Our results establish that the expected value of the penetration distance pd(x,y) in an irreducible Artin monoid of spherical type is bounded independently of the length of x, if x is chosen uniformly among all elements of given canonical length and y is chosen uniformly among all atoms; the latter in particular explains observations made by Thurston in the context of the braid group, and it shows that all irreducible Artin monoids of spherical type exhibit an analogous behaviour. Our results also give an affirmative answer to a question posed by Dehornoy.