基于农户调查的鄱阳湖区水稻熟制特征及政策建议（英文）
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摘要
对农户水稻熟制决策行为差异及其空间特征的研究是理解水稻熟制动态变化、保障区域粮食安全的关键和提出应对策略的前提。利用野外调研与室内统计分析等方法,以鄱阳湖区为研究区,对研究区402例农户问卷调查数据进行实证研究分析。结果表明:(1)湖区水稻种植呈现南北差异,东南部(进贤县等)双季稻种植处于绝对优势,而西北部(德安县等)以单季稻为主;(2)不同县域的水稻熟制选择差异较大,以双季稻农户为主,占受访农户的63.57%,然而复种指数仍然偏低,仅1.55,且有近三成的农户发生了水稻熟制变更。基于以上研究结果,通过种在哪、谁来种、种什么、怎么种等角度出发,鄱阳湖区应该从提高水稻生产比较效益、促进土地流转及适度规模经营和优化水稻种植环境等方面引导、规范农户水稻种植,提高区域水稻复种指数和粮食供给功能,务实农业供给侧改革,进而实现耕地资源高效、可持续利用。
This paper examines the spatial characteristics of farmer/household behaviors in regional rice cropping systems(RCS), and the results provide necessary information for developing strategies that will maintain regional food security. Through field study and statistical analysis based on 402 households questionnaires finished in 2014-2015 in the Poyang Lake Region(PLR) of China, we arrived at two main conclusions. First, single-and double cropping rice were found across the study area, but showed a general distribution trend, with double cropping rice in the southeast part(especially in Jinxian county) and single cropping rice in the northwest(particularly in De'an county). Second, the household decisions concerning RCS varied in different parts of the PLR, but double cropping was the dominant type, with about 63.57% of the respondent households in the PLR cultivating double cropping rice. However, the multiple-cropping index of paddy rice was only 1.55. About 3% of interviewed households had altered their RCS during this period. Based on these findings, the local governments should guide farmers' paddy field cultivation behaviors by increasing the comparative efficiency of rice production, promoting appropriate scale operations and land conversion, as well as optimizing rice growing conditions to improve the multiple cropping index and enhance food provision. Finally, land-use efficiency and more sustainable use of land resources should be improved.
This paper examines the spatial characteristics of farmer/household behaviors in regional rice cropping systems(RCS), and the results provide necessary information for developing strategies that will maintain regional food security. Through field study and statistical analysis based on 402 households questionnaires finished in 2014-2015 in the Poyang Lake Region(PLR) of China, we arrived at two main conclusions. First, single-and double cropping rice were found across the study area, but showed a general distribution trend, with double cropping rice in the southeast part(especially in Jinxian county) and single cropping rice in the northwest(particularly in De'an county). Second, the household decisions concerning RCS varied in different parts of the PLR, but double cropping was the dominant type, with about 63.57% of the respondent households in the PLR cultivating double cropping rice. However, the multiple-cropping index of paddy rice was only 1.55. About 3% of interviewed households had altered their RCS during this period. Based on these findings, the local governments should guide farmers' paddy field cultivation behaviors by increasing the comparative efficiency of rice production, promoting appropriate scale operations and land conversion, as well as optimizing rice growing conditions to improve the multiple cropping index and enhance food provision. Finally, land-use efficiency and more sustainable use of land resources should be improved.
引文
Chen F B,Mao Z X,Chen P Y.2011.Selecting status of farmers'rice cropping patterns and its impact factor analysis:Four provinces survey along the Yangtze River.Fisheries Economy Research,7(3):62-73.(in Chinese)
Cheng S H,Li J.2007.Modern China rice.Beijing:Jindun Publishing House.(in Chinese)
Feng Y F,Dong Y X,Liu Y H,et al.2010.A study on farmland circulation characteristic and its influencing factors based on a household survey in metropolitan suburbs:Case on Panyu District,Guangzhou City.Resources Science,32(7):1379-1386.(in Chinese)
Feng Z M,Zhang P T,Song Y.2002.Food security:the impact of land conversion from farmland to forest or grassland on grain production in Northwest China.Journal of Natural Sciences,17(3):299-306.(in Chinese)
Fu Z Q,Cai Y L,Yang Y X,et al.2001.Research on the relationship of cultivated land change and food security in China.Journal of natural resources,16(4):313-319.(in Chinese)
Huang S E,Zhu B Q,Gu X Q,et al.2009.An analysis of meteorological conditions for rape production and planting climate division in Poyang Lake Area.Acta Agriculturae Universitatis Jiangxiensis,31(5):945-949.(in Chinese)
National Development and Reform Commission.2009.Government of China National Plan for Expansion of Grain Production Capacity by 50Billion Kilograms during 2009-2020.http://www.ndrc.gov.cn/fzgggz/ncjj/zhdt/200911/P020091103575161095150.pdf.(in Chinese)
Jiang L G,Feng Z M,Yu X B,et al.2010.Scenario analysis on the flood regulation service of the Poyang Lake Region.Resources Science,32(5):817-823.(in Chinese)
Kong X B,Liu L W,Qin J,et al.2007.Theory and methodology for the construction of arable land quality evaluation system based on household behaviors.Progress in Geography,26(4):75-85.(in Chinese)
Li P,Feng Z M,Jiang L G,et al.2012.Changes in rice cropping systems in the Poyang Lake Region,China during 2004-2010.Journal of Geographical Sciences,22(4):653-668.
