我国“资源诅咒”形成的条件与路径研究
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摘要
从上世纪下半叶至今,全球化程度不断加深,各国在比较优势基础上参与全球产业分工,产业链实现全世界范围的空间布局。全球产业分工呈现出“微笑曲线”特点,发达国家占据获利能力较强的产业链高端,而一些资源丰裕的发展中国家处于以出口自然资源为主的产业链低端,自然资源不仅没有成为经济增长的重要推动力,甚至反而会出现自然资源抑制经济增长的奇怪现象,即“资源诅咒”。在我国经济发展过程中,资源型地区成为重要的原材料和能源供给地,由于我国长时期的粗放型经济增长方式,资源型地区普遍出现产业结构单一、失业率高、资源枯竭、生态环境恶化等经济社会问题。因此,我国在一定程度上也表现出“资源诅咒”效应。“资源诅咒”是目前国内外区域经济和国际贸易研究领域的一个较新命题,近年来,“资源诅咒”概念被引入到对我国区域经济特别是资源型地区发展的研究中来,由于我国特殊的自然、历史和制度条件,国际上关于“资源诅咒”的研究结论并不能完全适用于我国,而我国关于“资源诅咒”问题的研究仍处于探索阶段。
本论文在概念界定和相关研究综述的基础上,主要对我国“资源诅咒”的三个问题进行研究：第一个问题为我国“资源诅咒”的存在条件,本论文运用拓展的新古典经济增长模型对“资源诅咒”的均衡路径和存在条件进行阐述；第二个问题为我国“资源诅咒”的识别问题,本研究在对资源依赖测度方法和指标探讨的基础上,从全国总体和差异性区域两个层面对我国“资源诅咒”的存在性进行识别,并利用城市面板数据对“资源诅咒”的存在条件进行验证；第三个问题为我国“资源诅咒”的传导路径问题,本研究在两部门均衡模型的基础上,从产业结构的视角对“资源诅咒”形成的内在原因进行探讨。另外,本研究结合我国“资源诅咒”的制度因素、现实表现和发达国家解决这一问题的主要模式,对破解我国“资源诅咒”困境进行政策设计。
Since the second half of last century, the globalization deepens, countries take part in industrial division on the basis of comparative advantages. The global industrial division presents the "smiling curve", developed countries hold the higher position of the industrial chain, but developing countries with abundant nature resources occupy the lower position of industrial chain with mainly exports of resources. The natural resources didn't become an important driver of economic growth, but there is a phenomenon that natural resources restrain economic growth, which is "resource curse". With the development of China economic, due to the extensive growth mode in a long period of China, there are many problems in resource-based area, such as single industrial structure, high rate of unemployment, resource depletion, deterioration of the ecological environment and so on. Our country has showed the phenomenon of "resource curse" to a certain extent.
Based on concepts definition and related studies reviewed, this paper has researched three main problems of "resource curse". The first problem is the existence condition of "resource curse", this research has analyzed the equilibrium path and existence condition with a model of extended neo-classical economic growth. The second problem is the existence of "resource curse", this research has researched the existence both at the national level and provincial level on the basis of measurement of resource dependence. The third problem "is transmission path of "resource curse", chapter5has analyzed the determining equation and the choosing conditions with a two-sector equilibrium model. Otherwise, combined with institutional factors and actual performance of "resource curse" in China, and also with the main patterns of solution in developed countries, this paper has designed the policy system.
本论文在概念界定和相关研究综述的基础上,主要对我国“资源诅咒”的三个问题进行研究：第一个问题为我国“资源诅咒”的存在条件,本论文运用拓展的新古典经济增长模型对“资源诅咒”的均衡路径和存在条件进行阐述；第二个问题为我国“资源诅咒”的识别问题,本研究在对资源依赖测度方法和指标探讨的基础上,从全国总体和差异性区域两个层面对我国“资源诅咒”的存在性进行识别,并利用城市面板数据对“资源诅咒”的存在条件进行验证；第三个问题为我国“资源诅咒”的传导路径问题,本研究在两部门均衡模型的基础上,从产业结构的视角对“资源诅咒”形成的内在原因进行探讨。另外,本研究结合我国“资源诅咒”的制度因素、现实表现和发达国家解决这一问题的主要模式,对破解我国“资源诅咒”困境进行政策设计。
Since the second half of last century, the globalization deepens, countries take part in industrial division on the basis of comparative advantages. The global industrial division presents the "smiling curve", developed countries hold the higher position of the industrial chain, but developing countries with abundant nature resources occupy the lower position of industrial chain with mainly exports of resources. The natural resources didn't become an important driver of economic growth, but there is a phenomenon that natural resources restrain economic growth, which is "resource curse". With the development of China economic, due to the extensive growth mode in a long period of China, there are many problems in resource-based area, such as single industrial structure, high rate of unemployment, resource depletion, deterioration of the ecological environment and so on. Our country has showed the phenomenon of "resource curse" to a certain extent.
Based on concepts definition and related studies reviewed, this paper has researched three main problems of "resource curse". The first problem is the existence condition of "resource curse", this research has analyzed the equilibrium path and existence condition with a model of extended neo-classical economic growth. The second problem is the existence of "resource curse", this research has researched the existence both at the national level and provincial level on the basis of measurement of resource dependence. The third problem "is transmission path of "resource curse", chapter5has analyzed the determining equation and the choosing conditions with a two-sector equilibrium model. Otherwise, combined with institutional factors and actual performance of "resource curse" in China, and also with the main patterns of solution in developed countries, this paper has designed the policy system.
引文
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