Mining the key predictors for event outbreaks in social networks
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- 作者：Chengqi Yia ; Yuanyuan Baob ; c ; Yibo Xueb ; c ; yiboxue@tsinghua.edu.cn" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author
- 关键词：Social network ; Outbreak prediction ; Information dissemination ; Predictors ; Data-driven
- 刊名：Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
- 出版年：2016
- 出版时间：1 April 2016
- 年：2016
- 卷：447
- 期：Complete
- 页码：247-260
- 全文大小：1505 K
文摘
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We propose a new definition for event outbreaks, based on the structure of social networks.
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We analyze outbreak events by segmenting them into 20 temporally equal parts.
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We uncover those features relevant to accurate predictions at each stage of an outbreak event.
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Five specific features are especially relevant to accurate predictions of event outbreaks.