Li P,Jiang L G,Feng Z M,et al.2016.Mapping rice cropping systems using Landsat-derived Renormalized Index of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(RNDVI)in the Poyang Lake Region,China.Frontiers of Earth Science,10(3):1-12.
Li P,Jiang L G,Feng Z M,et al.2011.Spatial pattern of food provision service in Poyang Lake Region,China.Journal of Natural Resources,26(2):190-200.(in Chinese)
Li P,Xiao C W,Feng Z M,et al.2015.Household decision behavior in rice cropping systems in the major rice-producing area of Poyang Lake Plain,China.Geographical Research,34(12):2257-2267.(in Chinese)
Li W Y,Jiang L G,Li P.2014.The spatio-temporal pattern of rice cropping systems in the Polder Area of Poyang Lake during 2000-2010.Resources Science,36(4):0809-0816.(in Chinese)
Li W.2010.Peasants'willingness to rice planting and its influential factors:Based on data of Zixing,Hunan.Journal of Hunan Agricultural University(Social Sciences),11(5):7-13.(in Chinese)
Liang Z Y,Mark W R,Stanley W,et al.2009.Impact of growing season temperature on wheat productivity in China.Agricultural and Forest Meteorology,6-7(149):1009-1014.
Lin C,Gu X Q,Zhu B Q.2010.Analysis of climate division for cotton production in Poyang Lake Area.Meteorology and Disaster Reduction Research,33(1):58-62.(in Chinese)
Liu C X,Liu L M,Peng Q.2012.Analysis of rice cropping decision-making in a double-cropping rice area of southern China.Resources Science,34(12):2234-2241.(in Chinese)
Liu H B,Lv J.2015.Analyzing the soil quality change mechanism of the cultivated land based on the microscopic perspective of the household in the metropolitan suburban.Journal of Natural Resource,30(7):1129-1140.(in Chinese)
Liu H B,Yu G F,Wang Q B,et al.2012.Characteristics of farmers’land use behaviors in metropolises suburb:A case study in Sujiatun District of Shenyang City,Liaoning Province.Resources Science,34(5):879-888.(in Chinese)
Liu Y,Xiao C W,Li P,et al.2016.Monitoring rice cropping system changes in the major rice-producing area of Poyang Lake Plain using Landsat images during 2005-2013.Journal of Natural Resource,31(12):4517-2098.(in Chinese)
Liu Y,Xiao C W,Li P,et al.2015.Relationship analysis of grain output and economic development since 1978 in the major grain producing area,China.Resources Science,37(10):1891-1901.(in Chinese)
Xiao C W,Liu Y,Li P.2015.Comparative advantage and its spatiotemporal changes of rice production in Jiangxi Province in past 20 years.Research of Agricultural Modernization,36(5):727-735.(in Chinese)
Xu H D,Mao X B.2009.Intensive utilization of cultivated land resource in the economic developed regions-a case study of Zhejiang Province.Journal of Zhejiang university(agriculture&life sciences),35(4):467-472.(in Chinese)
Yan D,Schneider U A,Schmid E,et al.2013.Simulating the effects of climate change on land use change in the PLR using agent-based modeling.Resources Science,35(11):2255-2265.(in Chinese)
Yin C B,Chen Y J,Yang R Z.2003.Trend and motivate on the changing system of paddy field planning in the Middle-down Yangtze River Valley.Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning,24(2):30-33.(in Chinese)
Zhang B,Lu G Z,Zhu H F.1988.Studies on Poyang Lake.Shanghai:Shanghai science and technology Press.(in Chinese)
Zhong T Y,Huang X J.2007.Review on the researches of land use change at farm household level.Journal of Natural Resource,22(3):341-352.(in Chinese)
Cheng S H,Li J.2007.Modern China rice.Beijing:Jindun Publishing House.(in Chinese)
Feng Y F,Dong Y X,Liu Y H,et al.2010.A study on farmland circulation characteristic and its influencing factors based on a household survey in metropolitan suburbs:Case on Panyu District,Guangzhou City.Resources Science,32(7):1379-1386.(in Chinese)
Feng Z M,Zhang P T,Song Y.2002.Food security:the impact of land conversion from farmland to forest or grassland on grain production in Northwest China.Journal of Natural Sciences,17(3):299-306.(in Chinese)
Fu Z Q,Cai Y L,Yang Y X,et al.2001.Research on the relationship of cultivated land change and food security in China.Journal of natural resources,16(4):313-319.(in Chinese)
Huang S E,Zhu B Q,Gu X Q,et al.2009.An analysis of meteorological conditions for rape production and planting climate division in Poyang Lake Area.Acta Agriculturae Universitatis Jiangxiensis,31(5):945-949.(in Chinese)
National Development and Reform Commission.2009.Government of China National Plan for Expansion of Grain Production Capacity by 50Billion Kilograms during 2009-2020.http://www.ndrc.gov.cn/fzgggz/ncjj/zhdt/200911/P020091103575161095150.pdf.(in Chinese)
Jiang L G,Feng Z M,Yu X B,et al.2010.Scenario analysis on the flood regulation service of the Poyang Lake Region.Resources Science,32(5):817-823.(in Chinese)
Kong X B,Liu L W,Qin J,et al.2007.Theory and methodology for the construction of arable land quality evaluation system based on household behaviors.Progress in Geography,26(4):75-85.(in Chinese)
Li P,Feng Z M,Jiang L G,et al.2012.Changes in rice cropping systems in the Poyang Lake Region,China during 2004-2010.Journal of Geographical Sciences,22(4):653-668.
