基于陆海统筹视角的中国沿海地区科技进步贡献率研究
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摘要
基于陆海统筹视角,考虑陆域、海洋以及陆海复合经济系统间关系,运用C-D生产函数与索罗余值方程组合模型,并通过中国内地沿海11个省份2006—2016年的投入产出数据来测度科技进步贡献率。结果表明:(1)沿海地区经济增长的主要贡献要素源于资本与科技进步,劳动力贡献率较低。"十一五"至"十二五"时期,陆海整体科技进步贡献率下滑2.1%,资本贡献率下降0.6%,劳动力贡献率上升2.8%;(2)科技进步贡献率提升与R&D经费、R&D科技人员和国家政策规划促进有关,部分沿海省份的陆域与海洋科技进步贡献率变化不同步;(3)科技进步对经济增长的贡献潜力存在区域差异,可分为陆域科技贡献、海洋科技贡献和陆海科技综合贡献三类。
Based on the perspective of land-sea coordination and considered the relationship between the land,sea and land-sea economic system, this article adopted the combinational model of C-D production function and Solow equation to measure the contribution rate of each feature from 2006 to 2016 in coastal provinces of China.The results revealed that:(1)The main contribution of economic growth in coastal provinces of China is the capital and science & technology(S&T), 47.7% and 40.1% respectively, and the contribution of the labor force was merely 12.2%. From the 11 th five-year plan to the 12 th five-year plan period, the trend of S&T progress is superior to other features in the growth of economic contribution. The contribution of S&T progress, capital contribution decreased by 2.15% and 0.6% respectively and labor contribution increased by 2.7%;(2)The improvement of the contribution rate of S&T progress is related to the promotion of R&D expenditure, R&D technology personnel training and state-relevant policy planning. The contribution rate of land and Marine S&T in some coastal provinces is not synchronized;(3)There are three types for the development of technology contribution potential, they are the contribution potential of land technology, the contribution potential of marine science and technology and the contribution of land-sea science and technology.
Based on the perspective of land-sea coordination and considered the relationship between the land,sea and land-sea economic system, this article adopted the combinational model of C-D production function and Solow equation to measure the contribution rate of each feature from 2006 to 2016 in coastal provinces of China.The results revealed that:(1)The main contribution of economic growth in coastal provinces of China is the capital and science & technology(S&T), 47.7% and 40.1% respectively, and the contribution of the labor force was merely 12.2%. From the 11 th five-year plan to the 12 th five-year plan period, the trend of S&T progress is superior to other features in the growth of economic contribution. The contribution of S&T progress, capital contribution decreased by 2.15% and 0.6% respectively and labor contribution increased by 2.7%;(2)The improvement of the contribution rate of S&T progress is related to the promotion of R&D expenditure, R&D technology personnel training and state-relevant policy planning. The contribution rate of land and Marine S&T in some coastal provinces is not synchronized;(3)There are three types for the development of technology contribution potential, they are the contribution potential of land technology, the contribution potential of marine science and technology and the contribution of land-sea science and technology.
引文
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[23] 李兰兰,诸克军,郭海湘.中国各省市科技进步贡献率测算的实证研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2011,21(4):55-61.
[24] 徐士元,何宽,樊在虎.对科技进步贡献率测算索罗模型的重新审视[J].统计与决策,2014(4):10-14.
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[27] 魏和清.科技进步贡献率测算中资本投入度量问题研究[J].当代财经,2004(8):122-123.
[28] 张军,吴桂英,张吉鹏.中国省际物质资本存量估算:1952—2000[J].经济研究,2004(10):35-44.
[29] 尚勇敏,曾刚.科技创新推动区域经济发展模式转型:作用和机制[J].地理研究,2017,36(12):2279-2290.
[30] 刘媛媛,孙慧.新疆科技投入对区域经济增长的贡献度分析——基于扩展C-D生产函数和DEA分析法[J].科研管理,2014,35(10):26-32.
[31] 韩增林,夏康,郭建科,等.基于Global-Malmquist-Luenberger指数的沿海地带陆海统筹发展水平测度及区域差异分析[J].自然资源学报,2017,32(8):1271-1285.
[2] 曾光,王玲玲,王选华.中国科技进步贡献率测度:1953—2013年[J].中国科技论坛,2015(7):22-27.
[3] 栾维新,王海英.论我国沿海地区的海陆经济一体化[J].地理科学,1998(4):51-57.
