上海市港城系统协调发展水平研究
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摘要
论文运用主成分分析和回归分析相结合的方法,建立上海港城系统协调发展的评价指标体系,并借助隶属函数协调度模型评价上海市港城系统的协调发展状况。研究表明:20年来上海市港城间总体保持着优质的协调关系,但不同时期会有波动;目前港城发展脱离趋势凸显,上海城市正处于"脱港而强"的发展阶段;面对未来,应积极抓住自贸区的发展契机,促进港城协调,最终实现"带港共荣"。
This paper evaluates the coordination degree of port-city system in Shanghai by building up a set of index system of port-city system,applying the evaluation method combining principal component analysis with regression analysis,and constructing the membership functions of fuzzy mathematics model.The results show that:Shanghai possesses high quality coordinated relationship between port and city during 20 years,but it fluctuated in different periods.Now Port and city are increasingly isolating from each other,and Shanghai is in the stage named "the isolation from port brings the prosperity of the city".To promote the coordinated development and achieve common prosperity of port and city in Shanghai,we should seize the opportunity of FTZ actively.
This paper evaluates the coordination degree of port-city system in Shanghai by building up a set of index system of port-city system,applying the evaluation method combining principal component analysis with regression analysis,and constructing the membership functions of fuzzy mathematics model.The results show that:Shanghai possesses high quality coordinated relationship between port and city during 20 years,but it fluctuated in different periods.Now Port and city are increasingly isolating from each other,and Shanghai is in the stage named "the isolation from port brings the prosperity of the city".To promote the coordinated development and achieve common prosperity of port and city in Shanghai,we should seize the opportunity of FTZ actively.
引文
[1]孟庆松,韩文秀.复合系统协调度模型研究[J].天津大学学报,2000,33(4):444-446.
[2]姜宝,张伟杰,李剑等.珠三角地区港城关系协调发展水平研究[J].中国水运2012,12(2):33-35.
[3]李洪成,姜宏华.SPSS数据分析教程[M].人民邮电出版社,北京.2012.78-265.
[4]赵芳.中国能源-经济-环境(3E)协调发展状态的实证研究[J].经济学家,2009,12:35-41.
[5]李守伟,何建敏.金融与经济协调发展的测度模型与实证[J]统计与决策,2009,(19):107-109.
[2]姜宝,张伟杰,李剑等.珠三角地区港城关系协调发展水平研究[J].中国水运2012,12(2):33-35.
[3]李洪成,姜宏华.SPSS数据分析教程[M].人民邮电出版社,北京.2012.78-265.
[4]赵芳.中国能源-经济-环境(3E)协调发展状态的实证研究[J].经济学家,2009,12:35-41.
[5]李守伟,何建敏.金融与经济协调发展的测度模型与实证[J]统计与决策,2009,(19):107-109.
目录