Li P,Jiang L G,Feng Z M,et al.2016.Mapping rice cropping systems using Landsat-derived Renormalized Index of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(RNDVI)in the Poyang Lake Region,China.Frontiers of Earth Science,10(3):1-12.
Li P,Jiang L G,Feng Z M,et al.2011.Spatial pattern of food provision service in Poyang Lake Region,China.Journal of Natural Resources,26(2):190-200.(in Chinese)
Li P,Xiao C W,Feng Z M,et al.2015.Household decision behavior in rice cropping systems in the major rice-producing area of Poyang Lake Plain,China.Geographical Research,34(12):2257-2267.(in Chinese)
Li W Y,Jiang L G,Li P.2014.The spatio-temporal pattern of rice cropping systems in the Polder Area of Poyang Lake during 2000-2010.Resources Science,36(4):0809-0816.(in Chinese)
Li W.2010.Peasants'willingness to rice planting and its influential factors:Based on data of Zixing,Hunan.Journal of Hunan Agricultural University(Social Sciences),11(5):7-13.(in Chinese)
Liang Z Y,Mark W R,Stanley W,et al.2009.Impact of growing season temperature on wheat productivity in China.Agricultural and Forest Meteorology,6-7(149):1009-1014.
Lin C,Gu X Q,Zhu B Q.2010.Analysis of climate division for cotton production in Poyang Lake Area.Meteorology and Disaster Reduction Research,33(1):58-62.(in Chinese)
Liu C X,Liu L M,Peng Q.2012.Analysis of rice cropping decision-making in a double-cropping rice area of southern China.Resources Science,34(12):2234-2241.(in Chinese)
Liu H B,Lv J.2015.Analyzing the soil quality change mechanism of the cultivated land based on the microscopic perspective of the household in the metropolitan suburban.Journal of Natural Resource,30(7):1129-1140.(in Chinese)
Liu H B,Yu G F,Wang Q B,et al.2012.Characteristics of farmers’land use behaviors in metropolises suburb:A case study in Sujiatun District of Shenyang City,Liaoning Province.Resources Science,34(5):879-888.(in Chinese)
Liu Y,Xiao C W,Li P,et al.2016.Monitoring rice cropping system changes in the major rice-producing area of Poyang Lake Plain using Landsat images during 2005-2013.Journal of Natural Resource,31(12):4517-2098.(in Chinese)
Liu Y,Xiao C W,Li P,et al.2015.Relationship analysis of grain output and economic development since 1978 in the major grain producing area,China.Resources Science,37(10):1891-1901.(in Chinese)
Xiao C W,Liu Y,Li P.2015.Comparative advantage and its spatiotemporal changes of rice production in Jiangxi Province in past 20 years.Research of Agricultural Modernization,36(5):727-735.(in Chinese)
Xu H D,Mao X B.2009.Intensive utilization of cultivated land resource in the economic developed regions-a case study of Zhejiang Province.Journal of Zhejiang university(agriculture&life sciences),35(4):467-472.(in Chinese)
Yan D,Schneider U A,Schmid E,et al.2013.Simulating the effects of climate change on land use change in the PLR using agent-based modeling.Resources Science,35(11):2255-2265.(in Chinese)
Yin C B,Chen Y J,Yang R Z.2003.Trend and motivate on the changing system of paddy field planning in the Middle-down Yangtze River Valley.Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning,24(2):30-33.(in Chinese)
Zhang B,Lu G Z,Zhu H F.1988.Studies on Poyang Lake.Shanghai:Shanghai science and technology Press.(in Chinese)
Zhong T Y,Huang X J.2007.Review on the researches of land use change at farm household level.Journal of Natural Resource,22(3):341-352.(in Chinese)
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