近年来中国棉花市场形势分析与展望

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英文篇名：Analysis of China's Cotton Market in Recent Years and Its Prospect 作者：李想 英文作者：Li Xiang;Information Center, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs; 关键词：棉花市场 ; 价格 ; 产量 ; 消费 ; 进口 ; 展望 英文关键词：cotton market;;price;;production;;consumption;;import;;prospect 中文刊名：NYZW 英文刊名：Agricultural Outlook 机构：农业农村部信息中心; 出版日期：2019-02-28 出版单位：农业展望 年：2019 期：v.15;No.161 基金：农业农村部专项“农业信息监测预警” 语种：中文; 页：NYZW201902019 页数：6 CN：02 ISSN：11-5343/S 分类号：80-85

摘要

2011年以来,中国先后实施棉花临时收储政策、目标价格补贴政策,期间又进行储备棉投放和进口配额调整,导致国内棉花生产、消费、库存、贸易和市场价格等方面均出现大幅波动。棉花市场的变化,也受宏观市场、自然条件、技术进步、区域调整等因素的影响。展望未来,中国棉花生产和消费均存在下滑的可能,产需缺口未来几年将持续存在,价格不稳定性加大。
        Since 2011, China has implemented temporary cotton storage policy and target price subsidy policy. During this period, the release of cotton reserves and the adjustment of import quota were also carried out. As a result, the production, consumption, inventory, trade and market price of domestic cotton all significantly fluctuated. The changes of cotton market is also influenced by factors such as macro markets,natural conditions, technological advances, and regional adjustments. Looking forward to the future, China's cotton production and consumption are both likely to decline. The gap between production and demand will continue to exist in the next few years, and price instability will increase.

引文

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