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可耗竭资源型企业转移区位选择行为的实证研究
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摘要
自然界中以化石或岩石形式存在的资源是可耗竭资源,依赖于这类资源生存与发展的可耗竭资源型企业,有着与资源的可利用周期紧密相关的“开发–上升–稳定–衰退”的生命周期。我国的大中型可耗竭资源型企业多为国有企业,随着多年的开采和资源的逐渐耗竭,相继调整了发展战略,选择西部资源富集的理想区位,实施跨区转移行为。对于这类行为的研究不仅对于解决可耗竭资源型企业衰退期的生存与发展问题,保证社会的稳定与和谐,有着重要的现实意义,而且对于弥补可耗竭资源型企业转移区位选择行为的研究缺憾,丰富可耗竭资源型企业战略管理的研究内容,拓宽工业区位理论和组织行为理论的研究思路,具有一定的理论意义。
     本文依据规范的、科学的实证研究思路,以收集整理的2001–2009年我国境内可耗竭资源型企业跨区转移的112个项目为基础,提炼描述了可耗竭资源型企业转移区位选择的特征行为,分析了这些行为的统计规律;探究了可耗竭资源型企业转移区位选择行为的驱动因素,并进行了问卷调查和度量分析,采用行为四分图和趋势面图揭示了这些行为的特征和趋势;从理论与文献研究,以及访谈调查中归纳提炼了可耗竭资源型企业转移区位选择行为的影响因素,构建了影响因素的结构方程模型,进行了实证研究,进而揭示了这些影响因素的影响方式和影响路径,并提出了相应的政策措施。本文得到的主要结论有:
     (1)可耗竭资源型企业的转移行为在“行为收益”和“行为成本”两个维度上有着明显的趋势。主要集中于两类,即“高成本–高收益转移行为”和“低成本–低收益转移行为”;发生频数较高的企业转移行为明显集中在收益较高、成本略高的区域,并且在成本相近的区域,行为发生的频数有随收益提高而上升的趋势。从驱动因素的强度分析发现:“独资收购新建的转移行为”是收益最高的行为,也是成本最高的行为;“人员承包经营的转移行为”是收益最低的行为,也是成本最低的行为。从发生频数的高低分析发现:发生频数较高的行为有“独资收购新建的转移行为”、“控股收购新建的转移行为”、“控股重组新建的转移行为”、“独资收购改造的转移行为”等。
     (2)可耗竭资源型企业转移行为的主要影响因素有6个。“政策导向”、“资源耗竭压力”、“利益趋向”、“决策倾向”、“异地要素引力”和“本地区位斥力”因素都是间接地对“高成本–高收益转移行为”、“低成本–低收益转移行为”和各具体转移行为产生显著的正影响,且表现出影响强度由高到低的顺序;其影响方式和影响路径也具有一定的规律性。
     (3)可耗竭资源型企业的区位选择行为在“风险度”和“满意度”两个维度上趋势明显。主要集中于两类,即“高风险度–高满意度区位选择行为”和“低风险度–高满意度区位选择行为”。发生频数较高的企业区位选择行为明显集中在风险度较低、满意度较高的区域,并且在满意度相近的区域,行为发生的频数有随风险度下降而上升的趋势。从驱动因素的强度分析发现:风险度最高的区位选择行为是“资源市场政策导向”,风险度最低的区位选择行为是“资源运输市场政策导向”;满意度最高的区位选择行为是“资源运输市场政策潜力导向”,满意度最低的区位选择行为是“资源政策导向”。从发生频数的高低分析发现:发生频数较高的区位选择行为有“资源运输市场政策导向”、“资源运输市场政策潜力导向”、“资源运输政策导向”等。
     (4)可耗竭资源型企业区位选择行为的主要影响因素有7个。“资源禀赋”、“经济区位”、“民众素质”、“政策引力”、“法治环境”和“决策偏好”因素都是间接地对各区位选择行为产生显著的正影响,“区位成本”因素是间接地对各区位选择行为产生显著的负影响;其影响强度由高到低的顺序为“决策偏好”、“法治环境”、“资源禀赋”、“区位成本”、“经济区位”、“政策引力”、“民众素质”;其影响方式和影响路径也具有一定的规律性。
Enterprises depending on the exhaustible resources existing in the form of fossil or rock has a lifecycle of“exploring-increasing-steady-decline”closely related to the one of resources. Most of the large and medium enterprises which rely on exhaustible resources are owned by the states. With years of exploration and gradual consumption of resources, they adjust the strategy one after another. They choose the western areas with abundant resources as the ideal places to fulfill of the crossregional shifting action. The study on this kind of action has not only the practical meanings by solving the survival and development problem of the exhaustible resources enterprises in the decline phase and ensure the steady and harmony of the society but also the theoretical meaning by making up the vacancy of the study on the shifting and location selecting action of these enterprises, enriching the study on the strategic management of exhaustible resources enterprises, and broadening the research approach concerning industrial location theory and organization behavior theory.
