Development trajectory and research themes of foresight
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- 作者：Louis Y.Y. Lua ; b ; louislu@saturn.yzu.edu.tw" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding authorAuthor Vitae ; Chih-Hung Hsieha ; john@saturn.yzu.edu.tw" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding authorAuthor Vitae ; John S. Liuc ; johnliu@mail.ntust.edu.tw" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding authorAuthor Vitae
- 关键词：Foresight ; Forecasting ; Futures studies ; Development trajectory ; Research themes ; Citation network analysis ; Main path analysis
- 刊名：Technological Forecasting & Social Change
- 出版年：2016
- 出版时间：November 2016
- 年：2016
- 卷：112
- 期：Complete
- 页码：347-356
- 全文大小：1296 K
文摘
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A unique approach is adopted to identify the major research themes of the ‘broad foresight’.
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1439 papers covering 1977 to 2015 from WOS are analyzed.
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Main path analysis and edge-betweenness clustering are adopted.
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Three major and three medium-sized research themes are revealed.
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Overall development trajectories of broad foresight are presented.