A 2017 Horizon Scan of Emerging Issues for Global Conservation and Biological Diversity

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• 作者：William J. Sutherland¹ ; ^{w.sutherland@zoo.cam.ac.uk} ; Phoebe Barnard² ; Steven Broad³ ; Mick Clout⁴ ; Ben Connor⁵ ; Isabelle M. Cô ; té ; ⁶ ; Lynn V. Dicks⁷ ; Helen Doran⁸ ; Abigail C. Entwistle⁹ ; Erica Fleishman¹⁰ ; Marie Fox¹¹ ; Kevin J. Gaston¹² ; David W. Gibbons¹³ ; Zhigang Jiang¹⁴ ; Brandon Keim¹⁵ ; Fiona A. Lickorish¹⁶ ; Paul Markillie¹⁷ ; Kathryn A. Monk¹⁸ ; James W. Pearce-Higgins¹ ; ¹⁹ ; Lloyd S. Peck²⁰ ; Jules Pretty²¹ ; Mark D. Spalding²² ; Femke H. Tonneijck²³ ; Bonnie C. Wintle²⁴ ; Nancy Ockendon¹
• 关键词：futures ; novel issues ; predictions ; environment ; climate change ; invasive species ; management ; energy security
• 刊名：Trends in Ecology & Evolution
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：32
• 期：1
• 页码：31-40
• 全文大小：1332 K
• 卷排序：32

文摘

We present the results of our eighth annual horizon scan of emerging issues likely to affect global biological diversity, the environment, and conservation efforts in the future. The potential effects of these novel issues might not yet be fully recognized or understood by the global conservation community, and the issues can be regarded as both opportunities and risks. A diverse international team with collective expertise in horizon scanning, science communication, and conservation research, practice, and policy reviewed 100 potential issues and identified 15 that qualified as emerging, with potential substantial global effects. These issues include new developments in energy storage and fuel production, sand extraction, potential solutions to combat coral bleaching and invasive marine species, and blockchain technology.