北部湾城市群海洋环境与经济发展耦合特征及其时空格局分析
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摘要
基于北部湾城市群七个沿海城市2005—2015年经济和环境数据,分析其海洋环境与经济发展的时空演变特征,并结合环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)和协调系数评估指标,揭示海洋环境与经济发展的耦合特征。结果表明:2005—2015年,在北部湾城市群主要沿海城市经济持续增长的同时,海洋环境状况总体上呈现恶化-改善-恶化的变化趋势;北部湾城市群海洋环境与经济发展的关系整体为正"N"型;协调系数显示北部湾城市群海洋环境与经济发展整体失调,仅茂名市为协调关系。环境库兹涅茨曲线和协调度分析结果均表明北部湾城市群海洋环境与经济发展整体呈不协调发展关系,该区应结合其资源环境承载能力,落实环境保护的相关政策,以实现经济与海洋环境的协调及可持续发展。
Based on the economic and environmental data from 2005 to 2015 of the seven coastal cities in the urban agglomeration of Beibu Gulf,the spatio-temporal characteristics of economic development and marine environment were analyzed and evaluated using environmental kuznets curve(EKC) and coordination coefficient,and the coupling characteristics of the marine environment and economic development were revealed.The result shows that:1) from 2005 to 2015,the economies in the major coastal cities of Beibu Gulf increased continuously,while the marine environment status showing a trend of "deterioration-amelioration-deterioration" generally.2) The relationship between marine environment and economic development in urban agglomeration of Beibu Gulf shows a positive "N" type in general.3) The coordination coefficient shows an uncoordinated result between marine environment and economic development in the urban agglomeration of Beibu Gulf and its seven cities except for Maoming City.Both the results of EKC and coordination coefficient analysis indicated the relationship between marine environment and economic development in Beibu Gulf urban agglomeration were uncoordinated.It is important to implement related policies for environmental protection under the carrying capacity of resources and environment in this area to realize the coordination and sustainable development of economic and marine environment.
Based on the economic and environmental data from 2005 to 2015 of the seven coastal cities in the urban agglomeration of Beibu Gulf,the spatio-temporal characteristics of economic development and marine environment were analyzed and evaluated using environmental kuznets curve(EKC) and coordination coefficient,and the coupling characteristics of the marine environment and economic development were revealed.The result shows that:1) from 2005 to 2015,the economies in the major coastal cities of Beibu Gulf increased continuously,while the marine environment status showing a trend of "deterioration-amelioration-deterioration" generally.2) The relationship between marine environment and economic development in urban agglomeration of Beibu Gulf shows a positive "N" type in general.3) The coordination coefficient shows an uncoordinated result between marine environment and economic development in the urban agglomeration of Beibu Gulf and its seven cities except for Maoming City.Both the results of EKC and coordination coefficient analysis indicated the relationship between marine environment and economic development in Beibu Gulf urban agglomeration were uncoordinated.It is important to implement related policies for environmental protection under the carrying capacity of resources and environment in this area to realize the coordination and sustainable development of economic and marine environment.
引文
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[3] PANAYOTOU,T.Empirical tests and policy analysis of environmental degradation at different stages of economic development[R].Geneva:International Labour Office,1993.
[4] LINDMARK M.An EKC-pattern in historical perspective:carbon dioxide emissions,technology,fuel prices and growth in Sweden 1870-1997[J].Ecological Economics,2002,42(1/2):333-347.
[5] COLE M A,RAYNER A J,BATES J M.The environmental Kuznets curve:an empirical analysis[J].Environment and Development Economics,1997,2(4):401-416.
[6] DE BRUYNAB S M,VAN DEN BERGHAB J C J M,OPSCHOORAC J B.Economic growth and emissions:reconsidering the empirical basis of environmental Kuznets curves[J].Ecological Economics,1998,25(2):161-175.
[7] PAUDEL K P,ZAPATA H,SUSANTO D.An empirical test of environmental Kuznets curve for water pollution[J].Environmental and Resource Economics,2005,31(3):325-348.
[8] 佘群芝.环境库兹涅茨曲线的理论批评综论[J].中南财经政法大学学报,2008(1):20-26.
[9] 徐胜,王晓惠,宋维玲,等.环渤海地区经济增长与环境污染关系分析——基于环境库兹涅茨曲线[J].海洋通报,2011,30(6):601-606.
[10] 盖美,田成诗.辽宁沿海经济发展与近岸海域环境的关系研究[J].地域研究与开发,2008,26(6):60-64.
[11] 范帅邦,赵丽玲.辽宁沿海经济带经济发展与海洋环境研究[J].地域研究与开发,2015,34(2):40-44.
[12] 赵丽玲.辽宁沿海经济带经济与海洋环境可持续发展研究[D].大连:辽宁师范大学,2013.
[13] 焦苗.我国沿海地区陆海经济发展与海域环境关系的实证研究[D].武汉:华东师范大学,2013.
[14] 盖美,田成诗.大连市海岸带经济与环境协调发展分析[J].经济地理,2002,22(2):179-183.
[15] 广西壮族自治区统计局.广西统计年鉴2005-2016[Z].北京:中国统计出版社,2006-2017.
[16] 海南省统计局.海南统计年鉴2005-2016[Z].北京:中国统计出版社,2006-2017.
[17] 广东省统计局.广东统计年鉴2006-2016[Z].北京:中国统计出版社,2007-2017.
[18] 国家统计局城市社会经济调查司.中国城市统计年鉴2006-2016[Z].北京:中国统计出版社,2007-2017.
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[20] 国家海洋局.国海洋统计年鉴2006-2014[Z].北京:海洋出版社,2007-2015.
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[23] GROSSMAN G M,KRUEGER A B.Environmental impacts of a North American free trade agreement[R].Cambridge:National Bureau of Economic Research,1991.
[24] SHAFIK N,BANDYOPADHYAY S.Economic growth and environmental quality:time-series and cross-country evidence[M].Washington DC:World Bank,1992.
[25] 鲍强.2000年环境保护战略目标定量化[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,1993.
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