Multidecadal convection permitting climate simulations over Belgium: sensitivity of future precipitation extremes

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• 作者：Sajjad Saeed ; Erwan Brisson ; Matthias Demuzere ; Hossein Tabari ; Patrick Willems and Nicole P. M. van Lipzig
• 刊名：Atmospheric Science Letters
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：18
• 期：1
• 页码：29-36
• 全文大小：8961K
• ISSN：1530-261X

文摘

We performed five high resolution (2.8 km) decadal convection permitting scale (CPS) climate simulations over Belgium using the COSMO-CLM regional climate model and examined the future changes in daily precipitation extremes compared to coarser resolution simulations. The CPS model underestimates the higher percentiles during both seasons, however, some improvements in the higher percentile values are noticed during the summer season. Analysis of three future climate simulations indicates that the CPS model modifies the future signals of daily precipitation extremes compared to their forcing non-CPS simulations during summer. During this season, the increase (decrease) in the daily precipitation extremes is stronger in the CPS compared to the non-CPS simulations. During winter, no significant changes between CPS and non-CPS were found.