Determining the impact of regulatory policy on UK gas use using Bayesian analysis on publicly available data
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文摘
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We investigate the impact of a UK policy to require new boilers to be high efficiency.

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Theoretically informed models are developed and applied to national data.

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Bayesian analysis is used to find best fit parameters and compare model performance.

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The policy is prescriptive and simple to enforce; it improves stock boiler efficiency.

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Significant energy and carbon savings may be associated with this policy.

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