[4] 杜利楠,栾维新,孙战秀.我国海陆产业劳动生产率的时空演变特征研究[J].海洋通报,2016,35(5):481-487.
[5] 叶向东,陈国生.构建“数字海洋”实施海陆统筹[J].太平洋学报,2007(4):77-86.
[6] 栾维新.海陆一体化建设研究[M].北京:海洋出版社,2004:250-252.
[7] 韩增林,狄乾斌,周乐萍.陆海统筹的内涵与目标解析[J].海洋经济,2012,2(1):10-15.
[8] 曹忠祥,高国力.我国陆海统筹发展的战略内涵、思路与对策[J].中国软科学,2015(2):1-12.
[9] MOKHTARUL WADUD I K M.Technical Efficiency in Australian Textile and Clothing Firms:Evidence from the Business Longitudinal Survey[J].Australian Economic Papers,2004,43(3):357-378.
[10] LEWIS W A.Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labor[J].Manchester School,1954,22(2):139-191.
[11] COE D T,MOGHADAM R.Capital and Trade as Engines of Growth in France:An Application of Johansen’s Cointegration Methodology[J].Staff Papers,1993,40(3):542-566.
[12] PAKES A,GRILICHES Z.Patents and R&D at the Firm Level:A First Report[J].Economics Letters,2004,5(4):377-381.
[13] SAKURAI N,PAPACONSTANTINOU G,IOANNIDIS E.Impact of R&D and Technology Diffusion on Productivity Growth:Empirical Evidence for 10 OECD Countries[J].Economic Systems Research,1997,9(1):81-109.
[14] 于洁,刘润生,曹燕,等.基于DEA-Malmquist方法的我国科技进步贡献率研究:1979—2004年[J].软科学,2009,23(2):1-6.
[15] 狄昂照.科技进步贡献率的规范化[J].中国科技论坛,1997(3):37-41.
[16] 殷克东,卫梦星.中国海洋科技发展水平动态变迁测度研究[J].中国软科学,2009(8):144-154.
[17] 王泽宇,刘凤朝.我国海洋科技创新能力与海洋经济发展的协调性分析[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2011,32(5):42-47.
[18] 祝恩元,李俊莉,刘兆德,等.山东省科技创新与可持续发展耦合度空间差异分析[J].地域研究与开发,2018,37(6):23-28.
[19] 戴彬,金刚,韩明芳.中国沿海地区海洋科技全要素生产率时空格局演变及影响因素[J].地理研究,2015,34(2):328-340.
[20] 睢党臣,董玉迪.中国新丝绸之路经济带科技效率的测度及分解——基于Dea-Malmquist指数的方法[J].地域研究与开发,2015,34(5):19-23.
[21] 程广斌,张雅琴.丝绸之路经济带沿线省份科技创新效率及其影响因素[J].地域研究与开发,2017,36(2):17-23.
[22] 吴建宁,王选华.中国科技进步贡献率测度:一种新的视角[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2013,34(8):10-17.
[23] 李兰兰,诸克军,郭海湘.中国各省市科技进步贡献率测算的实证研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2011,21(4):55-61.
[24] 徐士元,何宽,樊在虎.对科技进步贡献率测算索罗模型的重新审视[J].统计与决策,2014(4):10-14.
[25] 卫梦星.中国海洋科技进步贡献率研究[D].青岛:中国海洋大学,2010.
[26] 罗伯特·M·索洛.经济增长因素分析[M].北京:商务印书馆,2003.
[27] 魏和清.科技进步贡献率测算中资本投入度量问题研究[J].当代财经,2004(8):122-123.
[28] 张军,吴桂英,张吉鹏.中国省际物质资本存量估算:1952—2000[J].经济研究,2004(10):35-44.
[29] 尚勇敏,曾刚.科技创新推动区域经济发展模式转型:作用和机制[J].地理研究,2017,36(12):2279-2290.
[30] 刘媛媛,孙慧.新疆科技投入对区域经济增长的贡献度分析——基于扩展C-D生产函数和DEA分析法[J].科研管理,2014,35(10):26-32.
[31] 韩增林,夏康,郭建科,等.基于Global-Malmquist-Luenberger指数的沿海地带陆海统筹发展水平测度及区域差异分析[J].自然资源学报,2017,32(8):1271-1285.
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