Assessing climate adaptation options and uncertainties for cereal systems in West Africa

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• 作者：Kaiyu Guan^a ; ^b ; ^{kaiyug@illinois.edu} ; Benjamin Sultan^c ; ^{Benjamin.sultan@locean-ipsl.upmc.fr} ; Michela Biasutti^d ; Christian Baron^e ; David B. Lobell^a
• 关键词：West Africa ; Climate change ; Adaptation ; Crop model ; Agriculture
• 刊名：Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：15 January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：232
• 期：Complete
• 页码：291-305
• 全文大小：5015 K
• 卷排序：232

文摘

We provide a new framework to assess climate adaptation options for cereal systems. Most proposed “adaptation options” are not more beneficial in the future climate. Increased thermal resilience during grain formation period is the main adaptation. Water harvesting has very small benefits for both the current and future climate. Uncertainties from different crop models are larger than from climate projections.