近10年全球油气勘探特点与未来发展趋势

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英文篇名：Global oil and gas exploration situation in the past decade and its development trend 作者：计智锋 ; 穆龙新 ; 万仑坤 ; 温志新 ; 王兆明 ; 刘小兵 ; 梁英波 ; 马锋 英文作者：JI Zhifeng;MU Longxin;WAN Lunkun;WEN Zhixin;WANG Zhaoming;LIU Xiaobing;LIANG Yingbo;MA Feng;PetroChina Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development; 关键词：油气勘探 ; 投资 ; 风险探井 ; 深水 ; 非常规油气 英文关键词：oil and gas exploration;;investment;;risk exploration well;;deep water;;unconventional oil and gas 中文刊名：GJJJ 英文刊名：International Petroleum Economics 机构：中国石油勘探开发研究院; 出版日期：2019-03-25 出版单位：国际石油经济 年：2019 期：v.27 基金：“十三五”国家科技攻关重大专项项目(2016ZX-05029-005);; 中国石油集团公司科技攻关项目(2016D-4304)资助 语种：中文; 页：GJJJ201903004 页数：7 CN：03 ISSN：11-3112/F 分类号：24-30

摘要

近10年来,全球油气勘探投资总体呈快速增长态势,但受2014年以来低油价影响,最大跌幅曾高达60%,目前已呈现触底回升态势,预计未来几年延续低位震荡态势。全球油气勘探活动呈"两减、一增、一波动"特点,重磁力勘探工作量总体维持在较低水平,二维地震采集呈周期性震荡减少,三维地震采集稳步增加,风险探井和勘探评价井数量逐年减少,风险探井占比基本稳定。深水、超深水成为重要的储量增长点,天然气领域勘探增长迅猛,非常规油气成为全球油气储量增长的重要组成部分。未来全球油气勘探的重点仍将集中南大西洋盐下碳酸盐岩、中大西洋两岸浊积砂体和碳酸盐岩等13个重点领域。建议中国石油企业根据自身技术实力,积极参与上述领域的油气合作,把深水和超深水、天然气两大领域作为未来资产配置的重点。
        In the past 10 years, the global oil and gas exploration investment has generally shown a rapid growth trend.However, due to the low oil price since 2014, the maximum decline of investment is up to 60%. At present, the bottom has been warming up, but the low-level vibration situation will continue in the next few years. The global oil and gas exploration activities are characterized by "two reductions, one increase and one fluctuation". The gravitational and magnetic exploration workload generally maintains at a low level, the two-dimensional seismic acquisition is periodically oscillating decreasing, the three-dimensional seismic acquisition is steadily increasing, and the risky exploratory wells and evaluation wells decrease year by year with a basically stable new-field wildcat proportion. Deep water and ultra-deep water have become important growth points for reserves. The exploration in the natural gas field has grown rapidly, and unconventional oil and gas has become an important part of the growth of global oil and gas reserves. The future global oil and gas exploration will continue to focus on 13 key areas, such as the sub-salt carbonate rock in the south Atlantic, turbidite sand bodies and carbonate rocks on both sides of the mid-Atlantic. It is suggested that Chinese oil companies participate in the cooperation of the mentioned areas according to the technical strength, especially focus on the future asset allocation in the deep water & ultra-deep water and natural gas domains.

引文

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