Deriving the probability of a linear opinion pooling method being superior to a set of alternatives
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- 作者：Donnacha Bolger<sup> ; sup><sup>bolgerdo@tcd.iesup> ; Brett Houlding <sup>brett.houlding@tcd.iesup>
- 关键词：Decision analysis ; Expert judgment ; Reliability ; Risk analysis ; Bayesian analysis
- 刊名：Reliability Engineering & System Safety
- 出版年：2017
- 出版时间：February 2017
- 年：2017
- 卷：158
- 期：Complete
- 页码：41-49
- 全文大小：883 K
- 卷排序：158
文摘
A novel context for combination of expert opinion is provided. A dynamic reliability assessment method is stated, justified by properties and a data study. The theoretical grounding underlying the data-driven justification is explored. We conclude with areas for expansion and further relevant research.