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美国住房金融及其风险防范机制研究
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摘要
住房金融对一国房地产业和国民经济发展具有重要意义。美国是世界上住房金融最发达的国家,也是深受住房金融危机(次贷危机)冲击的国家,美国的住房金融及其风险防范机制值得深入研究。本文在研究美国住房金融的发展历程、构成体系、运行机制、影响因素和发展状况的基础上,深入分析了美国住房金融风险的产生原因、传导机制、监管体系以及防范机制等问题,最后探讨了中国住房金融风险并给出防范住房金融风险的对策措施。本文主要观点包括:(1)住房金融是发展房地产业的重要工具,但过度发展存在潜在风险,对其进行有效监管非常重要;(2)美国住房金融二级市场一方面转移和分散了一级市场的风险,另一方面也创造和产生了更深层次的风险,住房金融风险越来越转向系统风险;(3)美国住房金融政策是美国庞大而系统的住房政策和金融政策的一部分,住房金融发展离不开美国住房产业和金融产业的健康发展;(4)过度的金融创新和金融投机偏离了住房金融的本质,不断扩散和放大了住房金融风险,而房地产泡沫破裂直接暴露了这些风险;(5)次贷危机验证了美国住房金融风险的真实存在和破坏作用,但并没有否定美国住房金融体系存在的合理性,合理有效和风险可控的住房金融体系仍然发挥巨大的正面作用;(6)次贷危机暴露了美国住房金融市场监管中存在的问题,危机后金融监管种种改革措施,一方面有利于减少危机的负面影响,抑制或释放住房金融中潜在的危机,另一方面过度干预对私人部门参与二级市场产生挤出效应;(7)中国住房金融体系仍不完善,房地产泡沫是中国住房金融首要风险,不能因为风险而停止中国住房金融体系建设。本文的主要创新在于对住房金融风险理论做出系统概括,总结出美国住房金融和风险防范机制的一般经验,提出我国防范住房金融风险和完善住房金融体系的对策建议。
Housing finance for the needs of residents through the production of housing,consumer, housing (including rental) financing and settlement of financial servicesactivities in general, the real estate industry and the development of the nationaleconomy of a country plays an important role. Is generally believed that housingfinance is a high security financial business. Housing cumulative financial risk is verystrong, once the outbreak will be rapid expansion, a large area of financial crisis,threatening the safety of the entire financial system. The U.S. subprime mortgagecrisis is a real financial crisis caused by the housing finance itself, the rate of spreadof the crisis and the devastating beyond people's expectations. The seriousconsequences of the subprime crisis so that people had to re-examine the risk ofhousing finance.
     In recent years, accompanied by the rapid development of China's real estatemarket, housing finance (bank credit) at the same time continue to provide support,the risks faced by accumulation. We used to use the experience of the United States asa reference while developing our housing finance, and learn the methods and toolsfrom them. However, the outbreak of the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis made use tobe calm and look at our current housing finance risks faced and grim situation. Weneed to build a stable and effective mechanism based on China’s actual situation, sothat a society with equity and stability could be reality.
     Therefore, the systematic study of housing finance risk form of expression andformation mechanism, to reveal the great dangers of the housing finance risks ofsocial and economic development in China, to seek measures to guard against anddefuse the risk of housing finance, risk prevention mechanism for China's housingfinance theory improve, and promote the healthy development of China's real estatemarket, to meet the the housing consumer demand of the general population, to protect the safety of the financial system, are of great significance.
     In this paper, the U.S. housing finance system for the study, the study of housingfinance risk and its prevention, and hope to inspire the Chinese housing financial riskprevention. First of all, the papers will be combing the risk of housing finance theory;Second, review the development of housing finance in the United States, analyzes thechange and innovation; Once again, the U.S. housing finance system, the causes ofrisk and risk supervision, and be described in the "subprime crisis"; the researchersthen U.S. housing financial risk prevention mechanisms and their advantages anddisadvantages; Finally, at the conclusion on the basis of experience, talk about how toimprove China's housing finance risk prevention mechanism. For the content of thestudy to draw some meaningful conclusions.
