The future costs of OPV - A bottom-up model of material and manufacturing costs with uncertainty analysis
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- 作者：Ajay Gambhira ; a.gambhir@imperial.ac.uk" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Philip Sandwella ; b ; Jenny Nelsona ; b
- 关键词：Organic photovoltaics ; Solar photovolataic costs ; Economies of scale ; Uncertainty analysis ; Manufacturing costs ; Innovation ; Cost reduction
- 刊名：Solar Energy Materials and Solar Cells
- 出版年：2016
- 出版时间：November 2016
- 年：2016
- 卷：156
- 期：Complete
- 页码：49-58
- 全文大小：1221 K
文摘
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A detailed future cost model of organic PV is presented.
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Stochastic Monte Carlo analysis is used to address uncertainty.
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OPV modules are projected to cost in the range $0.23–0.34/Wp.
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Material costs, production scale and module performance are all key to future costs.
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Levelised costs for 10-year lifetime OPV are comparable to other PV technologies.