Short-Term and Impending Prediction of the Mar. 10, 2011, M_s5.8, Yingjiang Earthquake, Yunnan Province

详细信息   

• 责任者：Qian Xiaodong (Earthquake Administration of Yunnan Province ; Kunming 650224 ; China) ; Su Youjin
• 刊名：Journal of Seismological Research
• 出版年：2011
• 卷期：34(4)
• 关键词：强震 ; strong earthquakes ; 地震预测 ; earthquake prediction ; 云南 ; Yunnan Province
• 页码：p.403-413
• 图表：11 illus., 3 tables, 24 refs.
• 分类号：0500
• 出版序号：20122255
• issnNo：ISSN1000-0666
• isbnNo：CN53-1062/P

摘要

 Collecting the firsthand seismic data before and after the M_S5.8 Yingjiang earthquake in Yunnan Province in 2011, the authors systematically analyze the seismo-geological background, the main characteristics of the sequence, the seismic intensity, the seismogenic fault of the Yingjiang earthquake as well as the regional stress field in the earthquake-stricken area. Particularly, by tracking the earthquake force scale, shear stress, h-value of earthquake sequence, time-to-failure and seismic energy, the authors conduct a short-term and impending earthquake and prediction 3 months before Yingjiang earthquake.The Dayingjiang fault, which is NE-trending, left-lateral and strike-slip, is most likely the seismogenic fault of this earthquake.