     Housing finance and housing financial risks related theoretical basis. Housingfinance concept involves housing finance, housing finance system, housing, financialinstruments, the housing finance market. The financial risk is the production ofhousing, consumer, housing (including rental) financing and settlement of financialservices activities of financial institutions in the housing finance market, due to avariety of uncertainties, risks arising from the gain or the risk of profit or loss.Including credit risk, liquidity risk, systemic risk, interest rate risk, exchange rate risk,the risk of inflation and housing finance other risks. The housing financial risk byasset price volatility theory, financial instability hypothesis, information economicsand monetarist theory to explain the formation mechanism of the housing financerisk.
     The development of housing finance in the United States has gone through fourhistorical evolution of the exploratory stage before the1930s,1930s to1960s, thestage of institutionalization, from the1970s to the1980s, the Securities and20thcentury1990s deepen the perfect stage.1950s to the mid-1960s, in order to avoidinterest rate risk and liquidity risk, the federal government for housing finance reformand innovation, the establishment of a housing finance secondary market, and thedevelopment of mortgage-backed securities products, mortgage securitization housing finance market in the United States to establish a more comprehensive insurance,surety and regulatory systems, so that housing finance a to collaborative healthydevelopment of the market and the secondary market. At the same time, the UnitedStates introduced a housing security policy, public housing policy, tax relief policiesand mortgage policies three housing finance policy.
     U.S. housing finance system has been developed based on mortgage-backedsecurities based housing finance system, has a highly decentralized andmulti-polarization characteristics. The subprime mortgage crisis resulted in nearlythree decades, the U.S. real estate market bubble finally burst, broke out in recentdecades, the most serious real estate crisis. For U.S. housing financial risk causes ofmacroeconomic volatility in the capital markets caused by systemic financial risk, andthe housing finance market place undue reliance on self-regulation, has long looseregulatory regime is not unrelated. In order to suppress the spread of the subprimemortgage crisis, stabilize the housing finance market, the U.S. government issued aseries of housing finance policy. The problem of the housing finance system in theUnited States government credit guarantee of the federal government's debt burdenhas been increasing, and the potential risks facing decline in credit ratings andsovereign debt crisis.
     The subprime mortgage crisis is a typical case of the U.S. housing finance risk.U.S. housing finance, lack of supervision is the root cause is the direct cause of therise in interest rates and the real estate bubble burst, the illegal operations of financialinstitutions is the fuse of the crisis, asset securitization transmission and amplificationof the subprime mortgage crisis. After the outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis,subprime mortgage crisis and challenges, the Fed and the Treasury have been taken aseries of measures. Housing policy, the Federal Housing Administration launched arefinancing plan, restructuring hope alliance to increase mortgage financing. Inmonetary policy, through traditional monetary financial instruments and liquiditymanagement tools to intervene. On fiscal policy, adopted a series of proactive fiscalpolicy to stimulate effective social demand. Finally, by taking over part of the brink of bankruptcy institutions, risk of direct intervention in the housing finance system.
     U.S. mortgage securitization risk prevention mechanism framework includesgovernment agencies assurance framework and risk prevention framework. Thesubprime mortgage crisis has exposed the housing finance market regulation issuesinclude: the U.S. housing bulls regulatory inefficient vacuum regulation of lendinginstitutions liquidity and capital adequacy ratio is not sufficient, the securitizedproducts over derivative serious, liquidity can not be fully to meet the needs ofinvestors, banks and rating agencies to relax the risk is amplified. Housing financeafter the subprime mortgage crisis a series of reforms proposed to further strengthenthe supervision of the housing finance market, and within a reasonable range ofgovernment support for the privatization of enterprises, enhance the efficiency ofresource allocation housing finance market spontaneous, concentrated in the housingfinancial supervision of the secondary market, institutional planning and theprotection of consumer rights. In addition, to attract more issuers of mortgage-backedsecurities, give full play to the role of private capital.
     The Chinese Housing Finance experienced from scratch, to the relativelycomplete development process, especially in recent years as the domestic real estatemarket continued to rise and rapid development. At present, China's housing financeimperfect market system, financing channels, product category, market-orientedregulatory means, imperfect laws and regulations. China's housing finance to preventrisk should start from the structure of financial markets, improve the housing of afinancial market to cultivate secondary market for housing finance, financialinstitutions to enhance the management level, the rich housing credit sources of funds,improve housing security system and improve the housing financial regulations,strengthen the supervision of the housing finance market, and to achieve sustainabledevelopment and prosperity of the housing finance market.
引文
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