     Using the normative and scientific research method, this paper gives an essential accounts of the exhaustible resources enterprises’characteristic behavior and analyses the statistical regularity of them based on the collection of the 112 projects concerning shift action in China’s exhaustible resour -ces enterprises ranging from 2001 to 2009. This paper explores the driving factors for the shifting and location selecting action of exhaustible resources enterprises on the basis of survey and metrics analysis and uses the behavior quadrifid graph and trend surface chart to reveal the characteristic and trend of these actions. Based on the related theory and literature, the present paper also induces the influential factors on the selecting action of these enterprises, sets up its SEM, conducts the corres- ponding empirical research, reveals the approach and way of these influential factors and puts forward the corresponding policy and measures .The conclusion is as following:
     (1)For the exhaustible resources enterprises, on the dimension of“profits of action”and“costs of action”has two obvious trends which are“high costs-high profits shifting action”and“low costs-low profits shifting action”. The enterprises’shifting actions with high frequency are apparently concentrated in the area with comparatively high profits and costs. In the areas having similar costs, the frequency of shifting action mounts up with the increase of profits. When considering the intensity of driving factors, it can be found that the shifting action by the exclusive investment in the newly -built has the highest profits and the highest costs as well; the shifting action from the contract management has not only the lowest profits but also the lowest costs. From the perspective of the frequency, the action with high frequency involves the one with the exclusive-purchase in the newly -built, the one with stock-controlling purchase in the newly-built, the one with stock controlling reorganization of the newly-built and the one with exclusive purchase and transformation.
     (2)There are six main influential factors for the shifting action of exhaustible resources enterp -rises. They are“policy guide”,“resource exhaustible pressure”,“interest trend”,“decision inclina -tion”,“different area element attraction”, and“local district repulsion”which positively influence the“high cost high income shifting action”, the“low cost low income shifting action”and the specific shifting action indirectly. Their sorting on influential intensity is from high to low and their influential approach and way are with some regularity.
     (3)Location selection action of the exhaustible resources enterprises has obvious trend on the two dimensions of“risk degree”and“satisfactory degree”and mainly includes two classes which are“high risk degree and high satisfactory degree location selection action”and“low risk degree and high satisfactory degree location selection action”. Obviously, location selection action of enterprise is concentrated in the area of low risk degree and high satisfactory degree. Besides, in the neighbor area of satisfactory degree, the frequency of action has increasing trend with the descent of risk degree. With the intensity analysis of driving factors, it is found that location selecting action with the highest risk degree is the“policy guide of resources market”, location selecting action with the lowest risk degree is the“policy guide of resources transportation market”, location selecting action with the highest satisfactory degree is“policy potential guide of resources transportation market”and location selecting action with the lowest satisfactory degree is“policy guide of resources”. With the frequency analysis, it is concluded that location selecting action with high frequency are“policy guide of resources transportation market”,“policy potential guide of resources transportation market”,“policy guide of resources transportation”and so on.
     (4)There are seven main influential factors for location selecting action of exhaustible resour- ces enterprises.They are“resource endowment”,“economic location”,“people quality”,“policy attracttion”,“legal environment”and“policy preference”which positively influence the location selecting action indirectly.And the factor of“location cost”negatively influences the action indirectly. From high to low, their sorting on influential intensity is“policy preference”,“legal environment”,“resources endowment”,“location cost”,“economical location”,“policy attraction”and“people quality”, whose influential approach and way are with some regularity.
引文
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