中国建筑业碳排放效率区域差异及收敛性分析——基于SBM模型与面板单位根检验
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摘要
目前,关于建筑业碳排放的研究主要集中在总量和效率的测算方面,缺乏相关收敛性的研究.本文在计算2005—2015年我国30个省域建筑业碳排放量的基础上,运用SBM-Undesirable模型测算了各省建筑业的碳排放效率,并通过面板单位根检验方法分别对全国及三大区域建筑业碳排放量和碳排放效率进行了随机收敛性分析.研究结果表明,研究期内我国建筑业碳排放量整体先上升后下降,各地区间碳排放量和碳排放效率差距较大,且均呈现东、中、西部渐次递减趋势,东、中部平均碳排放效率在0.7上下波动,西部仅为0.5～0.6;全国建筑业碳排放量不存在随机性收敛,而效率指标收敛,东部和中部地区两项指标均随机性收敛,西部地区发散.本文的研究结果将为我国制定更为合理的建筑业碳减排目标、区域间有差异而区域内统一的碳排放效率优化政策提供有力依据.
At present, researches on carbon emissions in construction industry mainly focus on quantity and efficiency, which lack the research on convergence. The paper calculated the carbon emission of China′s 30 provincial construction industry from 2005 to 2015.And then used SBM-Undesirable model was used to assess its efficiency. Based on that, the stochastic convergence analysis was conducted on the carbon emission and its efficiency of construction industries. Results showed that the national carbon emissions of construction industry first increased and then decreased from 2005 to 2015.There were distinct differences in carbon emissions and its efficiency between provinces, and the emissions deceased gradually from east to west. The average carbon emission efficiency in eastern and middle region fluctuates in 0.7, At the same time the west was only within 0.5～0.6. There was no stochastic convergence of carbon emissions in the national construction industry, but the efficiency index was convergent. The two indexes in both eastern and middle regions presented stochastic convergence, while in the western region there were no signs of convergence. This paper will provide a reference for establishing more reasonable energy saving targets and the optimization policy of the carbon emission efficiency in differences of region and regional unity across the Chinese construction industry.
At present, researches on carbon emissions in construction industry mainly focus on quantity and efficiency, which lack the research on convergence. The paper calculated the carbon emission of China′s 30 provincial construction industry from 2005 to 2015.And then used SBM-Undesirable model was used to assess its efficiency. Based on that, the stochastic convergence analysis was conducted on the carbon emission and its efficiency of construction industries. Results showed that the national carbon emissions of construction industry first increased and then decreased from 2005 to 2015.There were distinct differences in carbon emissions and its efficiency between provinces, and the emissions deceased gradually from east to west. The average carbon emission efficiency in eastern and middle region fluctuates in 0.7, At the same time the west was only within 0.5～0.6. There was no stochastic convergence of carbon emissions in the national construction industry, but the efficiency index was convergent. The two indexes in both eastern and middle regions presented stochastic convergence, while in the western region there were no signs of convergence. This paper will provide a reference for establishing more reasonable energy saving targets and the optimization policy of the carbon emission efficiency in differences of region and regional unity across the Chinese construction industry.
引文
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[10] 赵楠,王辛睿,朱文娟.中国省际能源利用效率收敛性研究[J].统计研究,2015,3(32):29-35.ZHAO Nan,WANG Xinrui,ZHU Wenjuan.Research on convergence of regional energy efficiency in China[J].Statistical Research,2015,3(32):29-35.
[11] EVANS P,KARRAS G.Convergence revisited[J].Journal of Monetary Economics,1996,37(2):249-265.
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[13] 杜克锐,邹楚沅.我国碳排放效率地区差异、影响因素及收敛性分析——基于随机前沿模型和面板单位根的实证研究[J].浙江社会科学,2011(11):32-43.DU Kerui,ZOU Chuyuan.Regional disparity,affecting factors and convergence analysis of carbon dioxide emission efficiency in China:On stochastic frontier model and panel unit root[J].Zhejiang Social Sciences,2011(11):32-43.
[14] 王雪青,娄香珍,杨秋波.中国建筑业能源效率省际差异及其影响因素分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2012,2(2):56-61.WANG Xueqing,LOU Xiangzhen,YANG Qiubo.Inter-provincial difference in energy efficiency of construction industry and Its influencing factors in China[J].China Population,Resources and Environment,2012,2(2):56-61.
[15] 冯博,王雪青,刘炳胜.考虑碳排放的中国建筑业能源效率省际差异分析[J].资源科学,2014,36(6):1256-1266.FENG Bo,WANG Xueqing,LIU Bingsheng,Provincial variation in energy efficiency across China’s construction industry with carbon emission[J].Resources Science,2014,36(6):1256-1266.
[16] 陈钢,祁神军,张云波等.三阶段DEA的区域建筑业碳排放效率评价[J].华侨大学学报(自然科学版),2016,37(5):564-569.CHEN Gang,QI Shenjun,ZHANG Yunbo,et,al,Study ofcarbon emission efficiency of construction industry based on three-stage data envelope anal[J].Journal of Huaqiao University(Natural Science),2016,37(5):564-569.
[17] 张智慧,刘睿劼.基于投入产出分析的建筑业碳排放核算[J].清华大学学报(自然科学版),2013,53(1):53-57.ZHANG Zhihui,LIU Ruijie.Carbon emissions in the construction sector based on input-output analyses[J].Journal of Tsinghua University (Science and Technology),2013,53(1):53-57.
