Comparing observed and hypothetical climates as a means of communicating to the public and policymakers: The case of European heatwaves

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• 作者：Martin Beniston^a ; ^b ; ^c ; ^esp@unige.ch ; ^{Martin.Beniston@unige.ch} ; Markus Stoffel^a ; ^b ; ^c ; ^d ; Sé ; bastien Guillet^d
• 关键词：Heatwaves ; Climate change ; Policy ; Awareness-raising
• 刊名：Environmental Science & Policy
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：67
• 期：Complete
• 页码：27-34
• 全文大小：1776 K
• 卷排序：67

文摘

Heatwaves observed in the past 20–30 years would have been less intense if climate had remained similar to its 1950s levels. Recent warming, partly as a result of anthropogenic activity, largely explains the rapid rise in extreme heatwaves since 2000. A more stable climate of the 1950s would have resulted in far less severe heatwave-related impacts. Comparing differences between observed and stationary climates helps in communicating the urgency of taking climate action.