Forecasting Americans’ long-term adoption of connected and autonomous vehicle technologies

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• 作者：Prateek Bansal ^{prateekbansal@utexas.edu} (Graduate Research Assistant) ; Kara M. Kockelman ; ^{kkockelm@mail.utexas.edu} (E.P. Schoch Professor in Engineering)
• 关键词：Connected and autonomous vehicles ; Willingness to pay ; Fleet evolution ; Vehicle transaction decisions ; Opinion survey
• 刊名：Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：95
• 期：Complete
• 页码：49-63
• 全文大小：1009 K
• 卷排序：95

文摘

We forecast U.S. adoption of connected and autonomous vehicle (CAV) technologies. Blind spot monitoring is the most attractive Level 1 technology for Americans. Average willingness to pay (WTP) for connectivity & full automation: $67 & $5857. Fleet simulations vary technology prices, WTP, and regulations over time. Predict 24% (pessimistic) to 87% (optimistic) Level 4 U.S. vehicle fleet by 2045.