Comparing the modeling of delay propagation in the US and European air traffic networks

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• 作者：Bruno Campanelli^a ; Pablo Fleurquin^a ; André ; s Arranz^b ; Izaro Etxebarria^b ; Carla Ciruelos^b ; Ví ; ctor M. Eguí ; luz^a ; José ; J. Ramasco^a ; ^{jramasco@ifisc.uib-csic.es" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author}
• 关键词：Reactionary delays ; Complexity science ; Modeling delay propagation ; Network performance
• 刊名：Journal of Air Transport Management
• 出版年：2016
• 出版时间：September 2016
• 年：2016
• 卷：56
• 期：part_PA
• 页码：12-18
• 全文大小：2907 K

文摘

Complex Systems are those in which a very large number of elements interact, usually in a non-linear fashion, producing emergent behaviors that are typically difficult to predict. Air transportation systems fall in this category, with a large number of aircraft following a pre-scheduled program. It has been shown that it is possible to understand and forecast delays propagation in these systems. The objective of this analysis is to compare the modeling in the US and in the European air traffic networks, analyzing the propagation of delays due to failures in the schedule or to disturbances. We use two different agent based models recently developed to simulate the delays propagation and assess the effect of disruptions in the networks (US and ECAC areas). Our results show that a first-come first-served protocol managing the flights produces larger congestion when compared with an ATFM (Air Traffic Flow Management) slots priority system.