摘要
开展流域需水量模拟计算,对水资源配置及科学调度具有重要意义。以新疆塔里木河干流为例,基于WEAP模型对不同干旱等级下的需水量进行方案模拟。结果表明:方案1可使干旱年缺水率减少10.8%,重度干旱年缺水率减少9.4%,极端干旱年缺水率减少8.3%;方案2可使干旱年缺水率减少12.9%,重度干旱年缺水率减少19.8%,极端干旱年缺水率减少25.4%;方案3可使干旱年缺水率减少15.9%,重度干旱年缺水率减少23.1%,极端干旱年缺水率减少28.7%。研究结果为塔里木河干流水资源的可持续利用提供了科学依据。
It is of great significance for water resources allocation and scientific scheduling to carry out the simulation calculation of water demand. This paper, taking the Tarim River trunk stream as the study area, conducts the scheme simulation on water need at different drought levels based on the WEAP model. The results showed that: scheme 1 can make the water shortage rate in the drought year decreased by 10.8%, water shortage rate in the severe drought year decreased by 9.4%, water shortage rate in the extreme drought year reduced 8.3%; scheme 2 can make the water shortage rate in the drought year decreased by 12.9%, water shortage rate in the severe drought year reduced by 19.8%, water shortage rate in the extreme drought year reduced 25.4%; scheme 3 can make the water shortage rate in the drought year decreased by 15.9%, water shortage rate in the severe drought year decreased by 23.1%, and water shortage rate in the extreme drought year decreased by 28.7%. The results provide a scientific basis for the sustainable utilization of water resources in Tarim River trunk stream.
引文
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