[2] 祁神军,佘洁卿,张云波.基于SD的公共建筑全寿命周期碳排放特性及敏感性仿真——以夏热冬暖地区为实证[J].西安建筑科技大学学报(自然科学版),2016,48(1):101-108.QI Shenjun,SHE Jieqing,ZHANG Yunbo.Research on life cycle carbon emission and its reduction sensitivity of public building on the basal of system dynamics:a case study in hot summer and warm winter area[J] J.Xi′an Univ.of Arch.&Tech.(Natural Science Edition),2016,48(1):101-108.
[3] 吴琦,武春友.基于DEA的能源效率评价模型研究[J].管理科学,2009(1) :103-112.WU Qi,WU Chun you,Researchon evaluation model of energy efficiency based on DEA[J].Journal of Management Sciences,2009(1) :103-112.
[4] TONE,K A.Slacks-based measure of efficiency in data envelopment analysis[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2001,130(3):498-509.
[5] TONE K.Dealing with undesirable outputs in DEA:A slacks-based measure(SBM) approach[R].GRIPS Japan:The Jounal of the Acousitical Society of Japan,2004.
[6] 周五七,聂鸣.中国工业碳排放效率的区域差异研究——基于非参数前沿的实证分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2012(9):58-70.ZHOU Wuqi,NIE Ming,Regional difference in the efficiency of industrial carbon emissions in China[J].The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics,2012(9):58-70.
[7] 吴昊玥,何艳秋,陈柔.中国农业碳排放绩效评价及随机性收敛研究——基于SBM-Undesirable模型与面板单位根检验[J].中国生态农业学报,2017,25(9):1381-1391WU Haoyue,HE Yanqiu,CHEN Rou.Assessment of agricultural carbon emission performance and stochastic convergence in China using SBM[J].Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture,2017,25(9):1381-1391.
[8] 郭炳南,卜亚.人力资本、产业结构与中国碳排放效率——基于SBM与Tobit模型的实证研究[J].当代经济管理,2018,40:1-9.GUO Bingnan,BU Ya.Human capital,industrial structure and China′s carbon emission efficiency—empirical research based on SBM and Tobit model[J].Contemporary Economic Management,2018,40:1-9.
[9] 高广阔,马海娟.我国碳排放收敛性:基于面板数据的分位数回归[J].统计与决策,2012(18):25-28.GAO G K,MA H J.China’s carbon emissions’ convergence:Based on the quantile regression of panel data[J].Statistics and Decision,2012,(18):25-28.
[10] 赵楠,王辛睿,朱文娟.中国省际能源利用效率收敛性研究[J].统计研究,2015,3(32):29-35.ZHAO Nan,WANG Xinrui,ZHU Wenjuan.Research on convergence of regional energy efficiency in China[J].Statistical Research,2015,3(32):29-35.
[11] EVANS P,KARRAS G.Convergence revisited[J].Journal of Monetary Economics,1996,37(2):249-265.
[12] 赵金楼,李根,苏屹,刘家国.我国能源效率地区差异及收敛性分析——基于随机前沿分析和面板单位根的实证研究[J].中国管理科学,2013,21(2):175-184.ZHAO Jinlou,LI Gen,SU Yi,LIU Jiaguo.Regional difference and convergence analysis of energy efficiency in China:On stochastic frontier analysis and panel unit root[J].Chinese Journal of Management Science,2013,21(2):175-184.
[13] 杜克锐,邹楚沅.我国碳排放效率地区差异、影响因素及收敛性分析——基于随机前沿模型和面板单位根的实证研究[J].浙江社会科学,2011(11):32-43.DU Kerui,ZOU Chuyuan.Regional disparity,affecting factors and convergence analysis of carbon dioxide emission efficiency in China:On stochastic frontier model and panel unit root[J].Zhejiang Social Sciences,2011(11):32-43.
[14] 王雪青,娄香珍,杨秋波.中国建筑业能源效率省际差异及其影响因素分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2012,2(2):56-61.WANG Xueqing,LOU Xiangzhen,YANG Qiubo.Inter-provincial difference in energy efficiency of construction industry and Its influencing factors in China[J].China Population,Resources and Environment,2012,2(2):56-61.
[15] 冯博,王雪青,刘炳胜.考虑碳排放的中国建筑业能源效率省际差异分析[J].资源科学,2014,36(6):1256-1266.FENG Bo,WANG Xueqing,LIU Bingsheng,Provincial variation in energy efficiency across China’s construction industry with carbon emission[J].Resources Science,2014,36(6):1256-1266.
[16] 陈钢,祁神军,张云波等.三阶段DEA的区域建筑业碳排放效率评价[J].华侨大学学报(自然科学版),2016,37(5):564-569.CHEN Gang,QI Shenjun,ZHANG Yunbo,et,al,Study ofcarbon emission efficiency of construction industry based on three-stage data envelope anal[J].Journal of Huaqiao University(Natural Science),2016,37(5):564-569.
[17] 张智慧,刘睿劼.基于投入产出分析的建筑业碳排放核算[J].清华大学学报(自然科学版),2013,53(1):53-57.ZHANG Zhihui,LIU Ruijie.Carbon emissions in the construction sector based on input-output analyses[J].Journal of Tsinghua University (Science and Technology),2013,53(1):53-57.
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