度规模研究.经济地理,2016,36(1):75-81.
[32]李凌宜.江汉平原土地综合承载力研究.武汉:华中师范大学,2013.
[33]任守德,付强,王凯.基于宏微观尺度的三江平原区域农业水土资源承载力.农业工程学报,2011,27(2):8-14.
[34]张博.杭嘉湖平原地区土地综合承载力评价研究.杭州:浙江财经大学,2015.
[35]程超,童绍玉,彭海英.滇中城市群经济发展水平与资源环境承载力的脱钩分析.中国农业资源与区划,2017,38(3):121-130.
[36]姜秋香,付强,王子龙.三江平原水资源承载力评价及区域差异.农业工程学报,2011,27(9):184-190.
[37]国土资源部.国土资源环境承载力评价技术要求(试行). 2016.
[38]樊杰.资源环境承载力评价.北京:科学出版社,2009.
[39]赵静.数学建模与数学实验.北京:高等教育出版社,2000.
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