The effect of forest owner decision-making, climatic change and societal demands on land-use change and ecosystem service provision in Sweden

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• 作者：Victor Blanco^a ; ^{v.blanco@ed.ac.uk} ; Sascha Holzhauer^a ; Calum Brown^a ; Fredrik Lagergren^b ; Gregor Vulturius^a ; ^c ; Mats Lindeskog^b ; Mark D.A. Rounsevell^a
• 关键词：Agent-based modelling ; Behaviour ; Ecosystem services supply and demand ; Forestry sector ; Scenario analysis
• 刊名：Ecosystem Services
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：February 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：23
• 期：Complete
• 页码：174-208
• 全文大小：2709 K
• 卷排序：23

文摘

Variability in owner behaviour determine the direction and impact of land-use change. Changing demands and climate lead to important changes in land-use and ES provision. Accelerating timber harvesting and land-use change negatively impact forest services. It is difficult to steadily meet demands for forest ES over time at large scales. This requires mechanisms using national-scale information to regulate forestry processes.