A global view of productivity growth in China

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• 作者：Chang-Tai Hsieh ^{chsieh@chicagobooth.edu" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author} ; Ralph Ossa ; ^{ralph.ossa@chicagobooth.edu" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author}
• 关键词：F1 ; F4 ; O4
• 刊名：Journal of International Economics
• 出版年：2016
• 出版时间：September 2016
• 年：2016
• 卷：102
• 期：Complete
• 页码：209-224
• 全文大小：648 K

文摘

How does a country's productivity growth affect worldwide real incomes through international trade? In this paper, we take this classic question to the data by measuring the spillover effects of China's productivity growth. Using a quantitative trade model, we first estimate China's productivity growth between 1995 and 2007 and then isolate what would have happened to real incomes around the world if only China's productivity had changed. We find that the spillover effects are small for all countries in our sample, ranging from a cumulative real income loss of at most −0.2% to a cumulative real income gain of at most 0.2%.