Playing against nature :
- 出版日期：2014.
- 出版者：Wiley,
- 页数：xv, 260 pages, 16 unnumbered pages of plates :
- 出版地：Oxford :
- 第一责任说明：Seth Stein and Jerome Stein.
- 尺寸：25 cm
- 分类号：a875.6
- ISBN：9781118620823(hardback) :
MARC全文
02h0072552 20151124170150.0 151112s2014 enkabf frb |001|||eng | 9781118620823(hardback) : 594.90 DLC eng rda DLC YDX ; YDXCP ; CDX ; YUS ; HAC ; CNNGL pcc GB5014 .S83 2014 363.34/6 23 a875.6 aX43 v5 Stein, Seth. Playing against nature : integrating science and economics to mitigate natural hazards in an uncertain world / Seth Stein and Jerome Stein. Oxford : Wiley, 2014. aOxford : bJohn Wiley & Sons, Inc., c2014. xv, 260 pages, 16 unnumbered pages of plates : illustrations (some color), maps (some color) ; 25 cm atext 2rdacontent aunmediated 2rdamedia avolume 2rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references and index. 1. ; 2. ; 3. ; 4. ; 5. ; 6. ; 7. ; 8. ; 9. ; 10. ; 11. ; 12. ; 13. A tricky, high-stakes game -- ; When nature won -- ; Nature bats last -- ; Uncertainty and probability -- ; Communicating what we know and what we don't -- ; Human disasters -- ; How much is enough? -- ; Guessing the odds -- ; When's the next earthquake? -- ; Assessing hazards -- ; Mitigating hazards -- ; Choosing mitigation policies -- ; Doing better. "Defending society against natural hazards is a high-stakes game of chance against nature, involving tough decisions. How should a developing nation allocate its budge between building schools for towns without ones and making existing schools earthquake-resistant? Does it make more sense to build levees to protect against floods, or to prevent development in the areas at risk? Would more lives be saved by making hospitals earthquake-resistant, or by using the funds for patient care? What should scientists tell the public when - as occurred in L'Aquila, Italy, and Mammoth Lakes, California - there is a real but small risk of an upcoming earthquake or volcanic eruption? Recent hurricanes, earthquakes, and tsunamis show that society often handles such choices poorly. Sometimes nature suprises us when an earthquake, hurricane, or flood is bigger or has greater effects than expected from detailed hazard assessments. In other cases, nature outsmarts us, doing great damage despite expensive mitigation measures or causing us to divert limited resources to mitigate hazards that are overestimated [...] This book uses general principles and case studies to explore how we can do better by taking an integrated view of natural hazards issues, rather than treating the relevant geoscience, engineering, economics, and policy formulation separately. Thought-provoking questions at the end of each chapter invite readers to confront the complex issues involved." -- cfrom the publisher. Hazard mitigation. ; Hazard mitigation ; Natural disasters ; Natural disasters ; Emergency management. Economic aspects. ; Economic aspects. ; Risk assessment. aStein, Jerome L. aCN b010001 010001 875.6 St3 gljx1507 h1 ; rCNY594.90